0x16f0…2bad

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x16f01030a76c2b671047485e5b52f61a46372bad
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+2.8pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

43% @ 40.2¢

Brier

0.198

Resolved

2964

Avg size

$20

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Science	41% (283/689)	+5%	689
Other	45% (64/143)	+0%	143
Business	58% (49/84)	-2%	84
Politics	39% (17/44)	+13%	44
Tech	44% (4/9)	-20%	9
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Science689 bets
Hit rate
41% (283/689)
ROI
+5%
Other143 bets
Hit rate
45% (64/143)
ROI
+0%
Business84 bets
Hit rate
58% (49/84)
ROI
-2%
Politics44 bets
Hit rate
39% (17/44)
ROI
+13%
Tech9 bets
Hit rate
44% (4/9)
ROI
-20%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

43% hit · 417/970

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 1?	No	$10	76.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on November 3?	Yes	$16	12.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 5?	No	$236	66.4¢	Won
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	$16	82.0¢	Won
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	$9	43.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	$80	54.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2?	Yes	$124	51.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C on November 8?	Yes	$10	32.4¢	Lost
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of October 12 2026?	No	$49	73.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on November 4?	Yes	$68	44.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 3?	No	$8	54.0¢	Lost
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $147 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	$71	73.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	$4	8.6¢	Lost
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on October 19?	No	$84	83.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 30?	Yes	$6	20.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 30?	Yes	$37	26.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on November 10?	Yes	$3	16.9¢	Lost
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	$32	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	$2	13.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on November 6?	No	$68	76.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 10?	No	$85	77.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 10?	Yes	$6	19.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 3?	Yes	$56	38.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on November 1?	No	$43	56.0¢	Won
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	$53	74.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 30?	Yes	$11	10.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on November 10?	Yes	$5	29.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 1?	Yes	$21	16.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 28?	No	$22	78.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 8?	Yes	$4	13.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on November 4?	No	$58	76.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on November 4?	Yes	$7	16.1¢	Lost
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $367.50 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	$32	31.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 9?	Yes	$8	8.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 2?	Yes	$19	19.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 6?	Yes	$1	11.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 1?	Yes	$53	20.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 29?	No	$39	60.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on November 9?	Yes	$110	32.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	$29	43.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on November 6?	Yes	$20	25.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on November 1?	Yes	$118	43.0¢	Lost
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	$68	67.2¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 19 above $215?	No	$26	26.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on November 8?	Yes	$7	49.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 31?	Yes	$50	45.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on November 7?	Yes	$1	3.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 29?	Yes	$6	19.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 66-67°F on November 8?	Yes	$15	15.8¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 1?Won
No$10 @ 76.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on November 3?Lost
Yes$16 @ 12.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 5?Won
No$236 @ 66.4¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Won
No$16 @ 82.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Lost
Yes$9 @ 43.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 30?Lost
Yes$80 @ 54.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2?Won
Yes$124 @ 51.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C on November 8?Lost
Yes$10 @ 32.4¢
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of October 12 2026?Won
No$49 @ 73.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on November 4?Lost
Yes$68 @ 44.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 3?Lost
No$8 @ 54.0¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $147 Week of October 19 2026?Lost
Yes$71 @ 73.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or higher on October 31?Lost
Yes$4 @ 8.6¢
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on October 19?Lost
No$84 @ 83.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 29?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 30?Lost
Yes$6 @ 20.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 30?Lost
Yes$37 @ 26.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on November 10?Lost
Yes$3 @ 16.9¢
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of October 19 2026?Won
Yes$32 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 29?Lost
Yes$2 @ 13.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on November 6?Won
No$68 @ 76.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 10?Won
No$85 @ 77.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 10?Lost
Yes$6 @ 19.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 3?Won
Yes$56 @ 38.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on November 1?Won
No$43 @ 56.0¢
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of October 12 2026?Lost
Yes$53 @ 74.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 30?Lost
Yes$11 @ 10.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on November 10?Lost
Yes$5 @ 29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 1?Lost
Yes$21 @ 16.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 28?Won
No$22 @ 78.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 8?Lost
Yes$4 @ 13.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on November 4?Won
No$58 @ 76.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on November 4?Lost
Yes$7 @ 16.1¢
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $367.50 Week of October 12 2026?Won
Yes$32 @ 31.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 9?Lost
Yes$8 @ 8.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 2?Lost
Yes$19 @ 19.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 6?Lost
Yes$1 @ 11.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 1?Won
Yes$53 @ 20.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 29?Won
No$39 @ 60.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on November 9?Lost
Yes$110 @ 32.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 28?Lost
Yes$29 @ 43.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on November 6?Lost
Yes$20 @ 25.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on November 1?Lost
Yes$118 @ 43.0¢
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 19 2026?Lost
Yes$68 @ 67.2¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 19 above $215?Won
No$26 @ 26.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on November 8?Lost
Yes$7 @ 49.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 31?Lost
Yes$50 @ 45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on November 7?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 29?Lost
Yes$6 @ 19.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 66-67°F on November 8?Lost
Yes$15 @ 15.8¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on November 8?	Science	Yes	$397	52.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C on November 8?	Science	No	$379	60.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on November 6?	—	Yes	$330	37.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 5?	—	No	$314	67.7¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 10?	Science	No	$312	62.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on November 12?	Science	Yes	$290	39.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C or higher on November 8?	Science	Yes	$288	45.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 6?	—	No	$239	61.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on November 7?	Science	No	$230	62.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 2?	Science	Yes	$226	45.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 6?	—	Yes	$223	43.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 2?	Science	No	$219	58.6¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 6?	—	Yes	$217	33.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on November 4?	Science	Yes	$199	55.6¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 8?	Science	Yes	$193	32.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on November 3?	Science	No	$186	62.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on November 12?	Science	No	$180	57.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 11?	Science	No	$178	73.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 3?	Science	Yes	$177	36.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 1?	Science	No	$176	66.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 6?	—	Yes	$174	27.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 1?	Science	Yes	$171	32.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 4?	Science	No	$161	44.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on November 4?	Science	Yes	$160	30.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 2?	Science	Yes	$150	26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on November 2?	Science	Yes	$145	23.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 31?	Science	No	$143	50.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 5?	—	Yes	$140	15.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 5?	—	Yes	$127	17.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 9?	Science	No	$124	59.6¢

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on November 8?Science
Yes$397 @ 52.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C on November 8?Science
No$379 @ 60.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on November 6?—
Yes$330 @ 37.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 5?—
No$314 @ 67.7¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 10?Science
No$312 @ 62.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on November 12?Science
Yes$290 @ 39.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C or higher on November 8?Science
Yes$288 @ 45.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 6?—
No$239 @ 61.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on November 7?Science
No$230 @ 62.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 2?Science
Yes$226 @ 45.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 6?—
Yes$223 @ 43.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 2?Science
No$219 @ 58.6¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 6?—
Yes$217 @ 33.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on November 4?Science
Yes$199 @ 55.6¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 8?Science
Yes$193 @ 32.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on November 3?Science
No$186 @ 62.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on November 12?Science
No$180 @ 57.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 11?Science
No$178 @ 73.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 3?Science
Yes$177 @ 36.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 1?Science
No$176 @ 66.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 6?—
Yes$174 @ 27.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 1?Science
Yes$171 @ 32.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 4?Science
No$161 @ 44.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on November 4?Science
Yes$160 @ 30.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 2?Science
Yes$150 @ 26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on November 2?Science
Yes$145 @ 23.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 31?Science
No$143 @ 50.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 5?—
Yes$140 @ 15.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 5?—
Yes$127 @ 17.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 9?Science
No$124 @ 59.6¢