← Smart money
0x16dd…adf5
ProfitableEdge
+4.9pp
ROI
+3%
Win rate
25% @ 19.6¢
Brier
0.113
Resolved
2402
Avg size
$39
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 21% (18/84) | +4% | 84 |
| Other | 19% (9/47) | -44% | 47 |
| Tech | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Politics | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +49% | 1 |
- Sports84 bets
- Hit rate
- 21% (18/84)
- ROI
- +4%
- Other47 bets
- Hit rate
- 19% (9/47)
- ROI
- -44%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +49%
Track record
20% hit · 28/140- Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$320 @ 1.4¢
- No$185 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$4 @ 1.1¢
- No$83 @ 85.3¢
- Yes$20 @ 8.2¢
- No$7.4k @ 81.5¢
- Yes$5.4k @ 16.5¢
- No$5 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$947 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 4.8¢
- Over$5 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.1¢
- Yes$29 @ 5.3¢
- No$300 @ 83.7¢
- Yes$257 @ 17.6¢
- Yes$12 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$12 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
- No$10 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 8.4¢
- No$165 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 6.3¢
- No$1.3k @ 83.6¢
- Yes$10.0k @ 15.7¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 2.5¢
- No$200 @ 88.1¢
- Yes$576 @ 9.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 6.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$91 @ 5.9¢
- Yes$98 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 1.5¢
- Yes$140 @ 12.1¢
- Yes$183 @ 4.1¢
- Yes$20 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$30 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.2¢
- Yes$80 @ 3.5¢
- Yes$26 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Sports | Yes | $39 | 48.0¢ |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $20 | 3.8¢ |
| Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $20 | 0.8¢ |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Tech | Yes | $13 | 1.1¢ |
| Will Tencent have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | Tech | Yes | $6 | 1.9¢ |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.3¢ |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $0 | 5.2¢ |
- Yes$39 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$20 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$13 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$6 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$0 @ 5.2¢