0x16c9…17af

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x16c9e3c6b12f190748c00dfc9a3101b9aea917af
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.9pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

46% @ 41.9¢

Brier

0.173

Resolved

871

Avg size

$11

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	52% (85/165)	+17%	165
Science	38% (12/32)	-31%	32
Tech	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other165 bets
Hit rate
52% (85/165)
ROI
+17%
Science32 bets
Hit rate
38% (12/32)
ROI
-31%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

48% hit · 97/202

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 30?	Yes	$110	52.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 30?	No	$80	78.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 30?	No	$50	79.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 29?	Yes	$30	45.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 29?	No	$100	85.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 29?	No	$10	49.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 29?	No	$130	62.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 29?	Yes	$127	20.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	$46	30.8¢	Lost
Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)	Yes	$50	65.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 2?	Yes	$3	42.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 23?	Yes	$8	8.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 7?	Yes	$22	41.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 3?	Yes	$81	49.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 14?	Yes	$2	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 5?	Yes	$95	56.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 9?	Yes	$150	78.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 1?	Yes	$10	20.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 10?	Yes	$3	53.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 3?	No	$215	76.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 15?	Yes	$43	30.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 12?	Yes	$9	4.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 9?	Yes	$10	40.0¢	Lost
Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during March press conference?	No	$15	44.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 7?	Yes	$13	43.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 2?	Yes	$52	37.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 14?	No	$200	88.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 6?	Yes	$47	47.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 20?	Yes	$201	39.5¢	Won
Will "Immigration" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 20)	No	$38	75.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 28?	No	$10	88.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 10?	Yes	$14	26.2¢	Won
Will "Dude" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)	Yes	$50	56.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 30?	No	$14	70.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 2?	Yes	$2	37.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 10?	No	$36	76.0¢	Won
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?	Yes	$12	29.0¢	Won
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$2	2.0¢	Lost
Will "War time" or "Wartime" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 13)	No	$20	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 4?	Yes	$85	58.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 7?	Yes	$9	19.0¢	Lost
Will Powell say "War" during March press conference?	No	$26	55.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 27?	No	$8	6.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20?	No	$100	75.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 3?	Yes	$6	60.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 5?	No	$399	79.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 7?	No	$40	41.6¢	Won
Will "Crazy" be said 15+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 13)	Yes	$82	82.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 28?	Yes	$62	48.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 31?	Yes	$13	22.9¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 30?Won
Yes$110 @ 52.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 30?Won
No$80 @ 78.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 30?Won
No$50 @ 79.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 29?Lost
Yes$30 @ 45.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 29?Lost
No$100 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 29?Won
No$10 @ 49.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 29?Won
No$130 @ 62.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 29?Lost
Yes$127 @ 20.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 21?Lost
Yes$46 @ 30.8¢
Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)Won
Yes$50 @ 65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 2?Won
Yes$3 @ 42.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 23?Lost
Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 7?Lost
Yes$22 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 3?Won
Yes$81 @ 49.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 14?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 5?Won
Yes$95 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 9?Lost
Yes$150 @ 78.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 1?Lost
Yes$10 @ 20.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 10?Lost
Yes$3 @ 53.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 3?Won
No$215 @ 76.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 15?Lost
Yes$43 @ 30.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 12?Lost
Yes$9 @ 4.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 9?Lost
Yes$10 @ 40.0¢
Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during March press conference?Won
No$15 @ 44.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 7?Won
Yes$13 @ 43.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 2?Lost
Yes$52 @ 37.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 14?Won
No$200 @ 88.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 6?Lost
Yes$47 @ 47.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 20?Won
Yes$201 @ 39.5¢
Will "Immigration" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 20)Won
No$38 @ 75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 28?Won
No$10 @ 88.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 10?Won
Yes$14 @ 26.2¢
Will "Dude" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)Won
Yes$50 @ 56.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 30?Won
No$14 @ 70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 2?Won
Yes$2 @ 37.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 10?Won
No$36 @ 76.0¢
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?Won
Yes$12 @ 29.0¢
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will "War time" or "Wartime" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 13)Won
No$20 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 4?Won
Yes$85 @ 58.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 7?Lost
Yes$9 @ 19.0¢
Will Powell say "War" during March press conference?Lost
No$26 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 27?Lost
No$8 @ 6.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20?Won
No$100 @ 75.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 3?Lost
Yes$6 @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 5?Won
No$399 @ 79.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 7?Won
No$40 @ 41.6¢
Will "Crazy" be said 15+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 13)Won
Yes$82 @ 82.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 28?Lost
Yes$62 @ 48.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 31?Won
Yes$13 @ 22.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 30?	Science	Yes	$110	52.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 30?	Science	No	$80	78.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 30?	Science	No	$50	79.1¢

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 30?Science
Yes$110 @ 52.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 30?Science
No$80 @ 78.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 30?Science
No$50 @ 79.1¢