← Smart money
0x1673…a9dc
SharpEdge
+14.5pp
ROI
+36%
Win rate
63% @ 48.2¢
Brier
0.123
Resolved
51
Avg size
$119
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 30% (7/23) | +36% | 23 |
| Politics | 75% (3/4) | -4% | 4 |
| Sports | 50% (1/2) | +84% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +16% | 1 |
| Culture | 100% (1/1) | +150% | 1 |
- Other23 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (7/23)
- ROI
- +36%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- -4%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +84%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +16%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +150%
Track record
42% hit · 13/31- Yes$16 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$53 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
- Grizzlies$2.2k @ 59.1¢
- No$8 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$654 @ 64.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Nuggets$280 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 89.0¢
- No$16 @ 78.0¢
- No$41 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$255 @ 50.9¢
- Yes$18 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 29.4¢
- No$7 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
- No$9 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$7 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Pelicans$600 @ 50.0¢
- Argentina$13 @ 42.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | — | Nuggets | $280 | 56.7¢ |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? | — | Yes | $16 | 80.0¢ |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | — | Argentina | $13 | 42.0¢ |
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | Politics | Yes | $12 | 29.4¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | — | Yes | $7 | 69.0¢ |
- Nuggets$280 @ 56.7¢
- Yes$16 @ 80.0¢
- Argentina$13 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 29.4¢
- Yes$7 @ 69.0¢