← Smart money
0x1603…913b
ProfitableSniperEdge
+7.8pp
ROI
+35%
Win rate
66% @ 58.5¢
Brier
0.192
Resolved
229
Avg size
$74
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 57% (59/104) | -11% | 104 |
| Sports | 32% (8/25) | -10% | 25 |
| Politics | 83% (10/12) | +7% | 12 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (4/4) | +21% | 4 |
- Other104 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (59/104)
- ROI
- -11%
- Sports25 bets
- Hit rate
- 32% (8/25)
- ROI
- -10%
- Politics12 bets
- Hit rate
- 83% (10/12)
- ROI
- +7%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (4/4)
- ROI
- +21%
Track record
56% hit · 81/145- No$7 @ 79.0¢
- Spirit$8 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 32.0¢
- No$7 @ 89.0¢
- Tundra Esports$8 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$143 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 87.2¢
- Team Falcons$8 @ 64.0¢
- Team Liquid$8 @ 72.0¢
- No$16 @ 85.0¢
- Jan Choinski$5 @ 63.0¢
- MOUZ$8 @ 23.0¢
- Arthur Rinderknech$5 @ 38.0¢
- Martin Damm$26 @ 54.1¢
- Natus Vincere$8 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 86.3¢
- Team Spirit$8 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$374 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 67.0¢
- Raphael Collignon$5 @ 69.0¢
- Nuggets$8 @ 68.0¢
- Magic$9 @ 62.0¢
- Aurora$7 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$200 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$92 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$606 @ 44.8¢
- No$7 @ 88.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$824 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 50.3¢
- Yes$6 @ 85.0¢
- PARIVISION$8 @ 48.0¢
- Team Spirit$8 @ 63.0¢
- MOUZ$8 @ 22.0¢
- No$5 @ 64.0¢
- Warriors$6 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$101 @ 62.0¢
- Nigma Galaxy$8 @ 59.0¢
- No$8 @ 54.9¢
- Natus Vincere$8 @ 42.0¢
- No$9 @ 69.0¢
- Natus Vincere$8 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 74.2¢
- GamerLegion$7 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 57.0¢
- Tyrell Fortune$6 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 19.0¢
- Katie Volynets$13 @ 40.2¢
- Yulia Starodubtseva$16 @ 72.5¢
- Spirit$7 @ 80.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | No | $7 | 68.0¢ |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $7 | 73.0¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat? | Politics | Yes | $7 | 87.0¢ |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Crypto | Yes | $5 | 80.0¢ |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 65.0¢ |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 90.0¢ |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 68.0¢ |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? | Politics | No | $5 | 81.0¢ |
| Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027? | Politics | No | $5 | 93.8¢ |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $3 | 53.9¢ |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $3 | 24.0¢ |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Science | No | $3 | 93.0¢ |
- No$7 @ 68.0¢
- No$7 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 90.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 68.0¢
- No$5 @ 81.0¢
- No$5 @ 93.8¢
- No$3 @ 53.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 24.0¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$3 @ 93.0¢