← Smart money
0x14cc…7c02
ProfitableEdge
+8.3pp
ROI
+12%
Win rate
45% @ 37.2¢
Brier
0.226
Resolved
1434
Avg size
$482
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 47% (87/186) | +16% | 186 |
| Sports | 31% (24/78) | -25% | 78 |
| Politics | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +39% | 1 |
- Other186 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (87/186)
- ROI
- +16%
- Sports78 bets
- Hit rate
- 31% (24/78)
- ROI
- -25%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +39%
Track record
42% hit · 112/268- Thunder$3.8k @ 59.5¢
- Yes$6.2k @ 25.3¢
- Cavaliers$311 @ 21.1¢
- Under$200 @ 50.8¢
- Spurs$316 @ 50.1¢
- Nuggets$2.2k @ 48.2¢
- 76ers$100 @ 61.0¢
- Kings$450 @ 33.8¢
- Timberwolves$292 @ 16.0¢
- Warriors$1.3k @ 53.9¢
- Wizards$202 @ 14.2¢
- 76ers$397 @ 29.0¢
- Mavericks$392 @ 14.7¢
- Rockets$1.0k @ 40.9¢
- Yes$13 @ 4.0¢
- Hawks$1 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 40.0¢
- 76ers$2.2k @ 55.9¢
- Cavaliers$4.8k @ 56.1¢
- Jazz$209 @ 53.0¢
- Pacers vs. BucksLostPacers$292 @ 53.0¢
- Heat vs. HornetsLostHeat$101 @ 58.0¢
- Hawks$99 @ 55.4¢
- Jazz$500 @ 50.0¢
- Bucks$1 @ 36.0¢
- 76ers$101 @ 22.0¢
- Suns$4.0k @ 27.5¢
- 76ers$2.5k @ 50.0¢
- Pacers vs. KingsLostPacers$105 @ 13.8¢
- Pistons$775 @ 52.0¢
- No$10 @ 19.9¢
- Hornets$2.7k @ 52.7¢
- Lakers vs. HeatLostHeat$9.8k @ 58.3¢
- Lakers$2.7k @ 38.9¢
- Celtics$2.9k @ 38.0¢
- MIBR fe$774 @ 36.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 24.1¢
- Grêmio Esports$77 @ 45.0¢
- Nets vs. HeatLostNets$17 @ 8.0¢
- Warriors$500 @ 48.0¢
- No$1000 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 11.8¢
- Warriors$18.2k @ 34.3¢
- FC Barcelona$1000 @ 52.6¢
- Spurs$7.5k @ 48.3¢
- Timberwolves$2.6k @ 53.0¢
- Magic$3.5k @ 27.6¢
- Spurs$262 @ 47.0¢
- G2 Esports$7 @ 44.0¢
- Damajuana$450 @ 46.8¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $6.2k | 25.3¢ |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Sports | Heat | $2.4k | 43.3¢ |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets | Sports | Nuggets | $2.2k | 48.2¢ |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers | Sports | Thunder | $2.1k | 52.0¢ |
| Cavaliers vs. Hornets | Sports | Cavaliers | $1.5k | 53.8¢ |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies | Sports | Nuggets | $1.4k | 59.3¢ |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Sports | 76ers | $1.4k | 47.0¢ |
| Grizzlies vs. Warriors | Sports | Warriors | $1.3k | 53.9¢ |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets | Sports | Rockets | $1.0k | 40.9¢ |
| Nuggets vs. Rockets | Sports | Nuggets | $539 | 20.0¢ |
| Grizzlies vs. Kings | Sports | Kings | $450 | 33.8¢ |
| Pistons vs. 76ers | Sports | 76ers | $397 | 29.0¢ |
| Kings vs. Mavericks | Sports | Mavericks | $392 | 14.7¢ |
| Rockets vs. Suns | Sports | Rockets | $332 | 34.0¢ |
| Rockets vs. Spurs | Sports | Spurs | $316 | 50.1¢ |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Sports | Cavaliers | $311 | 21.1¢ |
| Nuggets vs. Jazz | Sports | Jazz | $300 | 26.4¢ |
| Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers | Sports | Timberwolves | $292 | 16.0¢ |
| Spread: 76ers (-5.5) | Sports | 76ers | $282 | 56.0¢ |
| Wizards vs. Pistons | Sports | Wizards | $245 | 21.7¢ |
| Wizards vs. Hornets | Sports | Wizards | $202 | 14.2¢ |
| Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 231.5 | Sports | Under | $200 | 50.8¢ |
| Trail Blazers vs. Lakers | Sports | Trail Blazers | $200 | 19.0¢ |
| Jazz vs. Grizzlies | Sports | Jazz | $150 | 6.9¢ |
| Bulls vs. Nuggets | Sports | Bulls | $150 | 18.7¢ |
| Kings vs. Warriors | Sports | Kings | $150 | 26.0¢ |
| Spread: 76ers (-4.5) | — | 76ers | $100 | 61.0¢ |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings | Sports | Kings | $50 | 3.1¢ |
| Lakers vs. Pistons | Sports | Pistons | $25 | 8.0¢ |
| Nets vs. Heat | Sports | Nets | $16 | 8.0¢ |
- Yes$6.2k @ 25.3¢
- Heat vs. HornetsSportsHeat$2.4k @ 43.3¢
- Warriors vs. NuggetsSportsNuggets$2.2k @ 48.2¢
- Thunder$2.1k @ 52.0¢
- Cavaliers vs. HornetsSportsCavaliers$1.5k @ 53.8¢
- Nuggets vs. GrizzliesSportsNuggets$1.4k @ 59.3¢
- Celtics vs. 76ersSports76ers$1.4k @ 47.0¢
- Grizzlies vs. WarriorsSportsWarriors$1.3k @ 53.9¢
- Timberwolves vs. RocketsSportsRockets$1.0k @ 40.9¢
- Nuggets vs. RocketsSportsNuggets$539 @ 20.0¢
- Grizzlies vs. KingsSportsKings$450 @ 33.8¢
- Pistons vs. 76ersSports76ers$397 @ 29.0¢
- Kings vs. MavericksSportsMavericks$392 @ 14.7¢
- Rockets vs. SunsSportsRockets$332 @ 34.0¢
- Rockets vs. SpursSportsSpurs$316 @ 50.1¢
- Cavaliers vs. HawksSportsCavaliers$311 @ 21.1¢
- Nuggets vs. JazzSportsJazz$300 @ 26.4¢
- Timberwolves$292 @ 16.0¢
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Sports76ers$282 @ 56.0¢
- Wizards vs. PistonsSportsWizards$245 @ 21.7¢
- Wizards vs. HornetsSportsWizards$202 @ 14.2¢
- Under$200 @ 50.8¢
- Trail Blazers vs. LakersSportsTrail Blazers$200 @ 19.0¢
- Jazz vs. GrizzliesSportsJazz$150 @ 6.9¢
- Bulls vs. NuggetsSportsBulls$150 @ 18.7¢
- Kings vs. WarriorsSportsKings$150 @ 26.0¢
- 76ers$100 @ 61.0¢
- Trail Blazers vs. KingsSportsKings$50 @ 3.1¢
- Lakers vs. PistonsSportsPistons$25 @ 8.0¢
- Nets vs. HeatSportsNets$16 @ 8.0¢