← Smart money
0x14c3…df68
SharpEdge
+12.1pp
ROI
+41%
Win rate
37% @ 24.8¢
Brier
0.189
Resolved
1441
Avg size
$345
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 47% (17/36) | +44% | 36 |
| Sports | 27% (7/26) | +33% | 26 |
| Politics | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other36 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (17/36)
- ROI
- +44%
- Sports26 bets
- Hit rate
- 27% (7/26)
- ROI
- +33%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
36% hit · 24/66- Yes$5.2k @ 33.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.2¢
- No$117.3k @ 81.9¢
- Yes$22.9k @ 14.5¢
- Yes$9 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$14 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$489 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$12.3k @ 1.4¢
- Yes$21.8k @ 3.4¢
- Yes$5.4k @ 2.4¢
- Yes$400 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$15.0k @ 34.2¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 2.4¢
- Yes$24 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 46.1¢
- Colombia$5.9k @ 61.0¢
- Switzerland$4.5k @ 45.9¢
- Yes$246 @ 0.1¢
- No$45 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$16.3k @ 12.3¢
- Yes$3.1k @ 2.4¢
- Argentina$33.6k @ 35.3¢
- Egypt$52.6k @ 50.2¢
- Belgium$7.7k @ 46.3¢
- No$26 @ 46.0¢
- No$16.3k @ 6.3¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 26.4¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 32.0¢
- Ghana$222 @ 20.0¢
- England$3.4k @ 51.5¢
- No$678 @ 21.0¢
- No$111.0k @ 62.3¢
- No$18.2k @ 48.0¢
- Norway$2.5k @ 22.0¢
- CF Villarreal C$350 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$274 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 69.5¢
- Yes$222 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$13.7k @ 1.7¢
- Yes$185 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$99 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$3 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$999 @ 22.6¢
- Yes$581 @ 14.8¢
- Robert Ruchala$27 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 40.7¢
- Yes$288 @ 80.8¢
- Yes$40 @ 0.6¢
- Dione Barbosa$730 @ 25.8¢
- Melissa Gatto$1.7k @ 45.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $138.1k | 50.0¢ |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | No | $138.1k | 50.0¢ |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | Tech | Yes | $3.1k | 26.5¢ |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Geopolitics | Yes | $604 | 72.3¢ |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | Tech | No | $393 | 22.8¢ |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Tech | Yes | $145 | 2.1¢ |
- Yes$138.1k @ 50.0¢
- No$138.1k @ 50.0¢
- Yes$3.1k @ 26.5¢
- Yes$604 @ 72.3¢
- No$393 @ 22.8¢
- Yes$145 @ 2.1¢