← Smart money
0x143d…5fd5
ProfitableEdge
+76.8pp
ROI
+249%
Win rate
93% @ 16.2¢
Brier
0.687
Resolved
57
Avg size
$63
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 67% (2/3) | +305% | 3 |
| Other | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +305%
- Other1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
50% hit · 2/4| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | $100 | 62.0¢ | Won |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | Yes | $497 | 23.9¢ | Lost |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | $700 | 38.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | $2.3k | 18.5¢ | Won |
- No$100 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$497 @ 23.9¢
- Yes$700 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 18.5¢
Recent trades
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