0x1428…3905

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1428a464b97b9ffbce984b4d02dec30cae0c3905
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+17.1pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

87% @ 69.7¢

Brier

0.075

Resolved

Avg size

$327

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	70% (7/10)	+15%	10
Economy	50% (1/2)	+57%	2
Sports	100% (1/1)	+50%	1
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other10 bets
Hit rate
70% (7/10)
ROI
+15%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+57%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+50%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

64% hit · 9/14

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	$273	54.6¢	Won
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	$46	46.0¢	Lost
Fed rate hike in 2025?	No	$85	85.0¢	Won
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	$113	80.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	Yes	$17	15.0¢	Lost
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?	Yes	$85	75.0¢	Won
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?	Yes	$16	2.7¢	Lost
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	$75	75.0¢	Lost
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$25	66.8¢	Won
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$143	86.0¢	Won
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?	Yes	$10	70.0¢	Won
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?	No	$17.4k	85.6¢	Won
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	Yes	$166	6.0¢	Lost
Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?	No	$3.8k	87.7¢	Won

Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Won
No$273 @ 54.6¢
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Lost
Yes$46 @ 46.0¢
Fed rate hike in 2025?Won
No$85 @ 85.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Won
Yes$113 @ 80.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Lost
Yes$17 @ 15.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Won
Yes$85 @ 75.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Lost
Yes$16 @ 2.7¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Lost
No$75 @ 75.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$25 @ 66.8¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Won
Yes$143 @ 86.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Won
Yes$10 @ 70.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Won
No$17.4k @ 85.6¢
Xi Jinping out in 2025?Lost
Yes$166 @ 6.0¢
Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?Won
No$3.8k @ 87.7¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$11.9k	85.5¢
US x China Military clash before 2027?	Politics	No	$2.6k	91.8¢
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Politics	No	$2.0k	85.4¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Tech	No	$1.9k	79.3¢
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Politics	No	$1.0k	84.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$698	72.5¢

China x Japan military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
No$11.9k @ 85.5¢
US x China Military clash before 2027?Politics
No$2.6k @ 91.8¢
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Politics
No$2.0k @ 85.4¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech
No$1.9k @ 79.3¢
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics
No$1.0k @ 84.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
No$698 @ 72.5¢