0x141a…95a9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x141a9118c636af2a33d590a97e736f8bc15e95a9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.4pp

ROI

+23%

Win rate

55% @ 46.9¢

Brier

0.202

Resolved

899

Avg size

$44

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	59% (76/129)	+20%	129
Sports	50% (15/30)	+21%	30
Politics	50% (1/2)	+65%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+19%	1

Other129 bets
Hit rate
59% (76/129)
ROI
+20%
Sports30 bets
Hit rate
50% (15/30)
ROI
+21%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+65%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+19%

Track record

57% hit · 93/162

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Senators vs. Maple Leafs	Maple Leafs	$283	51.0¢	Lost
Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	$29	37.0¢	Lost
Capitals vs. Penguins	Capitals	$319	57.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)	Yousri Belgaroui	$156	47.3¢	Won
Predators vs. Blackhawks	Predators	$100	51.0¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	$124	56.0¢	Lost
SHL: HV71 vs. Malmö	Malmö	$46	48.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$500	25.2¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)	Brad Tavares	$98	49.0¢	Lost
Dana White's Contender Series: Isaac Moreno vs. Reginaldo Junior (Welterweight, Main Card)	Isaac Moreno	$1.4k	52.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs. Shem Rock (Lightweight, Prelims)	Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady	$50	47.0¢	Won
Wild vs. Golden Knights	Wild	$284	50.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Luana Santos	$3	47.0¢	Won
Blue Jackets vs. Flyers	Blue Jackets	$108	56.0¢	Won
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$292	73.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)	Tommy McMillen	$440	88.0¢	Won
Islanders vs. Blues	Islanders	$100	53.0¢	Won
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	$4	37.0¢	Won
Sabres vs. Ducks	Sabres	$141	51.7¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)	Israel Adesanya	$280	56.0¢	Lost
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	$440	44.3¢	Won
ELH: Trinec vs. Dynamo Pardubice	Dynamo Pardubice	$147	49.0¢	Lost
Spread: Blues (-1.5)	Blues	$52	42.0¢	Won
Sabres vs. Bruins	Sabres	$147	49.0¢	Won
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)	Tatiana Suarez	$812	58.0¢	Won
NL: Lausanne vs. Geneve-Servette	Geneve-Servette	$194	46.5¢	Lost
SHL: Timrå vs. Örebro HK	Örebro HK	$58	46.0¢	Won
World Championships: USA vs. Switzerland	Switzerland	$106	53.0¢	Won
Will Sean Strickland become UFC champion in 2026?	No	$45	49.0¢	Lost
Dana White's Contender Series: Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia (Flyweight, Main Card)	Bilal Hasan	$797	88.6¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$346	69.2¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Malcolm Wellmaker	$201	67.0¢	Lost
Oilers vs. Golden Knights	Oilers	$100	44.0¢	Won
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)	King Green	$164	41.0¢	Won
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	$301	40.1¢	Lost
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-08-13?	Yes	$1.3k	71.0¢	Lost
O/U 2.5 Rounds	Over	$6	56.0¢	Won
NL: Ambri-Piotta vs. Ajoie	Ajoie	$24	27.5¢	Lost
Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	$153	38.0¢	Lost
NL: Geneve-Servette vs. Lausanne	Geneve-Servette	$193	60.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Rodrigo Vera vs. Zhu Kangjie (Featherweight, Prelims)	Rodrigo Vera	$329	47.0¢	Won
Will the announcers say "Nasty" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?	Yes	$8	71.3¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)	Christian Leroy Duncan	$226	79.0¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	$168	84.0¢	Won
NL: Lugano vs. ZSC Lions	ZSC Lions	$106	51.0¢	Won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5	Over	$237	70.3¢	Won
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?	No	$72	53.9¢	Lost
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Switzerland	$16	49.0¢	Won
AHL: Laval Rocket vs. Toronto Marlies	Toronto Marlies	$144	48.0¢	Won
Red Wings vs. Penguins	Penguins	$334	51.0¢	Won

Senators vs. Maple LeafsLost
Maple Leafs$283 @ 51.0¢
Fight to Go the Distance?Lost
Yes$29 @ 37.0¢
Capitals vs. PenguinsWon
Capitals$319 @ 57.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)Won
Yousri Belgaroui$156 @ 47.3¢
Predators vs. BlackhawksWon
Predators$100 @ 51.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Lost
Yes$124 @ 56.0¢
SHL: HV71 vs. MalmöWon
Malmö$46 @ 48.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLost
Switzerland$500 @ 25.2¢
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)Lost
Brad Tavares$98 @ 49.0¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Isaac Moreno vs. Reginaldo Junior (Welterweight, Main Card)Won
Isaac Moreno$1.4k @ 52.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs. Shem Rock (Lightweight, Prelims)Won
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady$50 @ 47.0¢
Wild vs. Golden KnightsWon
Wild$284 @ 50.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)Won
Luana Santos$3 @ 47.0¢
Blue Jackets vs. FlyersWon
Blue Jackets$108 @ 56.0¢
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$292 @ 73.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)Won
Tommy McMillen$440 @ 88.0¢
Islanders vs. BluesWon
Islanders$100 @ 53.0¢
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?Won
Yes$4 @ 37.0¢
Sabres vs. DucksLost
Sabres$141 @ 51.7¢
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)Lost
Israel Adesanya$280 @ 56.0¢
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Won
Yes$440 @ 44.3¢
ELH: Trinec vs. Dynamo PardubiceLost
Dynamo Pardubice$147 @ 49.0¢
Spread: Blues (-1.5)Won
Blues$52 @ 42.0¢
Sabres vs. BruinsWon
Sabres$147 @ 49.0¢
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)Won
Tatiana Suarez$812 @ 58.0¢
NL: Lausanne vs. Geneve-ServetteLost
Geneve-Servette$194 @ 46.5¢
SHL: Timrå vs. Örebro HKWon
Örebro HK$58 @ 46.0¢
World Championships: USA vs. SwitzerlandWon
Switzerland$106 @ 53.0¢
Will Sean Strickland become UFC champion in 2026?Lost
No$45 @ 49.0¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia (Flyweight, Main Card)Won
Bilal Hasan$797 @ 88.6¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$346 @ 69.2¢
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)Lost
Malcolm Wellmaker$201 @ 67.0¢
Oilers vs. Golden KnightsWon
Oilers$100 @ 44.0¢
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)Won
King Green$164 @ 41.0¢
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-09-18?Lost
Yes$301 @ 40.1¢
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-08-13?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 71.0¢
O/U 2.5 RoundsWon
Over$6 @ 56.0¢
NL: Ambri-Piotta vs. AjoieLost
Ajoie$24 @ 27.5¢
Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-09-20?Lost
Yes$153 @ 38.0¢
NL: Geneve-Servette vs. LausanneLost
Geneve-Servette$193 @ 60.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Rodrigo Vera vs. Zhu Kangjie (Featherweight, Prelims)Won
Rodrigo Vera$329 @ 47.0¢
Will the announcers say "Nasty" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?Won
Yes$8 @ 71.3¢
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)Won
Christian Leroy Duncan$226 @ 79.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Won
Yes$168 @ 84.0¢
NL: Lugano vs. ZSC LionsWon
ZSC Lions$106 @ 51.0¢
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Won
Over$237 @ 70.3¢
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Lost
No$72 @ 53.9¢
World Championships: Switzerland vs. FinlandWon
Switzerland$16 @ 49.0¢
AHL: Laval Rocket vs. Toronto MarliesWon
Toronto Marlies$144 @ 48.0¢
Red Wings vs. PenguinsWon
Penguins$334 @ 51.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Deiveson Figueiredo become UFC champion in 2026?	Sports	No	$502	96.7¢
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?	Politics	No	$484	96.9¢
Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?	Sports	No	$408	96.0¢
Will Diego Lopes become UFC champion in 2026?	Sports	No	$363	95.0¢
UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Sports	Natalia Silva	$320	64.0¢
Senators vs. Maple Leafs	Sports	Maple Leafs	$283	51.0¢
Will Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026?	Sports	No	$250	98.0¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Sports	Ilias Bulaid	$245	49.0¢
Will Sean O'Malley become UFC champion in 2026?	Sports	No	$172	85.1¢
Will Aljamain Sterling become UFC champion in 2026?	Sports	No	$134	96.9¢
Will Jack Della Maddalena become UFC champion in 2026?	Sports	No	$105	97.5¢
Will Cory Sandhagen become UFC champion in 2026?	Sports	No	$80	97.9¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$27	4.1¢
Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026?	Sports	No	$24	96.0¢
Will Jiří Procházka become UFC champion in 2026?	Sports	No	$22	95.6¢
Will Charles Oliveira become UFC champion in 2026?	Sports	No	$20	95.6¢
Will Sergei Pavlovich become UFC champion in 2026?	Sports	No	$20	96.8¢
Will Kamaru Usman become UFC champion in 2026?	Sports	No	$17	94.4¢
Will Shavkat Rakhmonov become UFC champion in 2026?	Sports	No	$15	97.0¢
Will Yair Rodriguez become UFC champion in 2026?	Sports	No	$14	97.0¢
Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026?	Sports	No	$9	97.0¢

Will Deiveson Figueiredo become UFC champion in 2026?Sports
No$502 @ 96.7¢
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?Politics
No$484 @ 96.9¢
Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?Sports
No$408 @ 96.0¢
Will Diego Lopes become UFC champion in 2026?Sports
No$363 @ 95.0¢
UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)Sports
Natalia Silva$320 @ 64.0¢
Senators vs. Maple LeafsSports
Maple Leafs$283 @ 51.0¢
Will Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026?Sports
No$250 @ 98.0¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)Sports
Ilias Bulaid$245 @ 49.0¢
Will Sean O'Malley become UFC champion in 2026?Sports
No$172 @ 85.1¢
Will Aljamain Sterling become UFC champion in 2026?Sports
No$134 @ 96.9¢
Will Jack Della Maddalena become UFC champion in 2026?Sports
No$105 @ 97.5¢
Will Cory Sandhagen become UFC champion in 2026?Sports
No$80 @ 97.9¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$27 @ 4.1¢
Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026?Sports
No$24 @ 96.0¢
Will Jiří Procházka become UFC champion in 2026?Sports
No$22 @ 95.6¢
Will Charles Oliveira become UFC champion in 2026?Sports
No$20 @ 95.6¢
Will Sergei Pavlovich become UFC champion in 2026?Sports
No$20 @ 96.8¢
Will Kamaru Usman become UFC champion in 2026?Sports
No$17 @ 94.4¢
Will Shavkat Rakhmonov become UFC champion in 2026?Sports
No$15 @ 97.0¢
Will Yair Rodriguez become UFC champion in 2026?Sports
No$14 @ 97.0¢
Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026?Sports
No$9 @ 97.0¢