0x13fd…f553

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x13fd785335c1b1fa825cfd4176a07fb44bd9f553
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.9pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

45% @ 41.1¢

Brier

0.144

Resolved

1173

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	46% (97/211)	+6%	211
Science	21% (6/29)	-27%	29
Sports	54% (13/24)	+32%	24
Geopolitics	82% (9/11)	+7%	11
Politics	80% (4/5)	+51%	5
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+52%	1

Other211 bets
Hit rate
46% (97/211)
ROI
+6%
Science29 bets
Hit rate
21% (6/29)
ROI
-27%
Sports24 bets
Hit rate
54% (13/24)
ROI
+32%
Geopolitics11 bets
Hit rate
82% (9/11)
ROI
+7%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
80% (4/5)
ROI
+51%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+52%

Track record

46% hit · 130/281

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$7	31.5¢	Won
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	No	$2	42.0¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$3	31.0¢	Won
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?	No	$8	87.9¢	Won
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?	No	$6	66.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?	No	$33	86.7¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?	No	$6	64.4¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 13?	No	$20	85.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 18?	Yes	$0	3.0¢	Lost
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-02-02?	No	$96	73.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?	No	$3	77.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 5?	No	$1	72.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on June 5?	Yes	$1	18.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 21?	Yes	$1	41.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	No	$65	61.1¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	Yes	$1	60.0¢	Lost
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)	Celtics	$36	53.5¢	Won
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)	Mavericks	$2	49.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 13?	No	$21	60.8¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	No	$5	42.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 9?	No	$1	30.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 18?	Yes	$1	3.1¢	Lost
Valencia: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Daniel Merida Aguilar	Aleksandar Kovacevic	$4	30.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 7?	Yes	$4	28.8¢	Lost
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	No	$63	74.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	$1	34.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 19?	Yes	$0	3.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 16?	No	$6	63.0¢	Won
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	HANJIN BRION Challengers	$2	23.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 16?	Yes	$4	26.0¢	Lost
Magic vs. Thunder	Magic	$59	27.0¢	Lost
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	$50	61.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 22?	No	$1	48.0¢	Lost
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?	Yes	$3	5.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?	Yes	$9	85.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on February 8?	Yes	$7	69.7¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 3?	Yes	$50	20.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 20?	Yes	$2	7.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	No	$11	12.9¢	Lost
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	PlayTime	$13	51.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 10?	No	$18	88.1¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 5?	Yes	$2	23.0¢	Lost
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	San Francisco Giants	$5	81.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	Yes	$9	16.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	$22	22.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 16?	Yes	$5	36.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	$108	66.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	$7	52.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 12?	Yes	$1	6.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5?	No	$1	49.9¢	Won

Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?Won
Yes$7 @ 31.5¢
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Lost
No$2 @ 42.0¢
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Won
Yes$3 @ 31.0¢
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?Won
No$8 @ 87.9¢
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?Won
No$6 @ 66.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?Won
No$33 @ 86.7¢
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?Won
No$6 @ 64.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 13?Lost
No$20 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 18?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-02-02?Won
No$96 @ 73.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?Lost
No$3 @ 77.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 5?Won
No$1 @ 72.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on June 5?Lost
Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 21?Lost
Yes$1 @ 41.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Won
No$65 @ 61.1¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 60.0¢
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Won
Celtics$36 @ 53.5¢
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Lost
Mavericks$2 @ 49.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 13?Won
No$21 @ 60.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?Lost
No$5 @ 42.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 9?Won
No$1 @ 30.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 18?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Valencia: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Daniel Merida AguilarWon
Aleksandar Kovacevic$4 @ 30.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 7?Lost
Yes$4 @ 28.8¢
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Lost
No$63 @ 74.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 26?Won
Yes$1 @ 34.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 19?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 16?Won
No$6 @ 63.0¢
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2Lost
HANJIN BRION Challengers$2 @ 23.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 16?Lost
Yes$4 @ 26.0¢
Magic vs. ThunderLost
Magic$59 @ 27.0¢
Cavaliers vs. PistonsWon
Pistons$50 @ 61.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 22?Lost
No$1 @ 48.0¢
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?Won
Yes$9 @ 85.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on February 8?Lost
Yes$7 @ 69.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 3?Won
Yes$50 @ 20.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 20?Lost
Yes$2 @ 7.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?Lost
No$11 @ 12.9¢
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerLost
PlayTime$13 @ 51.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 10?Won
No$18 @ 88.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 5?Lost
Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesWon
San Francisco Giants$5 @ 81.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?Lost
Yes$9 @ 16.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?Lost
Yes$22 @ 22.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 16?Lost
Yes$5 @ 36.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Won
No$108 @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 18?Won
Yes$7 @ 52.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 12?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5?Won
No$1 @ 49.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$43	32.7¢
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$36	44.1¢
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$24	66.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	10.0¢
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$2	25.5¢

Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?Geopolitics
Yes$43 @ 32.7¢
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Geopolitics
No$36 @ 44.1¢
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$24 @ 66.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$2 @ 25.5¢