0x13b9…1ac3

Specialization by sphere

• Other16 bets

  Hit rate

  69% (11/16)

  ROI

  +39%

• Politics8 bets

  Hit rate

  88% (7/8)

  ROI

  +31%

• Sports5 bets

  Hit rate

  80% (4/5)

  ROI

  +90%

• Geopolitics3 bets

  Hit rate

  33% (1/3)

  ROI

  -87%

• Tech2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  -2%

• Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?Lost
  Yes$114 @ 88.2¢
• Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?Lost
  No$35 @ 39.4¢
• Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?Won
  No$4 @ 32.0¢
• Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Won
  No$8 @ 80.0¢
• Will Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?Won
  No$26 @ 86.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 18?Lost
  No$7 @ 72.0¢
• Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?Won
  No$10 @ 52.0¢
• Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Won
  No$4 @ 21.5¢
• Will Dallas Wings win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Won
  No$9 @ 86.7¢
• Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
  No$4 @ 42.6¢
• Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Won
  No$34 @ 84.1¢
• Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 15?Won
  No$1 @ 10.0¢
• Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Lost
  No$4 @ 13.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 14?Won
  No$2 @ 21.4¢
• Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?Won
  No$9 @ 88.0¢
• Will Jascha Rohr win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?Lost
  No$9 @ 70.8¢
• Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 31?Won
  No$3 @ 12.0¢
• Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election?Won
  No$7 @ 72.0¢
• Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Lost
  No$4 @ 37.0¢
• Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on September 30, 2026?Won
  No$17 @ 83.0¢
• Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-15?Won
  No$10 @ 46.5¢
• Will Grüne win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?Lost
  No$6 @ 57.0¢
• Will Roberto Cidade win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Won
  No$9 @ 84.9¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
  No$27 @ 65.8¢
• Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Won
  No$9 @ 89.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 17?Won
  No$3 @ 26.1¢
• Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Won
  No$23 @ 38.0¢
• Will Konyaspor vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?Won
  No$23 @ 56.5¢
• Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 16?Won
  No$4 @ 80.0¢
• Will Argentina win the World Cup?Won
  No$9 @ 84.4¢
• Will Trump meet with Mark Carney in September 2026?Won
  No$35 @ 68.7¢
• Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 17?Lost
  No$6 @ 63.0¢
• United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 19¢-19.5¢?Won
  No$8 @ 78.0¢
• Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?Won
  No$10 @ 28.8¢

Current positions

• Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?Geopolitics
  Yes$114 @ 88.2¢