← Smart money
0x134a…9e42
SharpEdge
+19.3pp
ROI
+21%
Win rate
51% @ 32.2¢
Brier
0.172
Resolved
4108
Avg size
$484
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 60% (62/104) | -15% | 104 |
| Politics | 53% (35/66) | +40% | 66 |
| Sports | 20% (3/15) | -6% | 15 |
| Geopolitics | 22% (2/9) | -32% | 9 |
| Science | 50% (1/2) | -91% | 2 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +0% | 1 |
- Other104 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (62/104)
- ROI
- -15%
- Politics66 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (35/66)
- ROI
- +40%
- Sports15 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (3/15)
- ROI
- -6%
- Geopolitics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 22% (2/9)
- ROI
- -32%
- Science2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -91%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +0%
Track record
53% hit · 104/197- No$1 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 88.3¢
- No$124 @ 58.5¢
- No$119 @ 77.7¢
- No$49 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$848 @ 24.4¢
- No$4.7k @ 54.8¢
- Anna Blinkova$94 @ 86.0¢
- No$9.3k @ 75.9¢
- No$415 @ 33.1¢
- Yes$11 @ 70.0¢
- No$438 @ 71.0¢
- No$163 @ 71.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 38.0¢
- No$41 @ 75.6¢
- Yes$144 @ 82.0¢
- No$9 @ 70.2¢
- No$1.1k @ 24.6¢
- No$6 @ 76.0¢
- No$404 @ 89.8¢
- Gilbert Burns$10 @ 29.0¢
- No$324 @ 27.6¢
- Yes$2.9k @ 79.2¢
- Yes$24 @ 59.2¢
- No$136 @ 74.0¢
- No$147 @ 19.1¢
- Yes$3.5k @ 0.7¢
- Yes$104 @ 67.1¢
- Magic$34.7k @ 20.0¢
- Yes$4.5k @ 17.5¢
- Yes$901 @ 73.0¢
- No$568 @ 58.9¢
- No$375 @ 4.6¢
- Yes$2.9k @ 2.9¢
- Yes$3.6k @ 12.2¢
- Yes$11.6k @ 67.4¢
- No$151 @ 62.2¢
- Menery$183 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$2.7k @ 30.1¢
- No$4.8k @ 83.3¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 45.7¢
- No$9 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 52.9¢
- No$126 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$262 @ 49.4¢
- Yes$300 @ 1.2¢
- No$906 @ 87.7¢
- No$3.4k @ 16.0¢
- Yes$32.0k @ 47.1¢
- Yes$5.4k @ 9.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | No | $30.1k | 76.6¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $11.1k | 76.0¢ |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | Politics | No | $551 | 83.4¢ |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Politics | No | $258 | 63.0¢ |
| Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $155 | 50.5¢ |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $14 | 17.0¢ |
- No$30.1k @ 76.6¢
- Yes$11.1k @ 76.0¢
- No$551 @ 83.4¢
- No$258 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$155 @ 50.5¢
- Yes$14 @ 17.0¢