0x133b…2f22

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x133ba4d001ae339bfb08631eead95c5dabe92f22
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.9pp

ROI

+53%

Win rate

45% @ 32.0¢

Brier

0.219

Resolved

996

Avg size

$260

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	35% (49/140)	+52%	140
Politics	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Sports	33% (1/3)	+92%	3

Other140 bets
Hit rate
35% (49/140)
ROI
+52%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+92%

Track record

34% hit · 50/147

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	No	$2.0k	9.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say 'Panama' during the 2025 State of the Union?	Yes	$3	20.0¢	Won
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines	Arizona Wildcats	$200	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump sign the Reconciliation bill by July 4?	Yes	$830	83.0¢	Won
Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?	No	$897	10.0¢	Lost
Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?	Yes	$710	75.0¢	Won
UConn vs. North Carolina	UConn	$20	46.0¢	Won
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	$1.2k	61.0¢	Lost
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last less than 80 seconds?	Yes	$2	1.4¢	Lost
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	$1.2k	61.0¢	Lost
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	$352	18.6¢	Lost
Will Eric Adams be removed as NYC mayor?	No	$339	70.6¢	Won
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?	No	$20	20.0¢	Won
Super Bowl LIX Winner	Chiefs	$351	31.9¢	Lost
Will Behn win TN-07?	No	$850	85.0¢	Won
Will St. Louis SC vs. LA Galaxy end in a draw?	Yes	$33	66.0¢	Won
Jaguars vs. Broncos	Broncos	$491	8.1¢	Lost
Will Trump visit Russia before July?	No	$218	60.0¢	Won
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?	Yes	$2.0k	26.0¢	Won
Will Saquon Barkley score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?	Yes	$26	20.2¢	Lost
Lakers vs. Warriors	Lakers	$10	40.0¢	Won
Concacaf Gold Cup: USA vs. Costa Rica (To Advance)	USA	$127	33.0¢	Won
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$101	34.7¢	Won
Pacers vs. Thunder	Pacers	$62	0.3¢	Lost
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	No	$17.3k	73.5¢	Won
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	No	$34.0k	31.0¢	Won
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	Yes	$979	37.8¢	Lost
TikTok sale announced before April?	Yes	$158	10.4¢	Lost
Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	$330	40.0¢	Lost
Will Ken Martin be the next DNC chair?	Yes	$1.1k	33.4¢	Won
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?	No	$1.8k	6.0¢	Lost
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?	No	$20	0.2¢	Lost
Will Ron DeSantis be Trump's Defense Secretary?	Yes	$29	1.0¢	Lost
Louisville vs. Washington	Louisville	$10	49.0¢	Won
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	$2	0.8¢	Lost
Will "I'm Not a Robot" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?	No	$36	1.0¢	Lost
Wyoming vs. Colorado	Wyoming	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel	Schimel	$282	4.8¢	Lost
Will 150-174 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill?	No	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?	No	$473	22.9¢	Lost
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?	No	$178	7.0¢	Lost
76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	$10	24.0¢	Won
Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?	Yes	$78	4.6¢	Lost
Knicks vs. Pacers	Knicks	$57	0.3¢	Lost
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance)	Fluminense	$75	1.0¢	Lost
Ohio State vs. Texas	Texas	$31	31.0¢	Lost
Will Qarabag win on 2025-09-16?	Yes	$10	1.0¢	Won
Will Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?	No	$0	1.1¢	Lost
Penn State vs. Boise State	Boise State	$31	21.0¢	Lost

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Lost
No$2.0k @ 9.0¢
Will Trump say 'Panama' during the 2025 State of the Union?Won
Yes$3 @ 20.0¢
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan WolverinesLost
Arizona Wildcats$200 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump sign the Reconciliation bill by July 4?Won
Yes$830 @ 83.0¢
Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?Lost
No$897 @ 10.0¢
Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?Won
Yes$710 @ 75.0¢
UConn vs. North CarolinaWon
UConn$20 @ 46.0¢
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Lost
No$1.2k @ 61.0¢
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last less than 80 seconds?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.4¢
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 61.0¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Lost
Yes$352 @ 18.6¢
Will Eric Adams be removed as NYC mayor?Won
No$339 @ 70.6¢
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Won
No$20 @ 20.0¢
Super Bowl LIX WinnerLost
Chiefs$351 @ 31.9¢
Will Behn win TN-07?Won
No$850 @ 85.0¢
Will St. Louis SC vs. LA Galaxy end in a draw?Won
Yes$33 @ 66.0¢
Jaguars vs. BroncosLost
Broncos$491 @ 8.1¢
Will Trump visit Russia before July?Won
No$218 @ 60.0¢
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 26.0¢
Will Saquon Barkley score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?Lost
Yes$26 @ 20.2¢
Lakers vs. WarriorsWon
Lakers$10 @ 40.0¢
Concacaf Gold Cup: USA vs. Costa Rica (To Advance) Won
USA $127 @ 33.0¢
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Won
Yes$101 @ 34.7¢
Pacers vs. ThunderLost
Pacers$62 @ 0.3¢
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Won
No$17.3k @ 73.5¢
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Won
No$34.0k @ 31.0¢
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Lost
Yes$979 @ 37.8¢
TikTok sale announced before April?Lost
Yes$158 @ 10.4¢
Rockets vs. LakersLost
Lakers$330 @ 40.0¢
Will Ken Martin be the next DNC chair?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 33.4¢
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?Lost
No$1.8k @ 6.0¢
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?Lost
No$20 @ 0.2¢
Will Ron DeSantis be Trump's Defense Secretary?Lost
Yes$29 @ 1.0¢
Louisville vs. WashingtonWon
Louisville$10 @ 49.0¢
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
Will "I'm Not a Robot" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?Lost
No$36 @ 1.0¢
Wyoming vs. ColoradoLost
Wyoming$0 @ 2.0¢
Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel Lost
Schimel$282 @ 4.8¢
Will 150-174 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill?Lost
No$1 @ 3.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? Lost
No$473 @ 22.9¢
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Lost
No$178 @ 7.0¢
76ers vs. CelticsWon
76ers$10 @ 24.0¢
Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth? Lost
Yes$78 @ 4.6¢
Knicks vs. PacersLost
Knicks$57 @ 0.3¢
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance) Lost
Fluminense$75 @ 1.0¢
Ohio State vs. TexasLost
Texas$31 @ 31.0¢
Will Qarabag win on 2025-09-16?Won
Yes$10 @ 1.0¢
Will Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?Lost
No$0 @ 1.1¢
Penn State vs. Boise StateLost
Boise State$31 @ 21.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$7.9k	3.9¢
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$2.8k	1.2¢
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$2.8k	2.0¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$1.9k	3.8¢
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$202	0.1¢
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$173	0.6¢

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$7.9k @ 3.9¢
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$2.8k @ 1.2¢
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$2.8k @ 2.0¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$1.9k @ 3.8¢
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$202 @ 0.1¢
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$173 @ 0.6¢