← Smart money
0x133a…8397
SharpEdge
+9.5pp
ROI
+18%
Win rate
31% @ 21.7¢
Brier
0.079
Resolved
173
Avg size
$44
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 57% (13/23) | +46% | 23 |
| Politics | 24% (4/17) | -46% | 17 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +185% | 1 |
- Other23 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (13/23)
- ROI
- +46%
- Politics17 bets
- Hit rate
- 24% (4/17)
- ROI
- -46%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +185%
Track record
40% hit · 18/45- Yes$110 @ 61.7¢
- Yes$50 @ 33.0¢
- No$138 @ 43.0¢
- No$55 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$37 @ 53.4¢
- Yes$214 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$50 @ 20.5¢
- Yes$282 @ 31.8¢
- Yes$60 @ 39.3¢
- Yes$179 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$140 @ 33.1¢
- Yes$50 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 3.1¢
- No$20 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 56.0¢
- No$28 @ 31.6¢
- No$5 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$150 @ 48.8¢
- No$5 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 57.5¢
- Nothing$10 @ 88.1¢
- Yes$316 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$387 @ 14.8¢
- No$10 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 8.3¢
- No$158 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$170 @ 52.4¢
- Yes$20 @ 68.5¢
- Yes$29 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$410 @ 64.6¢
- Yes$410 @ 35.1¢
- No$43 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.7¢
- No$20 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$699 @ 1.8¢
- Nothing$707 @ 63.6¢
- No$90 @ 53.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 94.0¢
- No$56 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$233 @ 4.2¢
- No$130 @ 9.2¢
- Yes$100 @ 70.1¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$2.2k @ 14.5¢
- Maduro guilty of all counts?PoliticsNo$1.3k @ 77.2¢
- Yes$555 @ 36.5¢
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsNo$196 @ 36.6¢
- Yes$193 @ 45.5¢
- No$127 @ 37.1¢
- No$100 @ 98.4¢
- No$50 @ 51.8¢
- Yes$50 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$33 @ 99.2¢
- Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayGeopoliticsYes$25 @ 24.4¢
- Yes$20 @ 20.2¢
- Yes$20 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 56.4¢
- Yes$10 @ 46.0¢
- No$10 @ 42.0¢
- No$10 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 6.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 2.2¢
- No$1 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 4.7¢