0x1308…45c6

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics87 bets

  Hit rate

  64% (56/87)

  ROI

  +76%

• Other59 bets

  Hit rate

  46% (27/59)

  ROI

  -25%

• Geopolitics6 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (4/6)

  ROI

  +20%

• Sports3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  +19%

• Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
  No$167 @ 17.2¢
• U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Lost
  No$96 @ 43.0¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$255 @ 30.0¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Won
  No$118 @ 38.0¢
• Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Lost
  No$190 @ 62.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Won
  No$398 @ 49.0¢
• Paris curfew by October 24?Lost
  No$14 @ 58.0¢
• Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?Won
  No$2 @ 63.3¢
• Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Lost
  No$192 @ 24.0¢
• Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Lost
  No$382 @ 16.0¢
• US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Won
  No$35 @ 52.0¢
• Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Won
  Yes$303 @ 44.3¢
• Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Lost
  No$19 @ 56.0¢
• Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat?Lost
  No$115 @ 20.3¢
• Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$19 @ 69.6¢
• Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?Lost
  No$13 @ 36.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?Won
  No$98 @ 43.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Won
  No$133 @ 60.0¢
• Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?Lost
  No$100 @ 19.9¢
• Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Lost
  No$11 @ 25.6¢
• US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Won
  No$149 @ 30.0¢
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
  No$165 @ 36.0¢
• Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?Won
  No$8 @ 38.0¢
• US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Won
  No$50 @ 78.2¢
• Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Lost
  No$181 @ 23.0¢
• Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?Lost
  No$6 @ 55.6¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Won
  No$375 @ 78.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Lost
  No$82 @ 14.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Won
  No$269 @ 35.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Won
  No$127 @ 40.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$87 @ 64.0¢
• US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?Won
  No$80 @ 64.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Won
  No$31 @ 43.0¢
• Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Won
  No$388 @ 73.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? Won
  No$178 @ 62.0¢
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?Won
  No$18 @ 18.0¢
• Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Won
  No$5 @ 36.0¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Won
  No$50 @ 72.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Won
  No$127 @ 47.0¢
• Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Won
  No$23 @ 26.0¢
• Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?Lost
  No$174 @ 62.0¢
• Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Lost
  Yes$207 @ 25.3¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$64 @ 23.0¢
• Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 32.6¢
• Military action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026?Lost
  No$17 @ 34.6¢
• Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?Lost
  No$25 @ 47.9¢
• Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Lost
  No$11 @ 6.0¢
• Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Lost
  No$353 @ 53.0¢
• Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?Lost
  No$408 @ 36.0¢
• Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Lost
  No$403 @ 22.0¢

Current positions

• Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?—
  No$403 @ 22.0¢
• Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?—
  No$382 @ 16.0¢
• Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?—
  No$353 @ 48.2¢
• Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?—
  No$353 @ 53.0¢
• Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?—
  Yes$200 @ 25.2¢
• Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  Yes$199 @ 2.8¢
• Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Geopolitics
  No$192 @ 24.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Politics
  No$191 @ 20.0¢
• Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Geopolitics
  No$190 @ 62.0¢
• Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics
  No$189 @ 60.0¢
• Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Politics
  No$161 @ 10.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?—
  No$144 @ 70.0¢
• Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?—
  No$134 @ 12.0¢
• Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Politics
  No$133 @ 68.0¢
• US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?—
  No$120 @ 26.0¢
• Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?—
  No$120 @ 20.0¢
• Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?—
  No$102 @ 20.0¢
• Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?—
  Yes$100 @ 36.0¢
• Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Politics
  No$96 @ 16.0¢
• Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics
  No$51 @ 26.0¢
• Spain snap election called in 2026?Politics
  No$51 @ 40.0¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?Politics
  No$50 @ 62.0¢
• Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?—
  No$25 @ 47.9¢
• Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?—
  No$17 @ 45.1¢
• Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Politics
  No$11 @ 6.0¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?—
  No$9 @ 52.0¢
• Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?—
  No$1 @ 37.0¢
• Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?—
  No$0 @ 34.0¢