← Smart money
0x12bd…19cf
ProfitableEdge
+4.5pp
ROI
+3%
Win rate
76% @ 71.6¢
Brier
0.142
Resolved
681
Avg size
$3
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 57% (115/202) | +1% | 202 |
| Politics | 60% (3/5) | +33% | 5 |
| Sports | 50% (1/2) | -16% | 2 |
- Other202 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (115/202)
- ROI
- +1%
- Politics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (3/5)
- ROI
- +33%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -16%
Track record
57% hit · 119/209- Oilers vs. DucksLostOilers$1 @ 27.0¢
- Nuggets$1 @ 55.0¢
- Suns vs. ThunderLostThunder$3 @ 72.3¢
- Madison Keys$8 @ 81.0¢
- Nuggets$8 @ 77.0¢
- Texas Rangers$1 @ 77.0¢
- Mansur Abdul-Malik$6 @ 55.0¢
- Michigan Wolverines$7 @ 76.0¢
- Hornets$3 @ 87.0¢
- Belinda Bencic$7 @ 77.0¢
- Oilers$4 @ 59.0¢
- Knicks$8 @ 65.0¢
- Suns vs. LakersLostSuns$8 @ 65.0¢
- Carlos Alcaraz$1 @ 47.0¢
- Warriors$8 @ 82.0¢
- Liam Draxl$7 @ 60.4¢
- Pedro Boscardin Dias$10 @ 50.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 79.5¢
- Over$1 @ 52.0¢
- Pistons$6 @ 50.0¢
- No$6 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 46.0¢
- New York Yankees$8 @ 64.0¢
- Juan Carlos Prado$1 @ 78.0¢
- HMBLE$4 @ 86.8¢
- Toronto Blue Jays$8 @ 61.0¢
- Rockets$8 @ 83.0¢
- Jets vs. RangersLostRangers$2 @ 53.0¢
- Celtics$5 @ 67.0¢
- Magic$1 @ 60.5¢
- Pistons$2 @ 44.3¢
- Jelena Ostapenko$8 @ 66.6¢
- Bulls$8 @ 70.0¢
- Stefanos Tsitsipas$1 @ 59.0¢
- Athletics$1 @ 75.9¢
- Yes$8 @ 29.0¢
- Pittsburgh Pirates$1 @ 88.0¢
- Pacers$1 @ 50.0¢
- No$7 @ 73.0¢
- No$8 @ 88.1¢
- Clippers$7 @ 67.0¢
- Toronto Blue Jays$8 @ 60.0¢
- Magic$7 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 62.0¢
- Blues vs. DucksLostDucks$8 @ 57.0¢
- B8$1 @ 22.0¢
- Illinois Fighting Illini$6 @ 74.0¢
- No$1 @ 46.0¢
- Nets$8 @ 60.0¢
- No$5 @ 37.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $28 | 62.1¢ |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 95.2¢ |
- No$28 @ 62.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 95.2¢