0x128c…ad12

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x128cd861e622eb5951c55b730ec60115a46bad12
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.5pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

34% @ 28.8¢

Brier

0.153

Resolved

2187

Avg size

$73

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	37% (99/265)	+17%	265
Culture	38% (15/40)	-3%	40
Crypto	50% (1/2)	-14%	2
Politics	100% (1/1)	+19%	1

Other265 bets
Hit rate
37% (99/265)
ROI
+17%
Culture40 bets
Hit rate
38% (15/40)
ROI
-3%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-14%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+19%

Track record

38% hit · 116/308

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	$6	18.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	Yes	$322	47.5¢	Won
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	Yes	$1	12.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?	Yes	$24	4.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 33 million or more views on day 6?	Yes	$9	1.2¢	Lost
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 31.5 and 32 million views on day 6?	Yes	$78	55.9¢	Lost
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 32 and 32.5 million views on day 6?	Yes	$45	26.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 32.5 and 33 million views on day 6?	Yes	$8	2.2¢	Lost
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 30 million or more views on day 5?	Yes	$6	1.8¢	Won
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	$22	8.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	$4.2k	44.9¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 75 million views on day 5?	Yes	$24	5.7¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	$1.1k	83.5¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	$862	10.8¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4?	No	$308	87.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4?	Yes	$102	25.5¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$880	88.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	$105	70.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	$113	10.2¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 57 million views in week 1?	Yes	$6	4.6¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	$187	37.4¢	Won
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	No	$122	7.6¢	Won
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	Yes	$4	0.4¢	Lost
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?	No	$122	61.0¢	Lost
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?	Yes	$687	53.4¢	Lost
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?	No	$657	74.8¢	Lost
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?	Yes	$598	32.6¢	Won
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$936	57.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	$191	17.5¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	$208	52.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?	Yes	$134	31.4¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?	No	$963	58.5¢	Won
Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?	Yes	$321	26.0¢	Lost
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?	No	$18	0.3¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?	Yes	$130	6.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 65 and 67 million views on day 4?	Yes	$22	2.2¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	No	$600	76.2¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	Yes	$114	11.2¢	Lost
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	No	$119	71.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 67 and 68 million views on day 4?	Yes	$15	5.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 60 million views on day 3?	Yes	$14	1.9¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 4?	Yes	$4	88.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	$0	12.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 28 and 32 million views on day 2?	No	$3	50.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	$586	46.8¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$336	84.1¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?	Yes	$5	11.7¢	Lost
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	$730	73.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?	Yes	$16	3.2¢	Lost

Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?Lost
No$6 @ 18.0¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?Won
Yes$322 @ 47.5¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?Lost
Yes$24 @ 4.0¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 33 million or more views on day 6?Lost
Yes$9 @ 1.2¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 31.5 and 32 million views on day 6?Lost
Yes$78 @ 55.9¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 32 and 32.5 million views on day 6?Won
Yes$45 @ 26.0¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 32.5 and 33 million views on day 6?Lost
Yes$8 @ 2.2¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 30 million or more views on day 5?Won
Yes$6 @ 1.8¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?Lost
Yes$22 @ 8.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Won
Yes$4.2k @ 44.9¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 75 million views on day 5?Lost
Yes$24 @ 5.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Won
No$1.1k @ 83.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$862 @ 10.8¢
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4?Won
No$308 @ 87.0¢
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4?Lost
Yes$102 @ 25.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?Won
Yes$880 @ 88.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Won
No$105 @ 70.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Lost
Yes$113 @ 10.2¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 57 million views in week 1?Lost
Yes$6 @ 4.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Won
Yes$187 @ 37.4¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Won
No$122 @ 7.6¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.4¢
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Lost
No$122 @ 61.0¢
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?Lost
Yes$687 @ 53.4¢
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?Lost
No$657 @ 74.8¢
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?Won
Yes$598 @ 32.6¢
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Lost
Yes$936 @ 57.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$191 @ 17.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$208 @ 52.0¢
Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$134 @ 31.4¢
Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?Won
No$963 @ 58.5¢
Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?Lost
Yes$321 @ 26.0¢
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?Lost
No$18 @ 0.3¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?Won
Yes$130 @ 6.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 65 and 67 million views on day 4?Lost
Yes$22 @ 2.2¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?Won
No$600 @ 76.2¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?Lost
Yes$114 @ 11.2¢
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?Won
No$119 @ 71.0¢
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 67 and 68 million views on day 4?Lost
Yes$15 @ 5.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 60 million views on day 3?Lost
Yes$14 @ 1.9¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 4?Won
Yes$4 @ 88.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 12.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 28 and 32 million views on day 2?Lost
No$3 @ 50.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$586 @ 46.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
No$336 @ 84.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?Lost
Yes$5 @ 11.7¢
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?Won
No$730 @ 73.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?Lost
Yes$16 @ 3.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	Culture	Yes	$1.1k	64.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?	Culture	Yes	$146	19.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Culture	Yes	$120	24.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Culture	Yes	$114	23.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	Culture	Yes	$105	24.4¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	Culture	Yes	$67	13.6¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	Culture	No	$6	18.0¢

Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?Culture
Yes$1.1k @ 64.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?Culture
Yes$146 @ 19.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?Culture
Yes$120 @ 24.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Culture
Yes$114 @ 23.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?Culture
Yes$105 @ 24.4¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?Culture
Yes$67 @ 13.6¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?Culture
No$6 @ 18.0¢