0x124b…bd60

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x124b68288c3b8346883028481101477bdea2bd60
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.5pp

ROI

+40%

Win rate

60% @ 49.3¢

Brier

0.150

Resolved

852

Avg size

$39

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	63% (97/153)	+43%	153
Sports	70% (42/60)	+34%	60
Politics	100% (8/8)	+25%	8
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+15%	1
Culture	100% (1/1)	+87%	1

Other153 bets
Hit rate
63% (97/153)
ROI
+43%
Sports60 bets
Hit rate
70% (42/60)
ROI
+34%
Politics8 bets
Hit rate
100% (8/8)
ROI
+25%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+15%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+87%

Track record

67% hit · 149/223

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$5	73.0¢	Won
Lautaro Martinez: Anytime Goalscorer	No	$50	50.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	$13	33.0¢	Won
Pedro Neto: 1+ shots	Yes	$11	65.4¢	Won
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	No	$2	43.1¢	Won
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	$10	50.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	$361	30.3¢	Won
Will Luis Enrique be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	No	$6	72.1¢	Won
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	$1.8k	56.9¢	Won
Will Enzo Fernandez join Real Madrid?	No	$91	75.2¢	Won
Will Mikel Arteta be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	No	$9	55.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	$17	45.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	$1	12.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	2.0¢	Lost
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$73	73.1¢	Won
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	$105	80.3¢	Won
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09?	No	$6	15.0¢	Lost
Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$5	54.0¢	Won
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	No	$75	75.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	$7	18.5¢	Lost
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	$256	38.2¢	Lost
Benjamin Sesko: Anytime Goalscorer	No	$15	76.0¢	Won
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$51	51.0¢	Won
Will Nico Paz Miss a Penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?	No	$13	43.0¢	Won
Kai Havertz: Anytime Goalscorer	No	$21	68.0¢	Won
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-09?	No	$34	25.7¢	Lost
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	No	$136	75.4¢	Won
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	$5	47.0¢	Won
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?	No	$12	39.0¢	Lost
Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer	No	$40	57.0¢	Won
Will any of the Big Six EPL clubs miss European football?	Yes	$148	90.0¢	Won
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals	Yes	$23	67.0¢	Won
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$2	41.0¢	Lost
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Getafe CF 2nd Half O/U 1.5	Under	$80	80.0¢	Won
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	$809	85.8¢	Won
Morgan Gibbs-White: Anytime Goalscorer	No	$16	70.0¢	Won
Vitinha: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	$0	4.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$93	61.3¢	Won
Will Spain win the World Cup?	No	$61	61.0¢	Lost
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	$26	75.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	$0	5.0¢	Lost
Will a player representing Tunisia be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$67	67.0¢	Won
Emam Ashour: 1+ shots	No	$48	80.1¢	Won
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$38	60.5¢	Won
Harry Kane: 3+ shots	Yes	$11	53.3¢	Won
Jeremy Doku: Anytime Goalscorer	No	$7	72.0¢	Won
Will Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	Yes	$37	85.5¢	Won
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?	No	$3	66.0¢	Won
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$50	50.0¢	Won
Tajon Buchanan: 1+ shots	Yes	$70	70.0¢	Lost

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Won
Yes$5 @ 73.0¢
Lautaro Martinez: Anytime GoalscorerWon
No$50 @ 50.0¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Won
Yes$13 @ 33.0¢
Pedro Neto: 1+ shotsWon
Yes$11 @ 65.4¢
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?Won
No$2 @ 43.1¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Lost
No$10 @ 50.0¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Won
Yes$361 @ 30.3¢
Will Luis Enrique be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?Won
No$6 @ 72.1¢
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Won
Yes$1.8k @ 56.9¢
Will Enzo Fernandez join Real Madrid?Won
No$91 @ 75.2¢
Will Mikel Arteta be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?Won
No$9 @ 55.0¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Won
No$17 @ 45.0¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Lost
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
No$73 @ 73.1¢
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?Won
No$105 @ 80.3¢
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09?Lost
No$6 @ 15.0¢
Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$5 @ 54.0¢
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Won
No$75 @ 75.0¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Lost
Yes$7 @ 18.5¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Lost
Yes$256 @ 38.2¢
Benjamin Sesko: Anytime GoalscorerWon
No$15 @ 76.0¢
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
No$51 @ 51.0¢
Will Nico Paz Miss a Penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?Won
No$13 @ 43.0¢
Kai Havertz: Anytime GoalscorerWon
No$21 @ 68.0¢
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-09?Lost
No$34 @ 25.7¢
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?Won
No$136 @ 75.4¢
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Won
Yes$5 @ 47.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?Lost
No$12 @ 39.0¢
Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime GoalscorerWon
No$40 @ 57.0¢
Will any of the Big Six EPL clubs miss European football?Won
Yes$148 @ 90.0¢
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsWon
Yes$23 @ 67.0¢
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$2 @ 41.0¢
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Getafe CF 2nd Half O/U 1.5Won
Under$80 @ 80.0¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Won
Yes$809 @ 85.8¢
Morgan Gibbs-White: Anytime GoalscorerWon
No$16 @ 70.0¢
Vitinha: Anytime GoalscorerLost
Yes$0 @ 4.0¢
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$93 @ 61.3¢
Will Spain win the World Cup?Lost
No$61 @ 61.0¢
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Won
No$26 @ 75.0¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Lost
Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
Will a player representing Tunisia be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$67 @ 67.0¢
Emam Ashour: 1+ shotsWon
No$48 @ 80.1¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$38 @ 60.5¢
Harry Kane: 3+ shotsWon
Yes$11 @ 53.3¢
Jeremy Doku: Anytime GoalscorerWon
No$7 @ 72.0¢
Will Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?Won
Yes$37 @ 85.5¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?Won
No$3 @ 66.0¢
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Tajon Buchanan: 1+ shotsLost
Yes$70 @ 70.0¢

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