0x1209…0133

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1209f2ea7e67c4efda9f35d05aa17b1d075c0133
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.7pp

ROI

+80%

Win rate

36% @ 25.0¢

Brier

0.160

Resolved

126

Avg size

$34

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	45% (21/47)	+131%	47
Sports	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other47 bets
Hit rate
45% (21/47)
ROI
+131%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

40% hit · 21/52

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Belgium?	Yes	$1	1.6¢	Lost
Will Leavitt say "Biden" 5+ times during the next press briefing?	No	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$9	4.3¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	$10	43.0¢	Lost
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	$886	21.5¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$4	2.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$10	41.2¢	Lost
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $325 on February 9?	No	$6	56.0¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$36	59.7¢	Won
Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 4 X 6km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	No	$100	44.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$255	24.6¢	Won
Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	$11	10.9¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance	Spain	$65	65.1¢	Won
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals	Yes	$26	46.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	Yes	$189	34.8¢	Won
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	$13	22.0¢	Won
Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$6	3.4¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$461	46.9¢	Won
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$4	1.8¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$12	3.9¢	Lost
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?	Yes	$11	5.8¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	Yes	$269	34.0¢	Won
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance	Colombia	$63	61.0¢	Lost
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	$153	55.0¢	Won
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$16	2.6¢	Lost
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	Yes	$74	40.0¢	Lost
Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during the next press briefing?	No	$1	1.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?	Yes	$126	33.0¢	Won
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$8	1.7¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$23	1.6¢	Won
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance	England	$16	52.0¢	Won
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	$27	25.0¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on March 21, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$5	2.2¢	Lost
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	$49	63.1¢	Won
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$4	3.0¢	Lost
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$12	0.6¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	$108	72.0¢	Won
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?	Yes	$10	61.0¢	Lost
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance	Norway	$51	35.0¢	Won
Winter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals?	Norway	$53	61.4¢	Won
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?	Yes	$14	71.1¢	Lost
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$694	69.3¢	Won
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance	Spain	$79	87.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	No	$160	53.3¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	$95	88.0¢	Lost
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?	No	$11	26.5¢	Lost
Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?	Yes	$5	0.7¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	Yes	$19	10.7¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?	Yes	$10	19.0¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$1	6.1¢	Lost

Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Belgium?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.6¢
Will Leavitt say "Biden" 5+ times during the next press briefing?Lost
No$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$9 @ 4.3¢
Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?Lost
Yes$10 @ 43.0¢
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Lost
Yes$886 @ 21.5¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Lost
Yes$10 @ 41.2¢
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $325 on February 9?Won
No$6 @ 56.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$36 @ 59.7¢
Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 4 X 6km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Lost
No$100 @ 44.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$255 @ 24.6¢
Iran leadership change by March 13?Lost
Yes$11 @ 10.9¢
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWon
Spain$65 @ 65.1¢
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$26 @ 46.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Won
Yes$189 @ 34.8¢
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Won
Yes$13 @ 22.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.4¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$461 @ 46.9¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.8¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$12 @ 3.9¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?Lost
Yes$11 @ 5.8¢
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Won
Yes$269 @ 34.0¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceLost
Colombia$63 @ 61.0¢
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Won
Yes$153 @ 55.0¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$16 @ 2.6¢
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Lost
Yes$74 @ 40.0¢
Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during the next press briefing?Lost
No$1 @ 1.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?Won
Yes$126 @ 33.0¢
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 1.7¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Won
Yes$23 @ 1.6¢
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceWon
England$16 @ 52.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Lost
Yes$27 @ 25.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran on March 21, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.2¢
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Won
Yes$49 @ 63.1¢
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
Yes$4 @ 3.0¢
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
Yes$12 @ 0.6¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Won
Yes$108 @ 72.0¢
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?Lost
Yes$10 @ 61.0¢
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceWon
Norway$51 @ 35.0¢
Winter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals? Won
Norway$53 @ 61.4¢
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Lost
Yes$14 @ 71.1¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Won
Yes$694 @ 69.3¢
Spain vs. Austria: Team to AdvanceWon
Spain$79 @ 87.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Won
No$160 @ 53.3¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Lost
Yes$95 @ 88.0¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?Lost
No$11 @ 26.5¢
Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.7¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Won
Yes$19 @ 10.7¢
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 19.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$109	14.0¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$109 @ 14.0¢