← Smart money
0x1205…2a4a
SharpEdge
+25.0pp
ROI
+9%
Win rate
64% @ 39.3¢
Brier
0.169
Resolved
112
Avg size
$11
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 75% (3/4) | -79% | 4 |
| Other | 33% (1/3) | +11% | 3 |
| Culture | 100% (2/2) | +119% | 2 |
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- -79%
- Other3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +11%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +119%
Track record
67% hit · 6/9| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? | No | $483 | 43.9¢ | Won |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? | Yes | $14 | 71.5¢ | Won |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | $30 | 57.2¢ | Won |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | Argentina | $0 | 7.0¢ | Lost |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? | No | $586 | 7.8¢ | Lost |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | $45 | 54.9¢ | Won |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | Yes | $3 | 3.2¢ | Lost |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31? | No | $50 | 73.3¢ | Won |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | $4 | 88.0¢ | Won |
- No$483 @ 43.9¢
- Yes$14 @ 71.5¢
- Yes$30 @ 57.2¢
- Argentina$0 @ 7.0¢
- No$586 @ 7.8¢
- No$45 @ 54.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.2¢
- No$50 @ 73.3¢
- Yes$4 @ 88.0¢
Recent trades
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