0x1191…c092

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1191fabce7781f4179ddd3c205ad665cba79c092
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.5pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

50% @ 44.1¢

Brier

0.045

Resolved

562

Avg size

$317

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	43% (6/14)	+10%	14
Politics	33% (1/3)	-48%	3
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other14 bets
Hit rate
43% (6/14)
ROI
+10%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-48%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

39% hit · 7/18

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?	Yes	$27.0k	14.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 4?	Yes	$130	2.8¢	Lost
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?	Yes	$102	44.6¢	Lost
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?	No	$846	19.7¢	Lost
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?	Yes	$9.0k	74.0¢	Won
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?	No	$19	21.0¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$140	70.0¢	Won
US military action against Iran before July?	No	$698	58.3¢	Lost
Netanyahu out by March 31?	Yes	$215	7.2¢	Lost
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	$29	19.0¢	Lost
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?	Yes	$10.4k	86.9¢	Won
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$49	24.0¢	Lost
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?	Yes	$48.0k	65.6¢	Won
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?	Yes	$4.4k	87.9¢	Won
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?	No	$5.0k	29.5¢	Lost
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?	Yes	$68.4k	76.0¢	Won
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?	Yes	$3.1k	88.5¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	No	$509	31.8¢	Lost

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?Lost
Yes$27.0k @ 14.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 4?Lost
Yes$130 @ 2.8¢
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?Lost
Yes$102 @ 44.6¢
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?Lost
No$846 @ 19.7¢
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Won
Yes$9.0k @ 74.0¢
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?Lost
No$19 @ 21.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Won
No$140 @ 70.0¢
US military action against Iran before July?Lost
No$698 @ 58.3¢
Netanyahu out by March 31?Lost
Yes$215 @ 7.2¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Lost
Yes$29 @ 19.0¢
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?Won
Yes$10.4k @ 86.9¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$49 @ 24.0¢
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Won
Yes$48.0k @ 65.6¢
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?Won
Yes$4.4k @ 87.9¢
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?Lost
No$5.0k @ 29.5¢
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Won
Yes$68.4k @ 76.0¢
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?Won
Yes$3.1k @ 88.5¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Lost
No$509 @ 31.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Tech	No	$13.7k	70.2¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$13.1k	79.0¢
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$1.7k	84.5¢
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$1.4k	89.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$660	55.4¢

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Tech
No$13.7k @ 70.2¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$13.1k @ 79.0¢
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Tech
No$1.7k @ 84.5¢
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?Tech
Yes$1.4k @ 89.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?Tech
Yes$660 @ 55.4¢