0x116a…6226

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x116a35960d97f723ee0761047e0626ad44b66226
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+30.1pp

ROI

+45%

Win rate

93% @ 62.8¢

Brier

0.144

Resolved

629

Avg size

$189

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	65% (13/20)	+45%	20

Politics20 bets
Hit rate
65% (13/20)
ROI
+45%

Track record

65% hit · 13/20

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$4.1k	58.3¢	Lost
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	$9.7k	36.5¢	Won
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$5.1k	71.9¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$4.0k	57.4¢	Lost
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	$10.4k	36.7¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	$14.3k	63.2¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$20.3k	65.5¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	$7.0k	81.4¢	Won
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	$1.8k	72.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$1.6k	16.0¢	Won
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$10.0k	54.8¢	Won
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	67.0¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	$380	38.0¢	Lost
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?	Yes	$4.7k	86.1¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$4.1k	68.2¢	Won
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	$540	2.6¢	Lost
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	$5.7k	33.4¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$11.5k	74.6¢	Won
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	$561	2.7¢	Lost
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	$1.9k	10.6¢	Lost

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Lost
Yes$4.1k @ 58.3¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Won
Yes$9.7k @ 36.5¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$5.1k @ 71.9¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$4.0k @ 57.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Lost
Yes$10.4k @ 36.7¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
Yes$14.3k @ 63.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$20.3k @ 65.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Won
Yes$7.0k @ 81.4¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Won
No$1.8k @ 72.0¢
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$1.6k @ 16.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
Yes$10.0k @ 54.8¢
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 67.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Lost
Yes$380 @ 38.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?Won
Yes$4.7k @ 86.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$4.1k @ 68.2¢
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Lost
Yes$540 @ 2.6¢
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Won
Yes$5.7k @ 33.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$11.5k @ 74.6¢
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Lost
Yes$561 @ 2.7¢
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Lost
Yes$1.9k @ 10.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10.3k	36.7¢
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?	Politics	Yes	$9.2k	88.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$5.3k	21.2¢
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Politics	Yes	$1.9k	10.6¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$1.1k	58.3¢
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Politics	Yes	$538	2.7¢
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Politics	Yes	$518	2.6¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$456	91.3¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Politics	Yes	$380	38.0¢

Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$10.3k @ 36.7¢
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?Politics
Yes$9.2k @ 88.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$5.3k @ 21.2¢
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Politics
Yes$1.9k @ 10.6¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$1.1k @ 58.3¢
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Politics
Yes$538 @ 2.7¢
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Politics
Yes$518 @ 2.6¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$456 @ 91.3¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Politics
Yes$380 @ 38.0¢