← Smart money
0x10b9…09d1
SharpEdge
+9.7pp
ROI
+10%
Win rate
47% @ 37.7¢
Brier
0.164
Resolved
207
Avg size
$9
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 44% (22/50) | +1% | 50 |
| Sports | 75% (3/4) | +5% | 4 |
| Politics | 100% (4/4) | +102% | 4 |
- Other50 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (22/50)
- ROI
- +1%
- Sports4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +5%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (4/4)
- ROI
- +102%
Track record
50% hit · 29/58- No$1 @ 3.2¢
- No$197 @ 74.1¢
- No$3 @ 80.0¢
- No$10 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$84 @ 49.1¢
- Yes$4 @ 26.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 36.2¢
- Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?WonNo$38 @ 67.2¢
- Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?LostYes$11 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 43.7¢
- No$13 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$194 @ 60.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 80.0¢
- No$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$13 @ 24.0¢
- No$43 @ 67.7¢
- Yes$109 @ 32.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 18.8¢
- No$4 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$43 @ 58.1¢
- No$44 @ 64.7¢
- Yes$50 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 34.0¢
- No$15 @ 31.0¢
- No$1 @ 67.5¢
- Yes$54 @ 74.4¢
- No$6 @ 88.0¢
- No$20 @ 41.1¢
- Yes$279 @ 46.8¢
- Yes$30 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 22.4¢
- No$13 @ 29.0¢
- No$25 @ 88.0¢
- Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?WonYes$81 @ 54.1¢
- No$20 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 5.2¢
- Yes$3 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 35.7¢
- No$1 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$4 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 5.1¢
- No$6 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 88.0¢
- No$2 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 46.7¢
- Will António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?LostYes$11 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain General Election: SALF wins a seat? | Politics | No | $47 | 86.0¢ |
| Will EH Bildu win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Politics | No | $45 | 89.0¢ |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | — | Yes | $44 | 59.5¢ |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $35 | 49.1¢ |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Politics | No | $19 | 90.2¢ |
| Will EH Bildu win the most seats in the Basque Country in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Politics | Yes | $16 | 80.0¢ |
| Will Trump say "Egg" during Iowa speech? | — | No | $13 | 29.0¢ |
| Will EH Bildu win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Politics | No | $7 | 70.0¢ |
| Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | — | No | $5 | 66.0¢ |
| Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 25.0¢ |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $5 | 6.0¢ |
- No$47 @ 86.0¢
- No$45 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$44 @ 59.5¢
- Yes$35 @ 49.1¢
- No$19 @ 90.2¢
- Will EH Bildu win the most seats in the Basque Country in the 2026 Spanish general election?PoliticsYes$16 @ 80.0¢
- No$13 @ 29.0¢
- No$7 @ 70.0¢
- No$5 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 6.0¢