← Smart money
0x1024…9651
ProfitableEdge
+12.1pp
ROI
+50%
Win rate
65% @ 52.9¢
Brier
0.245
Resolved
1010
Avg size
$14
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 54% (257/474) | +60% | 474 |
| Sports | 36% (12/33) | -58% | 33 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +61% | 1 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +52% | 1 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +93% | 1 |
- Other474 bets
- Hit rate
- 54% (257/474)
- ROI
- +60%
- Sports33 bets
- Hit rate
- 36% (12/33)
- ROI
- -58%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +61%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +52%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +93%
Track record
53% hit · 272/510- Yes$26 @ 2.8¢
- Oilers vs. DucksLostOilers$10 @ 57.5¢
- St. Louis Cardinals$5 @ 64.0¢
- No$5 @ 47.0¢
- Kansas City Royals$35 @ 59.0¢
- Tampa Bay Rays$20 @ 57.0¢
- No$5 @ 56.0¢
- Hurricanes$10 @ 56.0¢
- Tristan Schoolkate$6 @ 69.6¢
- Philadelphia Phillies$40 @ 64.4¢
- Tampa Bay Rays$15 @ 58.0¢
- New York Yankees$15 @ 58.0¢
- Miami Marlins$10 @ 57.0¢
- Arizona Diamondbacks$18 @ 59.0¢
- Kansas City Royals$15 @ 59.2¢
- Cleveland Guardians$10 @ 41.0¢
- Royal Challengers Bengaluru$6 @ 60.0¢
- Spurs$3 @ 58.0¢
- Tampa Bay Rays$5 @ 56.0¢
- Boston Red Sox$10 @ 49.0¢
- Sinja Kraus$5 @ 65.0¢
- Los Angeles Dodgers$16 @ 63.0¢
- Boston Red Sox$15 @ 48.2¢
- New York Yankees$28 @ 53.5¢
- Yes$167 @ 18.6¢
- Miami Marlins$15 @ 55.0¢
- Elena Rybakina$5 @ 66.0¢
- Baltimore Orioles$21 @ 65.7¢
- Hurricanes$15 @ 61.3¢
- Knicks$20 @ 72.0¢
- Seattle Mariners$4 @ 58.0¢
- Minnesota Twins$15 @ 53.5¢
- Golden Knights$20 @ 61.2¢
- Los Angeles Dodgers$15 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 32.0¢
- Tampa Bay Rays$10 @ 58.0¢
- Chicago Cubs$1 @ 72.0¢
- San Diego Padres$13 @ 66.8¢
- Chicago Cubs$15 @ 50.0¢
- San Diego Padres$18 @ 56.0¢
- No$5 @ 53.5¢
- Boston Red Sox$10 @ 59.0¢
- Pittsburgh Pirates$15 @ 54.0¢
- Alexander Blockx$5 @ 51.0¢
- Arizona Diamondbacks$9 @ 59.0¢
- Philadelphia Phillies$10 @ 74.0¢
- Utah$10 @ 48.0¢
- No$5 @ 53.0¢
- Pistons$25 @ 66.0¢
- Washington Nationals$7 @ 49.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $769 | 25.6¢ |
| Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? | Sports | Yes | $639 | 12.1¢ |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | Sports | Yes | $596 | 8.2¢ |
| Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? | Sports | Yes | $395 | 8.2¢ |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $318 | 45.0¢ |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | Sports | Yes | $316 | 4.3¢ |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? | Sports | Yes | $291 | 2.4¢ |
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | Sports | Yes | $276 | 4.2¢ |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | Sports | Yes | $200 | 30.0¢ |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? | Sports | Yes | $109 | 1.2¢ |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? | Sports | Yes | $85 | 2.6¢ |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? | Sports | Yes | $15 | 1.6¢ |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? | Sports | Yes | $12 | 0.6¢ |
- Yes$769 @ 25.6¢
- Yes$639 @ 12.1¢
- Yes$596 @ 8.2¢
- Yes$395 @ 8.2¢
- Yes$318 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$316 @ 4.3¢
- Yes$291 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$276 @ 4.2¢
- Yes$200 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$109 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$85 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$15 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$12 @ 0.6¢