0x0fa6…2663

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0fa66e806ccde64e557c867c36276ae281f32663
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.3pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

49% @ 39.4¢

Brier

0.179

Resolved

491

Avg size

$80

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	57% (25/44)	+11%	44
Other	38% (15/39)	-38%	39
Geopolitics	45% (5/11)	-19%	11
Sports	56% (5/9)	+13%	9
Crypto	43% (3/7)	+43%	7
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Science	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Politics44 bets
Hit rate
57% (25/44)
ROI
+11%
Other39 bets
Hit rate
38% (15/39)
ROI
-38%
Geopolitics11 bets
Hit rate
45% (5/11)
ROI
-19%
Sports9 bets
Hit rate
56% (5/9)
ROI
+13%
Crypto7 bets
Hit rate
43% (3/7)
ROI
+43%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

47% hit · 53/112

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	No	$200	64.2¢	Won
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	Yes	$206	51.6¢	Lost
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?	No	$9	43.0¢	Lost
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?	No	$112	24.7¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$110	73.0¢	Won
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$700	70.0¢	Won
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	No	$250	25.0¢	Lost
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$73	61.0¢	Lost
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$1.6k	64.4¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$201	22.0¢	Lost
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	$30	58.0¢	Lost
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$430	47.0¢	Won
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	Yes	$743	38.0¢	Lost
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$1.3k	45.4¢	Won
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier	Gen.G	$61	28.3¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$985	65.0¢	Won
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$211	52.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	Yes	$60	60.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	$408	68.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	$944	57.4¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$2.0k	35.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$691	6.2¢	Lost
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5	Under	$382	63.0¢	Lost
Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026?	No	$35	23.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September?	No	$18	17.9¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$192	9.6¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$68	68.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$50	33.0¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$5	21.8¢	Lost
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	$92	73.8¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$300	41.1¢	Won
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	$474	1.5¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?	Yes	$992	17.9¢	Lost
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score	No	$138	46.0¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	$58	57.9¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$58	28.9¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5	Over	$625	84.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$287	9.6¢	Lost
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$81	76.4¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$1.0k	48.5¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?	No	$212	52.5¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	$52	26.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	Yes	$64	64.0¢	Won
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	No	$138	22.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 12?	Yes	$6	55.0¢	Lost
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	$133	54.3¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	$2.5k	48.9¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$2.5k	51.0¢	Won
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$537	53.0¢	Lost
Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?	Yes	$31	0.6¢	Lost

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Won
No$200 @ 64.2¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Lost
Yes$206 @ 51.6¢
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Lost
No$9 @ 43.0¢
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?Lost
No$112 @ 24.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$110 @ 73.0¢
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$700 @ 70.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Lost
No$250 @ 25.0¢
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Lost
Yes$73 @ 61.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Won
Yes$1.6k @ 64.4¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$201 @ 22.0¢
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil MedvedevLost
Daniil Medvedev$30 @ 58.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Won
Yes$430 @ 47.0¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Lost
Yes$743 @ 38.0¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
No$1.3k @ 45.4¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance QualifierLost
Gen.G$61 @ 28.3¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$985 @ 65.0¢
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$211 @ 52.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Won
Yes$60 @ 60.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Lost
No$408 @ 68.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Won
No$944 @ 57.4¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$2.0k @ 35.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$691 @ 6.2¢
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$382 @ 63.0¢
Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026?Lost
No$35 @ 23.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September?Lost
No$18 @ 17.9¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Lost
Yes$192 @ 9.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Won
No$68 @ 68.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$50 @ 33.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 21.8¢
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?Won
No$92 @ 73.8¢
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Won
Yes$300 @ 41.1¢
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Lost
Yes$474 @ 1.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$992 @ 17.9¢
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$138 @ 46.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Won
No$58 @ 57.9¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Lost
No$58 @ 28.9¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5Won
Over$625 @ 84.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$287 @ 9.6¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Lost
Yes$81 @ 76.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$1.0k @ 48.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Lost
No$212 @ 52.5¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Won
No$52 @ 26.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Won
Yes$64 @ 64.0¢
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Lost
No$138 @ 22.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 12?Lost
Yes$6 @ 55.0¢
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Lost
No$133 @ 54.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$2.5k @ 48.9¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$2.5k @ 51.0¢
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$537 @ 53.0¢
Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?Lost
Yes$31 @ 0.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	Politics	No	$87	29.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Politics	No	$69	52.8¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	Politics	No	$9	20.8¢

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Politics
No$87 @ 29.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Politics
No$69 @ 52.8¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Politics
No$9 @ 20.8¢