← Smart money
0x0eb9…bb3c
SharpEdge
+3.8pp
ROI
+71%
Win rate
14% @ 10.2¢
Brier
0.106
Resolved
1304
Avg size
$28
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 22% (41/190) | -25% | 190 |
| Sports | 17% (9/54) | +140% | 54 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Politics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other190 bets
- Hit rate
- 22% (41/190)
- ROI
- -25%
- Sports54 bets
- Hit rate
- 17% (9/54)
- ROI
- +140%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
20% hit · 50/247- Yes$12 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$102 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 10.6¢
- Under$12 @ 1.5¢
- Australia$10 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$21 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$133 @ 2.2¢
- Under$1 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 2.4¢
- Paris Saint-Germain FC$120 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$320 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 17.6¢
- Yes$12 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
- Over$5 @ 29.0¢
- Hapoel Tel Aviv$280 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$60 @ 0.3¢
- Under$10 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 6.1¢
- Yes$106 @ 7.1¢
- Over$60 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 9.4¢
- Yes$21 @ 0.7¢
- Knicks$1 @ 33.0¢
- No$20 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 12.9¢
- Morocco$44 @ 43.0¢
- Netherlands$51 @ 51.0¢
- Egypt$7 @ 1.8¢
- Over$15 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- Over$227 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$200 @ 6.7¢
- Paris Saint-Germain FC$101 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 8.2¢
- Over$27 @ 27.0¢
- Over$203 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
- Lakers$409 @ 18.5¢
- Yes$10 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
- Over$2 @ 23.0¢
- Thunder$100 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$226 @ 5.5¢
- Yes$29 @ 10.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.5¢
- Thunder$10 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$53 @ 22.5¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Sports | Yes | $455 | 11.4¢ |
| Will Bodø/Glimt win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Sports | Yes | $308 | 0.3¢ |
| Will Norway win the UEFA EURO 2028? | Sports | Yes | $147 | 6.5¢ |
| Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Sports | Yes | $96 | 3.2¢ |
| Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Sports | Yes | $35 | 3.5¢ |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Geopolitics | No | $19 | 3.5¢ |
| Will Viking win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Sports | Yes | $9 | 0.1¢ |
| Will Israel win the UEFA EURO 2028? | Sports | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ |
- Yes$455 @ 11.4¢
- Yes$308 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$147 @ 6.5¢
- Yes$96 @ 3.2¢
- Yes$35 @ 3.5¢
- No$19 @ 3.5¢
- Yes$9 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢