← Smart money
0x0e7f…2015
ProfitableEdge
-20.2pp
ROI
+10%
Win rate
49% @ 69.0¢
Brier
0.311
Resolved
41
Avg size
$10
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 71% (5/7) | -12% | 7 |
| Science | 83% (5/6) | +11% | 6 |
| Politics | 50% (3/6) | +64% | 6 |
| Sports | 100% (2/2) | +19% | 2 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Other7 bets
- Hit rate
- 71% (5/7)
- ROI
- -12%
- Science6 bets
- Hit rate
- 83% (5/6)
- ROI
- +11%
- Politics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (3/6)
- ROI
- +64%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +19%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
65% hit · 15/23- No$4 @ 70.0¢
- No$33 @ 15.3¢
- No$4 @ 85.4¢
- No$70 @ 87.0¢
- No$9 @ 88.6¢
- No$1 @ 7.0¢
- No$35 @ 86.2¢
- No$3 @ 66.0¢
- No$3 @ 49.0¢
- No$4 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 88.8¢
- No$9 @ 89.0¢
- No$65 @ 81.0¢
- No$4 @ 86.0¢
- No$9 @ 88.2¢
- No$9 @ 89.0¢
- No$46 @ 75.7¢
- No$9 @ 87.3¢
- No$45 @ 1.7¢
- No$17 @ 87.0¢
- No$34 @ 86.0¢
- No$9 @ 86.2¢
- Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?WonNo$9 @ 89.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Will Iván Cepeda win between 50% and 55% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?PoliticsNo$38 @ 93.9¢
- No$35 @ 90.0¢
- Will Iván Cepeda win more than 55% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?PoliticsNo$29 @ 98.0¢
- No$29 @ 97.8¢
- No$28 @ 92.7¢
- No$28 @ 92.6¢
- Yes$27 @ 16.7¢
- No$26 @ 87.7¢
- No$26 @ 87.3¢
- Yes$25 @ 16.7¢
- Yes$25 @ 16.7¢
- No$21 @ 92.7¢
- No$20 @ 99.9¢
- No$20 @ 99.8¢
- No$20 @ 99.2¢
- No$19 @ 97.0¢
- No$19 @ 99.4¢
- Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?PoliticsNo$19 @ 94.0¢
- No$18 @ 88.2¢
- No$17 @ 97.1¢
- No$15 @ 99.8¢
- No$15 @ 99.8¢
- No$15 @ 99.7¢
- No$15 @ 99.7¢
- No$15 @ 99.6¢
- No$15 @ 99.4¢
- No$15 @ 98.8¢
- No$15 @ 96.7¢
- No$14 @ 95.1¢
- No$14 @ 94.3¢