0x0e6b…3a4c

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other163 bets

  Hit rate

  41% (67/163)

  ROI

  +112%

• Science154 bets

  Hit rate

  51% (78/154)

  ROI

  -0%

• Politics16 bets

  Hit rate

  44% (7/16)

  ROI

  -20%

• Tech14 bets

  Hit rate

  71% (10/14)

  ROI

  +12%

• Geopolitics11 bets

  Hit rate

  27% (3/11)

  ROI

  -40%

• Culture11 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (11/11)

  ROI

  +23%

• Economy5 bets

  Hit rate

  20% (1/5)

  ROI

  -2%

• Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on September 29?Lost
  Yes$12 @ 58.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 29?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 96.0¢
• Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 29?Won
  Yes$4 @ 52.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 29?Lost
  Yes$26 @ 27.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 29?Lost
  No$53 @ 38.6¢
• Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C on September 29?Won
  Yes$35 @ 98.5¢
• Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 29?Won
  Yes$36 @ 54.1¢
• Will "The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Won
  Yes$400 @ 89.0¢
• Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 17 million views this week?Won
  No$52 @ 90.8¢
• Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week?Won
  Yes$36 @ 90.0¢
• Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 18 million views this week?Won
  No$93 @ 86.6¢
• Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?Won
  Yes$93 @ 82.0¢
• Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Won
  Yes$39 @ 89.0¢
• Will "Best of the Best" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Won
  No$88 @ 90.0¢
• Will "Unabomber" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Won
  Yes$88 @ 90.1¢
• Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?Won
  No$93 @ 88.0¢
• Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on September 29?Won
  Yes$34 @ 98.8¢
• Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 29?Lost
  No$30 @ 75.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 29?Won
  Yes$34 @ 98.7¢
• Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 29?Lost
  Yes$29 @ 49.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 29?Lost
  No$62 @ 49.5¢
• Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on September 29?Won
  No$19 @ 88.2¢
• Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on September 29?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 13.4¢
• Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 29?Lost
  Yes$27 @ 32.7¢
• Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on September 29?Lost
  No$1 @ 15.0¢
• Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on September 29?Won
  Yes$18 @ 89.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 29?Lost
  Yes$35 @ 14.0¢
• Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on September 29?Won
  No$27 @ 60.7¢
• Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on September 29?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 54.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?Won
  Yes$197 @ 68.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 29?Won
  No$24 @ 97.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 20?Lost
  No$42 @ 67.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 20?Won
  Yes$8 @ 79.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25?Won
  Yes$13 @ 63.4¢
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?Won
  No$3 @ 1.2¢
• Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 28?Won
  No$72 @ 51.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 16?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
• Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Lost
  No$26 @ 7.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?Won
  Yes$43 @ 40.6¢
• Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 23?Lost
  No$12 @ 73.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?Lost
  No$36 @ 34.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?Won
  Yes$6 @ 15.5¢
• Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?Lost
  Yes$30 @ 42.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on September 23?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 5.8¢
• OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?Lost
  No$13 @ 70.0¢
• Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 8?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 46.9¢
• Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 21?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
• Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 28?Lost
  Yes$21 @ 42.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 20?Won
  No$14 @ 70.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 26?Lost
  No$16 @ 64.9¢

Current positions

• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
  Yes$422 @ 85.2¢
• Will "The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Culture
  Yes$400 @ 89.0¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech
  Yes$228 @ 71.0¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$217 @ 35.3¢
• Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?Science
  Yes$197 @ 68.0¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Business
  Yes$168 @ 66.9¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech
  Yes$127 @ 30.0¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech
  Yes$118 @ 58.5¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$108 @ 48.6¢
• Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech
  Yes$108 @ 18.3¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Tech
  Yes$95 @ 80.1¢
• Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?Culture
  Yes$93 @ 82.0¢
• Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?Culture
  No$93 @ 88.0¢
• Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 18 million views this week?Culture
  No$93 @ 86.6¢
• Will "Best of the Best" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Culture
  No$88 @ 90.0¢
• Will "Unabomber" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Culture
  Yes$88 @ 90.1¢
• Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on September 29?Science
  Yes$75 @ 98.8¢
• Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech
  Yes$72 @ 37.5¢
• Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 29?Science
  Yes$71 @ 40.2¢
• Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 29?Science
  No$62 @ 49.5¢
• Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech
  No$54 @ 81.9¢
• Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech
  Yes$52 @ 16.8¢
• Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 17 million views this week?Culture
  No$52 @ 90.8¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech
  Yes$49 @ 36.5¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Tech
  No$48 @ 25.2¢
• Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$47 @ 85.0¢
• Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$44 @ 94.4¢
• Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Tech
  Yes$43 @ 40.0¢
• Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Tech
  Yes$42 @ 42.0¢
• Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by September 30, 2026?Tech
  No$41 @ 90.0¢