0x0e2c…9294

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0e2cc652e8f987820efc26dc988de884e3069294
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+2.7pp

ROI

+3%

Win rate

62% @ 58.9¢

Brier

0.200

Resolved

3504

Avg size

$16

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (65/129)	-4%	129
Politics	60% (57/95)	+17%	95
Geopolitics	76% (26/34)	+8%	34
Sports	40% (2/5)	+18%	5
Crypto	75% (3/4)	+58%	4
Tech	67% (2/3)	+98%	3
Economy	100% (1/1)	+46%	1

Other129 bets
Hit rate
50% (65/129)
ROI
-4%
Politics95 bets
Hit rate
60% (57/95)
ROI
+17%
Geopolitics34 bets
Hit rate
76% (26/34)
ROI
+8%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
+18%
Crypto4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+58%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+98%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+46%

Track record

58% hit · 156/271

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	No	$61	62.0¢	Lost
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	No	$56	89.8¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	$295	87.1¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$50	42.8¢	Won
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	No	$135	55.6¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?	No	$32	79.2¢	Won
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$5	27.3¢	Lost
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	No	$65	82.2¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	Yes	$38	17.0¢	Lost
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	$18	60.8¢	Won
Weed rescheduled by June 30?	No	$135	65.7¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	$7	19.0¢	Lost
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$17	82.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$888	31.8¢	Lost
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	$12	61.0¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$170	73.0¢	Won
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	No	$131	39.0¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	Yes	$43	25.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	$337	69.7¢	Lost
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$20	64.3¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$21	50.4¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$27	27.0¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	$1.5k	81.5¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$117	23.7¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$46	76.6¢	Won
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	No	$50	61.3¢	Won
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	No	$453	68.5¢	Won
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	No	$19	64.3¢	Won
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	$73	38.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	$185	79.3¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$189	76.1¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?	No	$264	84.0¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	Yes	$92	46.1¢	Lost
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$86	77.8¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	Yes	$17	60.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$209	47.2¢	Lost
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	$28	52.8¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$744	62.7¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$42	29.4¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	$21	34.3¢	Won
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?	No	$765	85.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?	Yes	$44	77.6¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$1.2k	72.2¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$225	71.8¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$429	45.7¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	$31	43.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$66	40.5¢	Lost
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	$7	38.0¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$62	30.1¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$8	12.2¢	Lost

Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?Lost
No$61 @ 62.0¢
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Lost
No$56 @ 89.8¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Won
No$295 @ 87.1¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Won
Yes$50 @ 42.8¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Lost
No$135 @ 55.6¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?Won
No$32 @ 79.2¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 27.3¢
Will France strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$65 @ 82.2¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$38 @ 17.0¢
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Won
No$18 @ 60.8¢
Weed rescheduled by June 30?Won
No$135 @ 65.7¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$7 @ 19.0¢
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
No$17 @ 82.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$888 @ 31.8¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Won
No$12 @ 61.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$170 @ 73.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$131 @ 39.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Lost
Yes$43 @ 25.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Lost
No$337 @ 69.7¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Won
No$20 @ 64.3¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Lost
No$21 @ 50.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$27 @ 27.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Won
No$1.5k @ 81.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$117 @ 23.7¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
No$46 @ 76.6¢
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$50 @ 61.3¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Won
No$453 @ 68.5¢
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Won
No$19 @ 64.3¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Won
No$73 @ 38.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Won
No$185 @ 79.3¢
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$189 @ 76.1¢
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?Won
No$264 @ 84.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Lost
Yes$92 @ 46.1¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$86 @ 77.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Won
Yes$17 @ 60.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Lost
No$209 @ 47.2¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Won
Yes$28 @ 52.8¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$744 @ 62.7¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$42 @ 29.4¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Won
No$21 @ 34.3¢
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?Lost
No$765 @ 85.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Won
Yes$44 @ 77.6¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$1.2k @ 72.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$225 @ 71.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$429 @ 45.7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Won
No$31 @ 43.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$66 @ 40.5¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Lost
No$7 @ 38.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$62 @ 30.1¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 12.2¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$1.3k	72.5¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$589	68.2¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	No	$283	72.1¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$223	82.7¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$112	62.3¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Politics	Yes	$78	36.3¢
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$76	76.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$71	51.0¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$66	84.7¢
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Politics	Yes	$57	63.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$51	64.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Politics	Yes	$42	79.1¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$36	43.1¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Politics	No	$33	70.3¢
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$33	19.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$17	87.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Politics	Yes	$8	38.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Business	Yes	$4	57.9¢
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$3	69.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$2	40.0¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$1.3k @ 72.5¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$589 @ 68.2¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
No$283 @ 72.1¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$223 @ 82.7¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$112 @ 62.3¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Politics
Yes$78 @ 36.3¢
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Politics
Yes$76 @ 76.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$71 @ 51.0¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech
No$66 @ 84.7¢
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
Yes$57 @ 63.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$51 @ 64.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics
Yes$42 @ 79.1¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics
Yes$36 @ 43.1¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics
No$33 @ 70.3¢
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$33 @ 19.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$17 @ 87.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics
Yes$8 @ 38.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Business
Yes$4 @ 57.9¢
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics
Yes$3 @ 69.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Geopolitics
No$2 @ 40.0¢