0x0e2c…9294

Specialization by sphere

• Politics14 bets

  Hit rate

  57% (8/14)

  ROI

  +43%

• Tech3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  +98%

• Crypto3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  +79%

• Geopolitics2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +19%

• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$647 @ 30.4¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$86 @ 77.8¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$72 @ 31.5¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 12.2¢
• Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Lost
  No$88 @ 59.6¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$26 @ 88.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$824 @ 43.8¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Lost
  No$6 @ 32.0¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$91 @ 64.9¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 12.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$366 @ 49.6¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$224 @ 70.8¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Won
  No$251 @ 42.9¢
• Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Lost
  Yes$16 @ 51.0¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
  Yes$446 @ 38.4¢
• Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$179 @ 67.9¢
• Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  Yes$739 @ 72.9¢
• Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$32 @ 81.4¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Won
  Yes$220 @ 76.6¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Won
  No$8 @ 77.8¢
• Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 48.0¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Won
  No$215 @ 61.2¢

Current positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$966 @ 69.5¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$389 @ 55.8¢
• Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$342 @ 79.4¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$189 @ 83.6¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Geopolitics
  No$145 @ 69.2¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?—
  No$102 @ 72.9¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$79 @ 91.9¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics
  No$54 @ 93.5¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$51 @ 77.7¢
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$47 @ 58.3¢
• Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics
  No$46 @ 85.3¢
• Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics
  No$45 @ 79.0¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$44 @ 48.0¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$34 @ 85.3¢
• OpenAI IPO before 2027?Business
  No$32 @ 53.3¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics
  No$31 @ 78.0¢
• Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics
  No$28 @ 76.4¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  Yes$25 @ 8.1¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Politics
  Yes$22 @ 32.8¢
• Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech
  Yes$22 @ 62.7¢
• Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics
  Yes$20 @ 55.0¢
• Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics
  No$18 @ 61.6¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?—
  Yes$17 @ 22.7¢
• Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$17 @ 87.0¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$17 @ 57.7¢
• Weed rescheduled by December 31?Politics
  No$11 @ 55.6¢
• Iran coup attempt by June 30?Politics
  No$9 @ 86.0¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Politics
  Yes$6 @ 12.0¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics
  No$2 @ 82.0¢
• Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics
  No$1 @ 71.0¢