0x0d93…8cbe

Specialization by sphere

• Other80 bets

  Hit rate

  56% (45/80)

  ROI

  +8%

• Politics66 bets

  Hit rate

  64% (42/66)

  ROI

  +17%

• Will Linke win 40 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Won
  Yes$45 @ 96.3¢
• Will Austin Sidwell be the Republican nominee for AL-01?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?Won
  Yes$18 @ 88.0¢
• Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$203 @ 87.8¢
• Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by more than 20%?Won
  No$42 @ 65.1¢
• Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 31.0¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$69 @ 86.1¢
• Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Lost
  No$23 @ 11.0¢
• Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by more than 10%?Won
  No$51 @ 89.9¢
• Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Won
  No$19 @ 62.7¢
• Will the Green Party win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Won
  No$87 @ 87.0¢
• Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Won
  Yes$36 @ 87.6¢
• Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Won
  No$3 @ 84.0¢
• Will Steve Hilton win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 12.0¢
• Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?Won
  Yes$29 @ 67.0¢
• Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Won
  Yes$7 @ 73.0¢
• Will VOX (VOX) win 13-15 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?Won
  Yes$7 @ 49.3¢
• Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?Won
  Yes$88 @ 87.2¢
• Will GERB-SDS (GERB–SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 8.5¢
• Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
• Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
  Yes$96 @ 86.7¢
• Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$269 @ 85.5¢
• Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by <9%?Lost
  Yes$112 @ 43.1¢
• Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
• Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?Won
  Yes$71 @ 89.0¢
• Will SPD win between 25% and 28% of all valid second votes?Lost
  Yes$26 @ 1.4¢
• Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?Won
  No$3 @ 45.1¢
• Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
• Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?Won
  No$35 @ 86.0¢
• Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
• Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Lost
  Yes$57 @ 22.2¢
• Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by 15–20%?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 8.6¢
• Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Won
  No$48 @ 75.0¢
• Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$111 @ 85.3¢
• Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?Won
  Yes$11 @ 89.2¢
• Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
  No$35 @ 88.6¢
• Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$49 @ 68.4¢
• Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
• Will BSW win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
• Will SPD win 18-21 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Won
  No$213 @ 88.3¢
• Will Nick Albares be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 9.7¢
• Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Won
  No$32 @ 79.0¢
• Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Lost
  Yes$12 @ 0.8¢
• Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%?Won
  Yes$32 @ 86.9¢
• Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Orange County?Won
  Yes$4 @ 89.0¢
• Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$9 @ 85.0¢
• Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?Won
  Yes$13 @ 86.7¢
• Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Won
  Yes$719 @ 24.8¢
• Will GERB-SDS win fewer than 50 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Lost
  No$248 @ 80.0¢
• Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Lost
  Yes$47 @ 30.7¢

Current positions

• Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Politics
  Yes$3.4k @ 86.9¢
• Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 73.8¢
• Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?—
  Over$1.0k @ 80.8¢
• Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$929 @ 71.2¢
• Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have fewer than 143 seats after the 2026 election?—
  No$477 @ 88.2¢
• Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí?Politics
  Yes$457 @ 97.8¢
• Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Politics
  Yes$276 @ 84.5¢
• Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  Yes$263 @ 81.8¢
• Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics
  Yes$253 @ 50.5¢
• Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?Politics
  Yes$176 @ 95.9¢
• Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?Politics
  Yes$156 @ 85.5¢
• Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election?—
  Yes$153 @ 81.0¢
• Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Politics
  Yes$150 @ 59.0¢
• Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics
  No$148 @ 90.0¢
• Will Petr Vokřál be the next Mayor of Brno?Politics
  No$140 @ 89.7¢
• Will Adam Zemek be the next Mayor of Brno?Politics
  No$136 @ 81.8¢
• Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?Politics
  Yes$97 @ 97.1¢
• Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Politics
  Yes$97 @ 56.6¢
• Will Miroslav Sabol win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?Politics
  No$94 @ 91.7¢
• Will Florian Dinger win the next Göttingen mayoral election?—
  No$94 @ 96.6¢
• Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?—
  Yes$93 @ 84.2¢
• Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?Politics
  Yes$91 @ 87.0¢
• Will UTJ win 11 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics
  No$88 @ 88.0¢
• Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?—
  No$66 @ 85.8¢
• Will Ján Nosko win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?Politics
  Yes$65 @ 65.0¢
• Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?Politics
  Yes$60 @ 66.9¢
• Will Július Liška be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Politics
  No$59 @ 96.0¢
• Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?Politics
  No$55 @ 39.3¢
• Will Klára Sovová be the next Mayor of Prague?Politics
  No$51 @ 97.0¢
• Will Tomáš Hrubý be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Politics
  Yes$50 @ 29.1¢