0x0d93…8cbe

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other607 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (305/607)

  ROI

  +22%

• Politics262 bets

  Hit rate

  76% (200/262)

  ROI

  +14%

• Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 9.0¢
• Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 5-10%?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
• Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 2-5%?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
• Will Linke win at least 15% of all valid second votes?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 2.1¢
• Will SPD win less than 5% of all valid second votes?Lost
  Yes$76 @ 8.3¢
• Will Linke win between 12% and 15% of all valid second votes?Lost
  Yes$59 @ 37.0¢
• Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 11.5¢
• Will SPD win less than 25% of all valid second votes?Lost
  Yes$9 @ 0.6¢
• Will Linke win at least 14% of all valid second votes?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
• Will SPD win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Lost
  Yes$28 @ 27.9¢
• Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 4.5¢
• Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?Lost
  Under$143 @ 29.0¢
• Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?Lost
  Yes$32 @ 29.4¢
• Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win at least 33% of all valid votes?Lost
  Yes$37 @ 4.2¢
• Will 2 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
• Will 1 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Carsten Linnemann be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
• Will Robert Alferink win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 14.8¢
• Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Lost
  Yes$9 @ 2.0¢
• Will AfD win fewer than 34 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 1.7¢
• Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?Lost
  Yes$106 @ 5.7¢
• Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?Lost
  No$5 @ 5.5¢
• Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?Lost
  No$6 @ 61.0¢
• Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?Lost
  Yes$111 @ 62.1¢
• Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 2-5%?Lost
  No$7 @ 96.0¢
• Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Lost
  No$63 @ 31.5¢
• Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Lost
  No$5 @ 91.6¢
• Will Daniel Baluta finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?Lost
  No$19 @ 95.0¢
• Will Mendes be flipped for Portugal Presidential Election by January 9, 2026?Lost
  No$35 @ 92.9¢
• Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Won
  No$27 @ 89.0¢
• Will Pavlína Springerová be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Won
  Yes$29 @ 53.7¢
• Will Martin Soukup be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Won
  No$47 @ 94.3¢
• Will Lukáš Fiedler be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Won
  No$210 @ 89.4¢
• Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Won
  Yes$263 @ 81.8¢
• New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?Won
  No$35 @ 62.9¢
• Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Won
  No$5 @ 93.1¢
• Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 70.0¢
• Will US win 55% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Won
  No$52 @ 87.0¢
• Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Won
  No$110 @ 86.7¢
• Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Lost
  No$39 @ 85.7¢
• Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Won
  Yes$69 @ 74.6¢
• Will Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno?Won
  Yes$11 @ 27.0¢
• Will Václav Trojan be the next Mayor of Brno?Won
  No$20 @ 67.0¢
• Will Klára Liptáková be the next Mayor of Brno?Won
  No$4 @ 90.7¢
• Will Adam Zemek be the next Mayor of Brno?Won
  No$136 @ 81.8¢
• Will Kamila Zlatušková be the next Mayor of Brno?Won
  No$29 @ 95.0¢
• Will Kamila Zlatušková be the next Mayor of Brno?Lost
  Yes$15 @ 37.5¢
• Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more?Won
  Yes$10 @ 97.0¢
• Will Petr Vokřál be the next Mayor of Brno?Won
  No$140 @ 89.7¢
• Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%?Won
  No$18 @ 95.8¢

Current positions

• Will Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava?Politics
  Yes$1.7k @ 89.9¢
• Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?—
  No$1.1k @ 74.8¢
• Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?—
  Over$1.0k @ 80.8¢
• Will Tomáš Rec be the next Mayor of Liberec?Politics
  No$930 @ 86.1¢
• Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?—
  Yes$791 @ 59.4¢
• Will Tomáš Chovanec be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Politics
  Yes$623 @ 67.9¢
• Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics
  Yes$553 @ 55.5¢
• Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?—
  Yes$465 @ 61.6¢
• Will Lukáš Hájek be the next Mayor of Liberec?Politics
  Yes$395 @ 85.2¢
• Will Ondřej Tichý be the next Mayor of Pardubice?Politics
  Yes$367 @ 78.2¢
• Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?—
  Yes$326 @ 8.6¢
• Will Jakub Rychtecký be the next Mayor of Pardubice?Politics
  No$274 @ 73.7¢
• Will Jiří Veselka be the next Mayor of Liberec?Politics
  No$270 @ 94.9¢
• Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?—
  Yes$252 @ 18.0¢
• Will Marek Zelenka be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Politics
  Yes$222 @ 64.3¢
• Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?—
  Yes$215 @ 44.2¢
• Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Politics
  Yes$150 @ 59.0¢
• Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?—
  Under$143 @ 29.0¢
• Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?Politics
  Yes$132 @ 90.7¢
• Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?—
  Yes$130 @ 36.1¢
• Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes?—
  Yes$129 @ 14.7¢
• Will ANO get between 27% and 30% of the vote in the Czech election?—
  Yes$124 @ 27.8¢
• Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?—
  Yes$122 @ 34.0¢
• Will Motoristé get between 3% and 5% of the vote in the Czech election?—
  Yes$120 @ 15.4¢
• Will Catalin Drula finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?—
  Yes$117 @ 22.3¢
• Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Politics
  Yes$116 @ 59.4¢
• Will Johannes Kaiser come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?—
  Yes$115 @ 10.2¢
• Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?Politics
  Yes$111 @ 62.1¢
• Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?—
  No$110 @ 2.5¢
• Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?—
  Yes$106 @ 5.7¢