0x0d76…8d46

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0d7611686c2877f68572012c2f1494dfd5918d46
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.5pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

29% @ 23.6¢

Brier

0.125

Resolved

317

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	36% (24/66)	+9%	66
Sports	14% (2/14)	-34%	14
Politics	33% (1/3)	-61%	3
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+52%	1

Other66 bets
Hit rate
36% (24/66)
ROI
+9%
Sports14 bets
Hit rate
14% (2/14)
ROI
-34%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-61%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+52%

Track record

33% hit · 28/84

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)	Ian Machado Garry	$78	24.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Dustin Jacoby	$3	31.0¢	Lost
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	No	$14	45.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)	Santiago Ponzinibbio	$1	8.0¢	Lost
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	$1	11.5¢	Lost
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	$48	48.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Deiveson Figueiredo	$1	19.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Tallison Teixeira	$1	17.0¢	Lost
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	$4	16.9¢	Won
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 26, 2026?	Yes	$6	21.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?	Yes	$15	30.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$1	12.5¢	Lost
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)	Hooker	$2	23.0¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?	Yes	$5	35.0¢	Lost
Weed rescheduled by March 31?	Yes	$10	10.8¢	Lost
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	$6	3.9¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$9	36.8¢	Lost
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?	Yes	$3	0.7¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?	Yes	$5	10.0¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 18, 2026?	Yes	$17	17.5¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?	Yes	$20	10.7¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$14	55.5¢	Won
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?	No	$5	31.0¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?	Yes	$11	40.8¢	Won
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?	No	$5	12.0¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 8, 2026?	Yes	$6	32.7¢	Won
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	$5	56.8¢	Won
US strike on Syria by December 19?	Yes	$8	8.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	23.0¢	Won
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Lost
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	$1	1.5¢	Lost
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei	No	$5	46.5¢	Won
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)	Paddy Pimblett	$2	46.0¢	Won
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 6, 2026?	Yes	$2	33.0¢	Lost
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?	No	$3	66.0¢	Won
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 17, 2026?	Yes	$55	39.2¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026?	Yes	$19	35.3¢	Won
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?	Yes	$8	25.3¢	Won
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	$12	2.9¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 5, 2026?	No	$3	62.0¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 5, 2026?	Yes	$1	21.0¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$29	58.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	47.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)	Dan Hooker	$20	20.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?	Yes	$5	11.6¢	Lost
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?	Yes	$9	15.8¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?	Yes	$2	31.0¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	Yes	$14	2.4¢	Lost

UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Lost
Ian Machado Garry$78 @ 24.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Lost
Dustin Jacoby$3 @ 31.0¢
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?Lost
No$14 @ 45.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)Lost
Santiago Ponzinibbio$1 @ 8.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Lost
Yes$1 @ 11.5¢
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$48 @ 48.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)Lost
Deiveson Figueiredo$1 @ 19.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Lost
Tallison Teixeira$1 @ 17.0¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Won
Yes$4 @ 16.9¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 21.0¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?Won
Yes$15 @ 30.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLost
Switzerland$1 @ 12.5¢
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)Lost
Hooker$2 @ 23.0¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 35.0¢
Weed rescheduled by March 31?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.8¢
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.9¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Lost
Yes$9 @ 36.8¢
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.7¢
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 18, 2026?Lost
Yes$17 @ 17.5¢
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?Lost
Yes$20 @ 10.7¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$14 @ 55.5¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?Lost
No$5 @ 31.0¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?Won
Yes$11 @ 40.8¢
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Lost
No$5 @ 12.0¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 8, 2026?Won
Yes$6 @ 32.7¢
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Won
Yes$5 @ 56.8¢
US strike on Syria by December 19?Won
Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 23.0¢
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.5¢
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiWon
No$5 @ 46.5¢
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)Won
Paddy Pimblett$2 @ 46.0¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 6, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 33.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Won
No$3 @ 66.0¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$55 @ 39.2¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026?Won
Yes$19 @ 35.3¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?Won
Yes$8 @ 25.3¢
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Lost
Yes$12 @ 2.9¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 5, 2026?Lost
No$3 @ 62.0¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 5, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$29 @ 58.0¢
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$2 @ 47.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)Lost
Dan Hooker$20 @ 20.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?Lost
Yes$5 @ 11.6¢
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?Lost
Yes$9 @ 15.8¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 31.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Lost
Yes$14 @ 2.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Sports	Yes	$191	33.3¢
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance	—	Brazil	$112	70.0¢
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)	—	Ian Machado Garry	$78	24.0¢
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	—	Yes	$48	48.0¢
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Sports	No	$24	27.8¢
UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)	—	Dan Hooker	$20	20.0¢
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	—	No	$14	45.0¢
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Sports	Merab Dvalishvili	$10	42.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	—	Yes	$9	36.8¢
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance	—	France	$8	56.3¢
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$6	0.2¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$4	16.9¢
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$4	13.5¢
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	—	Dustin Jacoby	$3	31.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$3	54.0¢
Will Michael Morales be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Sports	Yes	$2	0.3¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	—	Yes	$1	11.5¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	—	Switzerland	$1	12.5¢
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$1	8.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Sports	Deiveson Figueiredo	$1	19.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Sports	Tallison Teixeira	$1	17.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)	—	Santiago Ponzinibbio	$1	8.0¢
Will Dan Hooker win by KO or TKO?	—	Yes	$0	9.0¢

Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Sports
Yes$191 @ 33.3¢
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance—
Brazil$112 @ 70.0¢
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)—
Ian Machado Garry$78 @ 24.0¢
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?—
Yes$48 @ 48.0¢
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Sports
No$24 @ 27.8¢
UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)—
Dan Hooker$20 @ 20.0¢
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?—
No$14 @ 45.0¢
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)Sports
Merab Dvalishvili$10 @ 42.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?—
Yes$9 @ 36.8¢
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance—
France$8 @ 56.3¢
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$6 @ 0.2¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$4 @ 16.9¢
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$4 @ 13.5¢
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)—
Dustin Jacoby$3 @ 31.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
Yes$3 @ 54.0¢
Will Michael Morales be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Sports
Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?—
Yes$1 @ 11.5¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance—
Switzerland$1 @ 12.5¢
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Sports
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)Sports
Deiveson Figueiredo$1 @ 19.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Sports
Tallison Teixeira$1 @ 17.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)—
Santiago Ponzinibbio$1 @ 8.0¢
Will Dan Hooker win by KO or TKO?—
Yes$0 @ 9.0¢