0x0cfc…7f6b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0cfcc1b4aee4897f20f3b0728fa846947a567f6b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+22.1pp

ROI

+132%

Win rate

36% @ 14.2¢

Brier

0.253

Resolved

553

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	57% (141/248)	+130%	248
Politics	80% (4/5)	+43%	5
Tech	25% (1/4)	-20%	4
Sports	100% (2/2)	+669%	2
Science	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other248 bets
Hit rate
57% (141/248)
ROI
+130%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
80% (4/5)
ROI
+43%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-20%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+669%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

57% hit · 148/261

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	No	$3	55.0¢	Lost
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	$2	46.0¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	$1	18.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	$1	65.0¢	Won
Will Doug Morneau win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	$5	31.0¢	Lost
Will Doug Morneau win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$12	77.0¢	Won
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	$2	65.0¢	Lost
Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	Yes	$0	7.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on October 21?	Yes	$9	45.0¢	Won
GitHub.com critical incident by November 15, 2026?	No	$0	7.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 20?	No	$1	45.0¢	Lost
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-11?	Yes	$11	11.3¢	Lost
Game Handicap: KSG (-2.5) vs AG Super Play (+2.5)	KuaiShow Gaming	$13	8.2¢	Lost
Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5	Under	$9	33.0¢	Lost
0x015b18ad…	No	$7	29.0¢	Lost
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5	Yes	$1	26.0¢	Won
Will Caracas FC win on 2026-04-09?	No	$3	32.1¢	Won
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to Score	No	$37	5.6¢	Lost
0x07a298a4…	Under	$3	24.0¢	Won
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 4.5	Under	$7	31.0¢	Won
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	Pittsburgh Pirates	$8	27.6¢	Lost
Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-05?	No	$20	5.9¢	Won
Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-05?	Yes	$6	1.0¢	Lost
LoL: Orzeł Barcząca Esports vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group E	Orzeł Barcząca Esports	$5	30.0¢	Won
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	No	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$23	3.5¢	Lost
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Newcastle United FC?	No	$5	32.0¢	Won
Will NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?	No	$17	3.1¢	Lost
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?	Over	$18	3.1¢	Lost
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?	Over	$1	12.0¢	Won
Rockets vs. Pelicans: 1H Moneyline	Rockets	$3	32.0¢	Won
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?	No	$7	32.0¢	Won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5	Under	$1	8.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs Johnny Speeds (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A	AaB esport	$5	23.0¢	Won
0x183b4458…	Under	$1	30.0¢	Won
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-04-12?	Yes	$21	3.8¢	Lost
Spread: CA Barracas Central (-2.5)	AA Argentinos Juniors	$0	17.4¢	Won
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 24?	No	$6	31.3¢	Won
Will Alex Ferreira (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	No	$13	11.8¢	Lost
0x19bab4b3…	No	$28	4.3¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil settle at $80–$90 on April 8?	No	$7	33.0¢	Won
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (W)	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	$1	30.0¢	Lost
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?	Over	$14	6.0¢	Won
0x20f92e22…	Yes	$28	4.9¢	Lost
Will Peru vs. Honduras end in a draw?	No	$28	4.8¢	Lost
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-04-04?	No	$7	34.0¢	Lost
AD Pasto vs. Atlético Nacional: O/U 4.5	Under	$0	29.0¢	Won
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?	No	$11	18.5¢	Lost
Will "Crack Cocaine" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)	No	$5	23.7¢	Won
Map Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs Looking For Laburo (+1.5)	Olimpo Gold	$10	13.7¢	Lost

Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Lost
No$3 @ 55.0¢
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Won
Yes$2 @ 46.0¢
Will Anthropic have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Lost
Yes$1 @ 18.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 65.0¢
Will Doug Morneau win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Lost
No$5 @ 31.0¢
Will Doug Morneau win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Won
Yes$12 @ 77.0¢
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 65.0¢
Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?Won
Yes$0 @ 7.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on October 21?Won
Yes$9 @ 45.0¢
GitHub.com critical incident by November 15, 2026?Lost
No$0 @ 7.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 20?Lost
No$1 @ 45.0¢
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-11?Lost
Yes$11 @ 11.3¢
Game Handicap: KSG (-2.5) vs AG Super Play (+2.5)Lost
KuaiShow Gaming$13 @ 8.2¢
Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Lost
Under$9 @ 33.0¢
0x015b18ad…Lost
No$7 @ 29.0¢
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5Won
Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
Will Caracas FC win on 2026-04-09?Won
No$3 @ 32.1¢
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$37 @ 5.6¢
0x07a298a4…Won
Under$3 @ 24.0¢
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 4.5Won
Under$7 @ 31.0¢
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Lost
Pittsburgh Pirates$8 @ 27.6¢
Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-05?Won
No$20 @ 5.9¢
Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-05?Lost
Yes$6 @ 1.0¢
LoL: Orzeł Barcząca Esports vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group EWon
Orzeł Barcząca Esports$5 @ 30.0¢
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Lost
No$0 @ 2.0¢
Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$23 @ 3.5¢
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Newcastle United FC?Won
No$5 @ 32.0¢
Will NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?Lost
No$17 @ 3.1¢
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?Lost
Over$18 @ 3.1¢
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?Won
Over$1 @ 12.0¢
Rockets vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineWon
Rockets$3 @ 32.0¢
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?Won
No$7 @ 32.0¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Won
Under$1 @ 8.0¢
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs Johnny Speeds (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group AWon
AaB esport$5 @ 23.0¢
0x183b4458…Won
Under$1 @ 30.0¢
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-04-12?Lost
Yes$21 @ 3.8¢
Spread: CA Barracas Central (-2.5)Won
AA Argentinos Juniors$0 @ 17.4¢
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 24?Won
No$6 @ 31.3¢
Will Alex Ferreira (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Lost
No$13 @ 11.8¢
0x19bab4b3…Lost
No$28 @ 4.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil settle at $80–$90 on April 8?Won
No$7 @ 33.0¢
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (W)Lost
Wake Forest Demon Deacons$1 @ 30.0¢
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Won
Over$14 @ 6.0¢
0x20f92e22…Lost
Yes$28 @ 4.9¢
Will Peru vs. Honduras end in a draw?Lost
No$28 @ 4.8¢
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-04-04?Lost
No$7 @ 34.0¢
AD Pasto vs. Atlético Nacional: O/U 4.5Won
Under$0 @ 29.0¢
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?Lost
No$11 @ 18.5¢
Will "Crack Cocaine" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)Won
No$5 @ 23.7¢
Map Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs Looking For Laburo (+1.5)Lost
Olimpo Gold$10 @ 13.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Tech	Yes	$42	84.0¢
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?	Tech	Yes	$28	56.6¢
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?	Tech	No	$22	43.3¢
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$16	82.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 40%-45%?	Politics	No	$16	80.4¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 15%-20%?	Politics	No	$16	79.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 40%-45%?	Politics	No	$16	77.6¢
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 0%-3%?	Politics	Yes	$14	29.0¢
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	Economy	Yes	$10	50.0¢
Will the Rastriya Swatantra Party candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election?	Politics	No	$10	49.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 45%-50%?	Politics	Yes	$7	33.2¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 40%-45%?	Politics	Yes	$6	30.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-07 House election by 70%-75%?	Politics	Yes	$6	30.0¢
Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Culture	No	$4	20.0¢
Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 4% of the vote in 2026?	Politics	No	$3	15.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 30%-35%?	Politics	Yes	$3	32.4¢
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Culture	No	$3	86.0¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% before 2027?	Economy	Yes	$3	85.0¢
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?	Business	Yes	$2	44.0¢
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2	79.0¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	Economy	Yes	$2	49.0¢
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	Tech	No	$2	55.0¢
Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Sports	Yes	$2	72.0¢
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	Economy	No	$1	84.2¢
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 29, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$1	51.0¢
Will UKMTO publish 8-11 notices between October 26-November 1?	Geopolitics	Yes	$1	35.0¢
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7?	Culture	No	$1	66.0¢
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Politics	No	$1	60.8¢
Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$1	46.0¢
Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	Tech	Yes	$1	56.0¢

Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?Tech
Yes$42 @ 84.0¢
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?Tech
Yes$28 @ 56.6¢
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?Tech
No$22 @ 43.3¢
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$16 @ 82.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 40%-45%?Politics
No$16 @ 80.4¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 15%-20%?Politics
No$16 @ 79.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 40%-45%?Politics
No$16 @ 77.6¢
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 0%-3%?Politics
Yes$14 @ 29.0¢
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?Economy
Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
Will the Rastriya Swatantra Party candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election?Politics
No$10 @ 49.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 45%-50%?Politics
Yes$7 @ 33.2¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 40%-45%?Politics
Yes$6 @ 30.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-07 House election by 70%-75%?Politics
Yes$6 @ 30.0¢
Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Culture
No$4 @ 20.0¢
Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 4% of the vote in 2026?Politics
No$3 @ 15.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 30%-35%?Politics
Yes$3 @ 32.4¢
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
No$3 @ 86.0¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% before 2027?Economy
Yes$3 @ 85.0¢
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?Business
Yes$2 @ 44.0¢
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$2 @ 79.0¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Economy
Yes$2 @ 49.0¢
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?Tech
No$2 @ 55.0¢
Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Sports
Yes$2 @ 72.0¢
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?Economy
No$1 @ 84.2¢
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 29, 2026?Tech
Yes$1 @ 51.0¢
Will UKMTO publish 8-11 notices between October 26-November 1?Geopolitics
Yes$1 @ 35.0¢
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7?Culture
No$1 @ 66.0¢
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?Politics
No$1 @ 60.8¢
Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$1 @ 46.0¢
Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?Tech
Yes$1 @ 56.0¢