0x0cb1…dea6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0cb16fa435fc6dd7c21766e12251e17d6da1dea6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+12.9pp

ROI

+5%

Win rate

68% @ 55.5¢

Brier

0.246

Resolved

695

Avg size

$879

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	11% (4/37)	-50%	37
Politics	70% (14/20)	-8%	20
Sports	50% (7/14)	+13%	14
Crypto	33% (2/6)	+61%	6
Tech	100% (1/1)	+18%	1
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other37 bets
Hit rate
11% (4/37)
ROI
-50%
Politics20 bets
Hit rate
70% (14/20)
ROI
-8%
Sports14 bets
Hit rate
50% (7/14)
ROI
+13%
Crypto6 bets
Hit rate
33% (2/6)
ROI
+61%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

35% hit · 28/79

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	$286	42.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	$266	17.9¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	$106	14.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	$196	16.4¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	$284	37.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on November 9?	Yes	$839	22.9¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	$232	9.9¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	$248	1.7¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	$187	5.6¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	$703	26.6¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	$161	35.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 9?	Yes	$4.2k	42.3¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	$528	35.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 9?	Yes	$1.3k	20.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 9?	No	$415	22.4¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	$189	22.8¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	$629	19.6¢	Won
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	$244	17.5¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	$94	21.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	$1.4k	40.6¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 November 2-8?	Yes	$5.6k	68.1¢	Won
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	$1.9k	35.5¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	$243	21.4¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1PM ET	Down	$70	4.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$2.1k	80.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	$2.4k	87.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 3 Colombia?	Yes	$1.4k	2.8¢	Lost
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?	No	$3.2k	41.1¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$21.1k	83.7¢	Won
Will USA be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	$6	12.1¢	Lost
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$601	85.0¢	Won
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$7.1k	63.0¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$23.9k	50.0¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$5.4k	71.9¢	Won
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?	Yes	$632	3.0¢	Lost
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$11.9k	45.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	Yes	$6.9k	37.9¢	Won
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$38.8k	66.7¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	$6.9k	84.5¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	$5.8k	77.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$105.8k	49.3¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$20.8k	80.3¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance	Portugal	$8.8k	34.0¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$335	83.8¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	$9.4k	60.9¢	Won
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	$5.7k	66.9¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$651	54.0¢	Won
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	No	$14.4k	74.5¢	Won
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$31.7k	73.0¢	Won
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?	Yes	$23.0k	41.8¢	Lost

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETLost
Down$286 @ 42.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETLost
Up$266 @ 17.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETLost
Down$106 @ 14.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETLost
Down$196 @ 16.4¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETLost
Down$284 @ 37.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on November 9?Lost
Yes$839 @ 22.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETLost
Down$232 @ 9.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETLost
Up$248 @ 1.7¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETLost
Up$187 @ 5.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETLost
Up$703 @ 26.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETLost
Up$161 @ 35.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 9?Lost
Yes$4.2k @ 42.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETLost
Down$528 @ 35.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 9?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 20.1¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 9?Lost
No$415 @ 22.4¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETLost
Down$189 @ 22.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETWon
Down$629 @ 19.6¢
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETLost
Up$244 @ 17.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETLost
Up$94 @ 21.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETLost
Up$1.4k @ 40.6¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 November 2-8?Won
Yes$5.6k @ 68.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETLost
Up$1.9k @ 35.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETLost
Up$243 @ 21.4¢
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1PM ETLost
Down$70 @ 4.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$2.1k @ 80.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
No$2.4k @ 87.0¢
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 3 Colombia?Lost
Yes$1.4k @ 2.8¢
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?Lost
No$3.2k @ 41.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$21.1k @ 83.7¢
Will USA be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Lost
Yes$6 @ 12.1¢
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Won
Yes$601 @ 85.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Won
Yes$7.1k @ 63.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Won
Yes$23.9k @ 50.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Won
Yes$5.4k @ 71.9¢
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?Lost
Yes$632 @ 3.0¢
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$11.9k @ 45.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Won
Yes$6.9k @ 37.9¢
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$38.8k @ 66.7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Won
No$6.9k @ 84.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Won
No$5.8k @ 77.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$105.8k @ 49.3¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$20.8k @ 80.3¢
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLost
Portugal$8.8k @ 34.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
No$335 @ 83.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Won
No$9.4k @ 60.9¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Lost
No$5.7k @ 66.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$651 @ 54.0¢
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Won
No$14.4k @ 74.5¢
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$31.7k @ 73.0¢
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?Lost
Yes$23.0k @ 41.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 9?	Crypto	Yes	$4.2k	42.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	—	Up	$1.9k	35.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	—	Up	$1.4k	40.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 9?	Crypto	Yes	$1.3k	20.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on November 9?	—	Yes	$839	22.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	—	Up	$703	26.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	—	Down	$629	19.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	—	Down	$528	35.3¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 9?	Crypto	No	$415	22.4¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	—	Down	$286	42.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	—	Down	$284	37.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	—	Up	$266	17.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	—	Up	$248	1.7¢
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	—	Up	$244	17.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	—	Down	$232	9.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	—	Down	$196	16.4¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	—	Down	$189	22.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	—	Up	$187	5.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	—	Up	$161	35.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	—	Down	$106	14.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	—	Up	$94	21.0¢

Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 9?Crypto
Yes$4.2k @ 42.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET—
Up$1.9k @ 35.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET—
Up$1.4k @ 40.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 9?Crypto
Yes$1.3k @ 20.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on November 9?—
Yes$839 @ 22.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET—
Up$703 @ 26.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET—
Down$629 @ 19.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET—
Down$528 @ 35.3¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 9?Crypto
No$415 @ 22.4¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET—
Down$286 @ 42.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET—
Down$284 @ 37.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET—
Up$266 @ 17.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET—
Up$248 @ 1.7¢
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET—
Up$244 @ 17.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET—
Down$232 @ 9.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET—
Down$196 @ 16.4¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET—
Down$189 @ 22.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET—
Up$187 @ 5.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET—
Up$161 @ 35.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET—
Down$106 @ 14.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET—
Up$94 @ 21.0¢