0x0c99…87cf

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0c99e528d01b62a2ff9e9982e2913d2e935287cf
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.4pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

20% @ 14.4¢

Brier

0.038

Resolved

1285

Avg size

$12

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	26% (10/39)	-19%	39
Other	33% (5/15)	+17%	15
Politics	33% (1/3)	+61%	3
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+16%	1

Sports39 bets
Hit rate
26% (10/39)
ROI
-19%
Other15 bets
Hit rate
33% (5/15)
ROI
+17%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+61%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+16%

Track record

29% hit · 17/58

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$44	8.6¢	Lost
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$81	40.0¢	Won
Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$7	1.5¢	Lost
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$285	1.1¢	Lost
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$311	1.6¢	Lost
Will Gonçalo Inácio be in Portugal's Starting 11?	No	$46	16.8¢	Won
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$72	0.7¢	Lost
Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	$19	1.3¢	Lost
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$350	70.0¢	Won
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$318	69.0¢	Won
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$19	0.2¢	Lost
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$68	6.8¢	Lost
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$20	1.0¢	Lost
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$28	2.0¢	Lost
Will Germany be the highest-scoring team in Group E during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$146	81.0¢	Won
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$32	0.4¢	Lost
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$29	2.0¢	Lost
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$10	0.2¢	Lost
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$352	1.7¢	Lost
Will William Saliba be in France's Starting 11?	No	$128	80.5¢	Lost
Will William Saliba be in France's Starting 11?	Yes	$286	74.3¢	Won
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$72	2.1¢	Lost
Will Moise Kouame win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$15	0.1¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$865	86.5¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	$70	35.0¢	Won
Will Raphael Collignon win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$36	2.5¢	Lost
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$31	0.3¢	Lost
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$186	1.8¢	Lost
Will Martin Landaluce win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$54	0.7¢	Lost
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	$91	32.4¢	Lost
Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1.7k	88.4¢	Won
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	$39	18.6¢	Lost
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$158	40.1¢	Won
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)	AFC Bournemouth	$34	34.0¢	Won
Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?	No	$159	79.0¢	Won
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	$3.9k	58.8¢	Won
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$41	8.0¢	Lost
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	$26	13.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$81	5.0¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$118	59.0¢	Lost
Will Norway win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	Yes	$77	1.9¢	Lost
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	$3.3k	71.0¢	Won
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$88	1.7¢	Lost
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$27	13.0¢	Lost
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$66	14.3¢	Lost
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	$123	22.2¢	Lost
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$153	30.0¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$194	79.8¢	Won
Will Rúben Dias be in Portugal's Starting 11?	No	$2	20.0¢	Won
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	$23	23.0¢	Lost

Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$44 @ 8.6¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$81 @ 40.0¢
Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.5¢
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$285 @ 1.1¢
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$311 @ 1.6¢
Will Gonçalo Inácio be in Portugal's Starting 11?Won
No$46 @ 16.8¢
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$72 @ 0.7¢
Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Lost
Yes$19 @ 1.3¢
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$350 @ 70.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Won
Yes$318 @ 69.0¢
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$19 @ 0.2¢
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$68 @ 6.8¢
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 1.0¢
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$28 @ 2.0¢
Will Germany be the highest-scoring team in Group E during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$146 @ 81.0¢
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$32 @ 0.4¢
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$29 @ 2.0¢
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$352 @ 1.7¢
Will William Saliba be in France's Starting 11?Lost
No$128 @ 80.5¢
Will William Saliba be in France's Starting 11?Won
Yes$286 @ 74.3¢
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$72 @ 2.1¢
Will Moise Kouame win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$15 @ 0.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$865 @ 86.5¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Won
Yes$70 @ 35.0¢
Will Raphael Collignon win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$36 @ 2.5¢
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$31 @ 0.3¢
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$186 @ 1.8¢
Will Martin Landaluce win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$54 @ 0.7¢
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Lost
No$91 @ 32.4¢
Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$1.7k @ 88.4¢
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?Lost
No$39 @ 18.6¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
Yes$158 @ 40.1¢
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Won
AFC Bournemouth$34 @ 34.0¢
Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?Won
No$159 @ 79.0¢
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Won
No$3.9k @ 58.8¢
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$41 @ 8.0¢
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?Lost
Yes$26 @ 13.0¢
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$81 @ 5.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Lost
No$118 @ 59.0¢
Will Norway win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?Lost
Yes$77 @ 1.9¢
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?Won
Yes$3.3k @ 71.0¢
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$88 @ 1.7¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?Lost
Yes$27 @ 13.0¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Lost
Yes$66 @ 14.3¢
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Lost
FC Barcelona$123 @ 22.2¢
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$153 @ 30.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$194 @ 79.8¢
Will Rúben Dias be in Portugal's Starting 11?Won
No$2 @ 20.0¢
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Lost
Paris Saint-Germain FC$23 @ 23.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Tech	No	$4.7k	79.6¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$2.1k	73.8¢
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$990	54.9¢
Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Sports	Yes	$892	85.9¢
Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Sports	Yes	$665	85.7¢
Will Belgium be the highest-scoring team in Group G during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	—	Yes	$651	68.1¢
Will Spain be the highest-scoring team in Group H during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	—	Yes	$598	85.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$485	9.7¢
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$481	0.7¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$478	13.7¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$401	6.5¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$378	1.3¢
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$342	0.6¢
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$328	92.8¢
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$322	1.6¢
Will Belgium go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	—	Yes	$299	73.9¢
Will 4+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	—	Yes	$297	71.9¢
Kash Patel out by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$268	59.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	No	$257	91.7¢
Will Argentina be the highest-scoring team in Group J during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$243	81.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	Sports	Yes	$231	77.0¢
World Cup: Highest Scoring Match Record Broken?	Sports	No	$196	88.8¢
World Cup: Total Tournament Goals O/U 264.5	—	Under	$166	8.3¢
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$160	8.0¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$147	2.5¢
Will Germany be the highest-scoring team in Group E during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$145	81.0¢
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$138	1.1¢
World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe	—	Mbappe	$132	81.2¢
Will Noah Okafor score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	—	No	$132	68.2¢
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$124	0.3¢

GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech
No$4.7k @ 79.6¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$2.1k @ 73.8¢
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$990 @ 54.9¢
Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Sports
Yes$892 @ 85.9¢
Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Sports
Yes$665 @ 85.7¢
Will Belgium be the highest-scoring team in Group G during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?—
Yes$651 @ 68.1¢
Will Spain be the highest-scoring team in Group H during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?—
Yes$598 @ 85.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$485 @ 9.7¢
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$481 @ 0.7¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$478 @ 13.7¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$401 @ 6.5¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$378 @ 1.3¢
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$342 @ 0.6¢
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$328 @ 92.8¢
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$322 @ 1.6¢
Will Belgium go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?—
Yes$299 @ 73.9¢
Will 4+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?—
Yes$297 @ 71.9¢
Kash Patel out by June 30?Politics
Yes$268 @ 59.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
No$257 @ 91.7¢
Will Argentina be the highest-scoring team in Group J during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$243 @ 81.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?Sports
Yes$231 @ 77.0¢
World Cup: Highest Scoring Match Record Broken?Sports
No$196 @ 88.8¢
World Cup: Total Tournament Goals O/U 264.5—
Under$166 @ 8.3¢
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$160 @ 8.0¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$147 @ 2.5¢
Will Germany be the highest-scoring team in Group E during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$145 @ 81.0¢
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$138 @ 1.1¢
World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe—
Mbappe$132 @ 81.2¢
Will Noah Okafor score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?—
No$132 @ 68.2¢
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$124 @ 0.3¢