0x0c3d…f757

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0c3d8f1e50210165a1fe186ef45c540fcff7f757
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+18.1pp

ROI

+29%

Win rate

82% @ 63.8¢

Brier

0.086

Resolved

105

Avg size

$290

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	91% (30/33)	+6%	33
Other	67% (22/33)	+15%	33
Politics	100% (3/3)	+19%	3
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+3%	1

Sports33 bets
Hit rate
91% (30/33)
ROI
+6%
Other33 bets
Hit rate
67% (22/33)
ROI
+15%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+19%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+3%

Track record

80% hit · 56/70

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jazmin Ortenzi	Jazmin Ortenzi	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	$3.8k	80.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Xtreme Gaming	$6	23.0¢	Lost
Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Twisted Minds (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage	Twisted Minds	$3	54.0¢	Won
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	$164	8.2¢	Lost
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	$845	82.0¢	Won
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	$4.8k	80.4¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winner	G2	$410	55.5¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner	INOX Division	$0	10.0¢	Lost
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala	Alexandra Eala	$4	0.9¢	Lost
Rainbow Six Siege: ENTERPRISE Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage	Shopify Rebellion	$136	89.9¢	Won
Set Handicap: Gaubas (-1.5) vs Riedi (+1.5)	Riedi	$1	55.0¢	Won
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	$35	69.0¢	Won
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Andreeva (+1.5)	Andreeva	$140	87.5¢	Won
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	$15	11.7¢	Lost
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	$1.7k	79.9¢	Won
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5	Over	$1	15.8¢	Lost
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	Yes	$2.0k	89.2¢	Won
Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	$53	88.0¢	Won
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	No	$1.7k	87.9¢	Won
Will the match not air?	Yes	$11	1.1¢	Lost
IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$2.0k	47.9¢	Won
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?	Yes	$1.2k	48.5¢	Won
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs	ex-RUBY	$10	1.0¢	Lost
Set Handicap: Etcheverry (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)	Borges	$14	74.0¢	Won
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner	Team Secret Whales	$163	78.2¢	Won
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Julie&cie - Map 2 Winner	Julie&cie	$2	46.0¢	Won
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$55	55.0¢	Won
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$77	50.8¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Netherlands vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$52	52.0¢	Won
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score	No	$5.6k	91.3¢	Won
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$102	48.9¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$79	55.3¢	Won
Will Benfica qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	$245	97.9¢	Won
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	$7.2k	97.0¢	Won
Will Portugal go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	$5	68.0¢	Won
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	Yes	$229	55.0¢	Won
Will Julián Alvarez be in Argentina's Starting 11?	No	$235	92.2¢	Won
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5	Over	$1.3k	99.0¢	Won
Will Zeno Debast be in Belgium's Starting 11?	No	$176	91.6¢	Won
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu	Emma Raducanu	$32	99.2¢	Won
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5	Over	$2.4k	99.0¢	Won
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 0.5	Over	$2.9k	99.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5	Under	$400	8.0¢	Lost
Will Julio Enciso score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$228	65.7¢	Lost
Will Lennart Kahl score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$468	98.2¢	Won
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5	Over	$23.2k	99.0¢	Won
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5	Over	$238	99.0¢	Won
Will Massimiliano Allegri be the next manager of SSC Napoli?	Yes	$1.8k	99.0¢	Won
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	$4.8k	99.0¢	Won

Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jazmin OrtenziLost
Jazmin Ortenzi$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?Won
Yes$3.8k @ 80.0¢
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageLost
Xtreme Gaming$6 @ 23.0¢
Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Twisted Minds (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group StageWon
Twisted Minds$3 @ 54.0¢
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$164 @ 8.2¢
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Won
Yes$845 @ 82.0¢
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier PlayoffsWon
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming$4.8k @ 80.4¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerLost
G2$410 @ 55.5¢
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 1 WinnerLost
INOX Division$0 @ 10.0¢
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra EalaLost
Alexandra Eala$4 @ 0.9¢
Rainbow Six Siege: ENTERPRISE Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group StageWon
Shopify Rebellion$136 @ 89.9¢
Set Handicap: Gaubas (-1.5) vs Riedi (+1.5)Won
Riedi$1 @ 55.0¢
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Won
Yes$35 @ 69.0¢
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Andreeva (+1.5)Won
Andreeva$140 @ 87.5¢
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$15 @ 11.7¢
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier PlayoffsWon
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming$1.7k @ 79.9¢
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5Lost
Over$1 @ 15.8¢
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 89.2¢
Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?Won
Yes$53 @ 88.0¢
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?Won
No$1.7k @ 87.9¢
Will the match not air?Lost
Yes$11 @ 1.1¢
IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$2.0k @ 47.9¢
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 48.5¢
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 PlayoffsLost
ex-RUBY$10 @ 1.0¢
Set Handicap: Etcheverry (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)Won
Borges$14 @ 74.0¢
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 2 WinnerWon
Team Secret Whales$163 @ 78.2¢
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Julie&cie - Map 2 WinnerWon
Julie&cie$2 @ 46.0¢
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?Won
No$55 @ 55.0¢
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
No$77 @ 50.8¢
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Netherlands vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?Won
No$52 @ 52.0¢
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$5.6k @ 91.3¢
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
No$102 @ 48.9¢
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?Won
No$79 @ 55.3¢
Will Benfica qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?Won
Yes$245 @ 97.9¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Won
Yes$7.2k @ 97.0¢
Will Portugal go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Won
Yes$5 @ 68.0¢
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Won
Yes$229 @ 55.0¢
Will Julián Alvarez be in Argentina's Starting 11?Won
No$235 @ 92.2¢
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Won
Over$1.3k @ 99.0¢
Will Zeno Debast be in Belgium's Starting 11?Won
No$176 @ 91.6¢
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma RaducanuWon
Emma Raducanu$32 @ 99.2¢
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Won
Over$2.4k @ 99.0¢
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Won
Over$2.9k @ 99.0¢
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5Lost
Under$400 @ 8.0¢
Will Julio Enciso score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$228 @ 65.7¢
Will Lennart Kahl score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$468 @ 98.2¢
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Won
Over$23.2k @ 99.0¢
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Won
Over$238 @ 99.0¢
Will Massimiliano Allegri be the next manager of SSC Napoli?Won
Yes$1.8k @ 99.0¢
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?Won
No$4.8k @ 99.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$566	68.0¢
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$286	34.0¢
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Sports	Yes	$42	26.0¢
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Sports	Yes	$28	28.0¢
Will Jalen Duren play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$8	20.0¢
Will Benfica finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	Sports	Yes	$3	50.0¢
Will Arouca win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Sports	Yes	$2	12.0¢

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
No$566 @ 68.0¢
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto
No$286 @ 34.0¢
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?Sports
Yes$42 @ 26.0¢
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?Sports
Yes$28 @ 28.0¢
Will Jalen Duren play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$8 @ 20.0¢
Will Benfica finish top 8 in UEL league phase?Sports
Yes$3 @ 50.0¢
Will Arouca win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?Sports
Yes$2 @ 12.0¢