0x0c3d…f757

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0c3d8f1e50210165a1fe186ef45c540fcff7f757
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+16.0pp

ROI

+28%

Win rate

79% @ 63.0¢

Brier

0.115

Resolved

171

Avg size

$206

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	91% (89/98)	+3%	98
Other	69% (42/61)	+6%	61
Politics	100% (16/16)	+19%	16
Crypto	88% (14/16)	+2%	16
Culture	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+3%	1

Sports98 bets
Hit rate
91% (89/98)
ROI
+3%
Other61 bets
Hit rate
69% (42/61)
ROI
+6%
Politics16 bets
Hit rate
100% (16/16)
ROI
+19%
Crypto16 bets
Hit rate
88% (14/16)
ROI
+2%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+3%

Track record

84% hit · 162/194

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Karim Adeyemi be included in Germany's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	$242	97.0¢	Won
Will Kevin Schade be included in Germany's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	$62	97.9¢	Won
Will Tanner Tessmann be included in the USA's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	$59	98.0¢	Won
Will Gabriel Rojas be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	$113	99.0¢	Won
Will Máximo Perrone be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	$113	99.0¢	Won
Will Agustín Giay be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	$113	99.0¢	Won
Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 0.5	Over	$904	99.0¢	Won
Heilbronn: Matej Dodig vs Guy Den Ouden	Guy Den Ouden	$4.0k	99.0¢	Won
Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5	Over	$304	99.0¢	Won
Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5	Over	$422	99.0¢	Won
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Neither team to score first?	Yes	$249	96.1¢	Won
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?	Yes	$13.1k	97.9¢	Won
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?	No	$2.7k	99.0¢	Won
Halle Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Alexander Bublik	Mattia Bellucci	$9.7k	99.0¢	Won
Centurion 2: Guillaume Dalmasso vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	Guillaume Dalmasso	$14	99.0¢	Won
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5)	Shnaider	$6.0k	99.0¢	Won
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic	Emma Raducanu	$29.4k	98.0¢	Won
Will Diego Moreira be in Belgium's Starting 11?	No	$98	96.0¢	Won
Will Joan Garcia be in Spain's Starting 11?	No	$88	97.3¢	Won
Will Ivan Toney be in England's Starting 11?	No	$68	98.0¢	Won
Will José Sá be in Portugal's Starting 11?	No	$100	98.6¢	Won
Will Denzel Dumfries be in Netherlands's Starting 11?	Yes	$185	99.0¢	Won
Will Kevin Castaño be in Colombia's Starting 11?	No	$34	99.0¢	Won
Will Mike Penders be in Belgium's Starting 11?	No	$263	96.8¢	Won
Will Rui Silva be in Portugal's Starting 11?	No	$40	98.9¢	Won
Will Lionel Messi be in Argentina's Starting 11?	Yes	$100	95.9¢	Won
Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 5.5	Over	$1.1k	98.5¢	Won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5	Over	$3.6k	99.0¢	Won
Parma: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Juan Martin	Chun-Hsin Tseng	$51	99.0¢	Won
Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$136	97.0¢	Won
Will Declan Rice be in England's Starting 11?	Yes	$32	98.8¢	Won
Madison Keys vs. Diana Shnaider: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Over 2.5	$61	99.0¢	Won
Anastasia Potapova vs. Anna Kalinskaya: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Over 2.5	$715	99.0¢	Won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5	Over	$6	99.0¢	Won
Will Morocco go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	$100	50.0¢	Won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5	Over	$6.2k	99.0¢	Won
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5	Over	$24.9k	99.0¢	Won
Will Exequiel Palacios be in Argentina's Starting 11?	No	$290	95.3¢	Won
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$3.6k	99.0¢	Won
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$9.9k	99.0¢	Won
Will Maximilian Beier be in Germany's Starting 11?	No	$35	97.0¢	Won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5	Over	$20.4k	99.0¢	Won
Will Noni Madueke be in England's Starting 11?	Yes	$119	92.0¢	Won
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals	Yes	$25	54.0¢	Lost
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	$4.8k	96.4¢	Won
Chisinau: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Luca Nardi	Genaro Alberto Olivieri	$1.5k	99.0¢	Won
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Priscilla Hon	Alexandra Eala	$238	99.2¢	Won
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	$556	97.1¢	Won
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	$9.1k	98.0¢	Won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5	Over	$25.7k	99.0¢	Won

Will Karim Adeyemi be included in Germany's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Won
No$242 @ 97.0¢
Will Kevin Schade be included in Germany's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Won
No$62 @ 97.9¢
Will Tanner Tessmann be included in the USA's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Won
No$59 @ 98.0¢
Will Gabriel Rojas be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Won
No$113 @ 99.0¢
Will Máximo Perrone be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Won
No$113 @ 99.0¢
Will Agustín Giay be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Won
No$113 @ 99.0¢
Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 0.5Won
Over$904 @ 99.0¢
Heilbronn: Matej Dodig vs Guy Den OudenWon
Guy Den Ouden$4.0k @ 99.0¢
Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5Won
Over$304 @ 99.0¢
Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5Won
Over$422 @ 99.0¢
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Neither team to score first?Won
Yes$249 @ 96.1¢
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?Won
Yes$13.1k @ 97.9¢
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?Won
No$2.7k @ 99.0¢
Halle Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Alexander BublikWon
Mattia Bellucci$9.7k @ 99.0¢
Centurion 2: Guillaume Dalmasso vs Constantin Bittoun KouzmineWon
Guillaume Dalmasso$14 @ 99.0¢
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5)Won
Shnaider$6.0k @ 99.0¢
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva JovicWon
Emma Raducanu$29.4k @ 98.0¢
Will Diego Moreira be in Belgium's Starting 11?Won
No$98 @ 96.0¢
Will Joan Garcia be in Spain's Starting 11?Won
No$88 @ 97.3¢
Will Ivan Toney be in England's Starting 11?Won
No$68 @ 98.0¢
Will José Sá be in Portugal's Starting 11?Won
No$100 @ 98.6¢
Will Denzel Dumfries be in Netherlands's Starting 11?Won
Yes$185 @ 99.0¢
Will Kevin Castaño be in Colombia's Starting 11?Won
No$34 @ 99.0¢
Will Mike Penders be in Belgium's Starting 11?Won
No$263 @ 96.8¢
Will Rui Silva be in Portugal's Starting 11?Won
No$40 @ 98.9¢
Will Lionel Messi be in Argentina's Starting 11?Won
Yes$100 @ 95.9¢
Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 5.5Won
Over$1.1k @ 98.5¢
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Won
Over$3.6k @ 99.0¢
Parma: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Juan MartinWon
Chun-Hsin Tseng$51 @ 99.0¢
Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$136 @ 97.0¢
Will Declan Rice be in England's Starting 11?Won
Yes$32 @ 98.8¢
Madison Keys vs. Diana Shnaider: Total Sets O/U 2.5Won
Over 2.5$61 @ 99.0¢
Anastasia Potapova vs. Anna Kalinskaya: Total Sets O/U 2.5Won
Over 2.5$715 @ 99.0¢
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5Won
Over$6 @ 99.0¢
Will Morocco go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Won
Yes$100 @ 50.0¢
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5Won
Over$6.2k @ 99.0¢
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Won
Over$24.9k @ 99.0¢
Will Exequiel Palacios be in Argentina's Starting 11?Won
No$290 @ 95.3¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Won
Yes$3.6k @ 99.0¢
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$9.9k @ 99.0¢
Will Maximilian Beier be in Germany's Starting 11?Won
No$35 @ 97.0¢
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5Won
Over$20.4k @ 99.0¢
Will Noni Madueke be in England's Starting 11?Won
Yes$119 @ 92.0¢
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$25 @ 54.0¢
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?Won
No$4.8k @ 96.4¢
Chisinau: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Luca NardiWon
Genaro Alberto Olivieri$1.5k @ 99.0¢
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Priscilla HonWon
Alexandra Eala$238 @ 99.2¢
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander ZverevWon
Alexander Zverev$556 @ 97.1¢
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Won
No$9.1k @ 98.0¢
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Won
Over$25.7k @ 99.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$13.1k	97.9¢
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?	Sports	No	$2.7k	99.0¢
Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?	—	Yes	$749	96.6¢
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$566	68.0¢
Will Benfica finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	Sports	Yes	$357	70.8¢
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Neither team to score first?	—	Yes	$249	96.1¢
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$187	34.0¢
Will Bournemouth finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	Sports	Yes	$86	91.0¢
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Sports	Yes	$42	26.0¢
Will Real Madrid finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	Sports	Yes	$38	89.9¢
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Sports	Yes	$28	28.0¢
Will Ferencvaros finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	Sports	Yes	$21	69.0¢
Will Arouca win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Sports	Yes	$2	12.0¢
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 0.5	—	Over	$2	41.0¢

Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?Sports
Yes$13.1k @ 97.9¢
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?Sports
No$2.7k @ 99.0¢
Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?—
Yes$749 @ 96.6¢
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
No$566 @ 68.0¢
Will Benfica finish top 8 in UEL league phase?Sports
Yes$357 @ 70.8¢
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Neither team to score first?—
Yes$249 @ 96.1¢
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto
No$187 @ 34.0¢
Will Bournemouth finish top 8 in UEL league phase?Sports
Yes$86 @ 91.0¢
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?Sports
Yes$42 @ 26.0¢
Will Real Madrid finish top 8 in UCL league phase?Sports
Yes$38 @ 89.9¢
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?Sports
Yes$28 @ 28.0¢
Will Ferencvaros finish top 8 in UEL league phase?Sports
Yes$21 @ 69.0¢
Will Arouca win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?Sports
Yes$2 @ 12.0¢
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 0.5—
Over$2 @ 41.0¢