0x0c18…a04c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0c18cf122dce8556302ff496affe379097aba04c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+19.5pp

ROI

+126%

Win rate

43% @ 23.1¢

Brier

0.243

Resolved

345

Avg size

$100

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	14% (3/21)	-84%	21
Other	28% (5/18)	+218%	18
Sports	60% (3/5)	-38%	5
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+170%	1

Politics21 bets
Hit rate
14% (3/21)
ROI
-84%
Other18 bets
Hit rate
28% (5/18)
ROI
+218%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
-38%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+170%

Track record

27% hit · 12/45

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$150	14.8¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$290	29.8¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	$100	37.0¢	Won
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	$528	2.0¢	Lost
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?	Yes	$256	7.4¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	Yes	$50	32.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$500	83.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	$400	70.9¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$3.0k	14.3¢	Lost
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	Yes	$174	7.2¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$74	9.7¢	Lost
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$377	51.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$3.9k	11.1¢	Won
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$42	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?	Yes	$8	0.2¢	Lost
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$43	53.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$68	53.0¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	7.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$497	32.7¢	Lost
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Team WE	$18	68.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2.0k	30.6¢	Lost
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	$270	40.6¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$50	72.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$2.3k	55.9¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?	No	$842	0.2¢	Lost
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann	Jil Teichmann	$40	11.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$5	0.3¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$855	5.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	$1.6k	39.5¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	$136	10.1¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	$76	30.3¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$102	40.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	6.8¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$40	3.5¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	$7.0k	33.7¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$290	32.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	$490	21.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$75	0.3¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	Yes	$132	9.7¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$3.1k	16.7¢	Won
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$50	7.4¢	Lost
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in June?	Yes	$103	26.4¢	Lost
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	$130	40.7¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	$49	49.0¢	Won

Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$150 @ 14.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$290 @ 29.8¢
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?Won
No$100 @ 37.0¢
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Lost
No$528 @ 2.0¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?Lost
Yes$256 @ 7.4¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Lost
Yes$50 @ 32.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$500 @ 83.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Won
No$400 @ 70.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$3.0k @ 14.3¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?Lost
Yes$174 @ 7.2¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Lost
Yes$74 @ 9.7¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$377 @ 51.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
Yes$3.9k @ 11.1¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$42 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.2¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
Yes$43 @ 53.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$68 @ 53.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.9k @ 7.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$497 @ 32.7¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsWon
Team WE$18 @ 68.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$2.0k @ 30.6¢
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Lost
No$270 @ 40.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$50 @ 72.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Lost
Yes$2.3k @ 55.9¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Lost
No$842 @ 0.2¢
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil TeichmannLost
Jil Teichmann$40 @ 11.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Won
Yes$855 @ 5.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Won
Yes$1.6k @ 39.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Lost
Yes$136 @ 10.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Lost
Yes$76 @ 30.3¢
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$102 @ 40.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.9k @ 6.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$40 @ 3.5¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Lost
No$7.0k @ 33.7¢
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$290 @ 32.0¢
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Lost
Yes$490 @ 21.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$75 @ 0.3¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?Lost
Yes$132 @ 9.7¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$3.1k @ 16.7¢
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Lost
Yes$50 @ 7.4¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in June?Lost
Yes$103 @ 26.4¢
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Lost
Yes$130 @ 40.7¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Won
Yes$49 @ 49.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	—	Yes	$768	34.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$100	41.0¢
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$22	8.6¢
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	Culture	Yes	$13	2.5¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	—	Yes	$10	49.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	12.0¢

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?—
Yes$768 @ 34.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
No$100 @ 41.0¢
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$22 @ 8.6¢
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Culture
Yes$13 @ 2.5¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?—
Yes$10 @ 49.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢