0x0bc0…0f2a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0bc00dcb5e32d4b913a99c5bf274adbb8ecd0f2a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.6pp

ROI

+58%

Win rate

19% @ 12.1¢

Brier

0.097

Resolved

929

Avg size

$78

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	16% (4/25)	+150%	25
Other	38% (5/13)	+32%	13
Politics	75% (3/4)	-17%	4
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Sports25 bets
Hit rate
16% (4/25)
ROI
+150%
Other13 bets
Hit rate
38% (5/13)
ROI
+32%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
-17%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

28% hit · 12/43

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	$206	6.2¢	Won
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$53	0.8¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$7.2k	60.9¢	Won
Will Mariano Navone win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$103	0.2¢	Lost
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$249	2.8¢	Lost
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	$77	5.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	No	$300	60.0¢	Won
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$100	3.5¢	Lost
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$238	0.4¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	$393	2.7¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.9k	12.1¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$154	0.7¢	Lost
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	$211	14.0¢	Lost
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$657	21.0¢	Won
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$146	2.4¢	Lost
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$180	2.7¢	Lost
Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$31	0.1¢	Lost
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$19	1.8¢	Lost
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	$5.6k	14.1¢	Won
Will Alex de Minaur win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$300	0.7¢	Lost
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$36	0.4¢	Lost
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	$717	46.0¢	Won
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$55	1.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas?	Yes	$92	3.9¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$7.3k	19.3¢	Won
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$336	0.8¢	Lost
Will Tomas Martin Etcheverry win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$80	0.2¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$375	75.0¢	Won
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$12	1.1¢	Lost
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Lost
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2.3k	23.0¢	Lost
Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$99	0.5¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$533	20.1¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$4.5k	50.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$7.0k	32.8¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$743	74.3¢	Won
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	$801	21.7¢	Won
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2.5k	7.3¢	Lost
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$96	1.3¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?	No	$24.7k	27.4¢	Lost
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance	France	$1.5k	58.0¢	Lost
Will Brandon Nakashima win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$100	1.0¢	Lost
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$351	1.9¢	Lost

Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Won
Yes$206 @ 6.2¢
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$53 @ 0.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
No$7.2k @ 60.9¢
Will Mariano Navone win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$103 @ 0.2¢
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$249 @ 2.8¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Lost
No$77 @ 5.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Won
No$300 @ 60.0¢
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$100 @ 3.5¢
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$238 @ 0.4¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Lost
No$393 @ 2.7¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.9k @ 12.1¢
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$154 @ 0.7¢
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Lost
No$211 @ 14.0¢
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$657 @ 21.0¢
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$146 @ 2.4¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Lost
Yes$180 @ 2.7¢
Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$31 @ 0.1¢
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$19 @ 1.8¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Won
No$5.6k @ 14.1¢
Will Alex de Minaur win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$300 @ 0.7¢
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$36 @ 0.4¢
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?Won
No$717 @ 46.0¢
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$55 @ 1.1¢
Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas?Lost
Yes$92 @ 3.9¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$7.3k @ 19.3¢
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$336 @ 0.8¢
Will Tomas Martin Etcheverry win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$80 @ 0.2¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$375 @ 75.0¢
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$12 @ 1.1¢
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2.3k @ 23.0¢
Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$99 @ 0.5¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Won
Yes$533 @ 20.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Won
No$4.5k @ 50.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$7.0k @ 32.8¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Won
No$743 @ 74.3¢
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Won
No$801 @ 21.7¢
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$2.5k @ 7.3¢
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$96 @ 1.3¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Lost
No$24.7k @ 27.4¢
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLost
France$1.5k @ 58.0¢
Will Brandon Nakashima win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$100 @ 1.0¢
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$351 @ 1.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$2.8k	16.8¢
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	Tech	No	$429	57.0¢
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$400	2.5¢
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Culture	Yes	$256	0.3¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	Tech	Yes	$216	5.6¢
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$1	6.2¢

Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$2.8k @ 16.8¢
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Tech
No$429 @ 57.0¢
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$400 @ 2.5¢
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
Yes$256 @ 0.3¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Tech
Yes$216 @ 5.6¢
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$1 @ 6.2¢