← Smart money
0x0ba3…57bc
ProfitableEdge
+25.3pp
ROI
+144%
Win rate
41% @ 15.8¢
Brier
0.323
Resolved
168
Avg size
$1
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 42% (42/100) | +179% | 100 |
| Geopolitics | 25% (1/4) | -63% | 4 |
| Tech | 50% (1/2) | -2% | 2 |
| Politics | 100% (2/2) | +103% | 2 |
- Other100 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (42/100)
- ROI
- +179%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -63%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -2%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +103%
Track record
43% hit · 46/108- Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
- No$1 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
- No$11 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 71.8¢
- No$8 @ 8.5¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$0 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$0 @ 4.8¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$0 @ 2.1¢
- No$2 @ 81.0¢
- No$33 @ 89.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 6.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 34.0¢
- No$3 @ 67.0¢
- Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?WonNo$4 @ 83.0¢
- No$1 @ 26.0¢
- No$0 @ 7.9¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$7 @ 48.3¢
- No$4 @ 86.9¢
- No$15 @ 45.2¢
- Yes$12 @ 50.9¢
- No$7 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$0 @ 5.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$0 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$0 @ 5.9¢
- No$8 @ 64.9¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 50.0¢ |
- Yes$5 @ 50.0¢