0x0b9d…8201

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0b9d9c3bb66645c0fe62e9d496f5f07cae058201
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.4pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

50% @ 41.0¢

Brier

0.181

Resolved

1277

Avg size

$125

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	56% (109/195)	+33%	195
Politics	44% (23/52)	+8%	52
Geopolitics	21% (3/14)	-27%	14
Sports	11% (1/9)	+27%	9
Tech	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other195 bets
Hit rate
56% (109/195)
ROI
+33%
Politics52 bets
Hit rate
44% (23/52)
ROI
+8%
Geopolitics14 bets
Hit rate
21% (3/14)
ROI
-27%
Sports9 bets
Hit rate
11% (1/9)
ROI
+27%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

50% hit · 136/272

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	No	$963	37.4¢	Lost
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	$486	44.5¢	Lost
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	No	$2.8k	63.3¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	$50	4.8¢	Lost
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?	Yes	$17	66.2¢	Won
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	Yes	$14	16.8¢	Lost
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$35	26.7¢	Lost
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	No	$268	34.8¢	Won
Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	Yes	$18	29.5¢	Lost
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20?	No	$437	63.9¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$50	55.3¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$205	8.9¢	Lost
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 27?	No	$48	80.3¢	Won
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	$90	20.5¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$542	74.0¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$700	27.7¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$64	64.0¢	Won
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$35	35.0¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	Yes	$140	7.0¢	Lost
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	No	$432	38.7¢	Won
Military action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026?	Yes	$6	2.9¢	Lost
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	No	$250	79.0¢	Won
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$100	17.3¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	No	$580	58.0¢	Won
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 20, 2026?	Yes	$70	70.0¢	Won
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?	No	$50	20.0¢	Lost
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?	Yes	$63	63.0¢	Won
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$54	37.0¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	$1.5k	47.8¢	Won
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$110	16.8¢	Lost
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?	Yes	$20	67.0¢	Lost
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?	No	$30	10.8¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$4.5k	64.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$380	23.5¢	Lost
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	No	$29	19.8¢	Lost
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	Yes	$100	43.1¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$31	18.2¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$2.9k	30.9¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	$1.5k	58.9¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	$60	77.9¢	Won
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	No	$200	80.0¢	Won
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 26, 2026?	No	$49	83.1¢	Won
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$525	35.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	Yes	$541	34.7¢	Won
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 30, 2026?	No	$55	82.6¢	Lost
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?	Yes	$1.6k	33.9¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	$91	29.9¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$14	24.6¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	$720	72.0¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	$586	24.2¢	Lost

Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?Lost
No$963 @ 37.4¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?Lost
No$486 @ 44.5¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Won
No$2.8k @ 63.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Lost
Yes$50 @ 4.8¢
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?Won
Yes$17 @ 66.2¢
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$14 @ 16.8¢
Will France strike Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$35 @ 26.7¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Won
No$268 @ 34.8¢
Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$18 @ 29.5¢
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20?Won
No$437 @ 63.9¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Won
Yes$50 @ 55.3¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$205 @ 8.9¢
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 27?Won
No$48 @ 80.3¢
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Lost
Yes$90 @ 20.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$542 @ 74.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Lost
Yes$700 @ 27.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$64 @ 64.0¢
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$35 @ 35.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Lost
Yes$140 @ 7.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Won
No$432 @ 38.7¢
Military action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 2.9¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$250 @ 79.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$100 @ 17.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Won
No$580 @ 58.0¢
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 20, 2026?Won
Yes$70 @ 70.0¢
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?Lost
No$50 @ 20.0¢
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?Won
Yes$63 @ 63.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Lost
Yes$54 @ 37.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 47.8¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$110 @ 16.8¢
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?Lost
Yes$20 @ 67.0¢
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Won
No$30 @ 10.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
No$4.5k @ 64.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$380 @ 23.5¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?Lost
No$29 @ 19.8¢
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Won
Yes$100 @ 43.1¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Lost
Yes$31 @ 18.2¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Lost
Yes$2.9k @ 30.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Won
No$1.5k @ 58.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Won
No$60 @ 77.9¢
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$200 @ 80.0¢
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 26, 2026?Won
No$49 @ 83.1¢
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$525 @ 35.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?Won
Yes$541 @ 34.7¢
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 30, 2026?Lost
No$55 @ 82.6¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Won
Yes$1.6k @ 33.9¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Lost
No$91 @ 29.9¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Won
Yes$14 @ 24.6¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Won
No$720 @ 72.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Lost
Yes$586 @ 24.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10.1k	73.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Politics	No	$5.4k	43.8¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Politics	Yes	$3.4k	16.9¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	Politics	No	$1.6k	27.4¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Politics	Yes	$578	25.1¢
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Sports	Yes	$525	35.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$515	16.1¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	Tech	No	$486	44.5¢
New NVIDIA CEO named by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$484	48.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Politics	No	$250	25.0¢
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	—	Yes	$250	70.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$200	8.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$198	27.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$172	18.5¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Politics	Yes	$121	42.0¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$110	16.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$110	13.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Politics	No	$91	29.9¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	Politics	Yes	$91	7.7¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	—	Yes	$75	15.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Politics	Yes	$50	4.8¢
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	—	Yes	$31	6.7¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	—	Yes	$30	18.2¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$20	2.0¢
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	—	Yes	$19	15.2¢
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$10	0.2¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Politics	No	$4	60.0¢

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$10.1k @ 73.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics
No$5.4k @ 43.8¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Politics
Yes$3.4k @ 16.9¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Politics
No$1.6k @ 27.4¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Politics
Yes$578 @ 25.1¢
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Sports
Yes$525 @ 35.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$515 @ 16.1¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?Tech
No$486 @ 44.5¢
New NVIDIA CEO named by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$484 @ 48.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics
No$250 @ 25.0¢
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score—
Yes$250 @ 70.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$200 @ 8.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Politics
Yes$198 @ 27.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Geopolitics
Yes$172 @ 18.5¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Politics
Yes$121 @ 42.0¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$110 @ 16.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Geopolitics
Yes$110 @ 13.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Politics
No$91 @ 29.9¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Politics
Yes$91 @ 7.7¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?—
Yes$75 @ 15.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Politics
Yes$50 @ 4.8¢
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?—
Yes$31 @ 6.7¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?—
Yes$30 @ 18.2¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?—
Yes$19 @ 15.2¢
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics
No$4 @ 60.0¢