← Smart money
0x0b91…ae77
SharpEdge
+2.9pp
ROI
+16%
Win rate
26% @ 23.6¢
Brier
0.134
Resolved
3752
Avg size
$65
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 33% (159/484) | +8% | 484 |
| Sports | 12% (5/41) | +46% | 41 |
| Politics | 39% (12/31) | +53% | 31 |
| Geopolitics | 25% (1/4) | -19% | 4 |
| Culture | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other484 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (159/484)
- ROI
- +8%
- Sports41 bets
- Hit rate
- 12% (5/41)
- ROI
- +46%
- Politics31 bets
- Hit rate
- 39% (12/31)
- ROI
- +53%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -19%
- Culture3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
31% hit · 177/564- High Point Panthers$25 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$44 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$121 @ 15.6¢
- No$205 @ 8.9¢
- Yes$80 @ 8.0¢
- No$8 @ 19.5¢
- Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
- Fresno State Bulldogs$75 @ 27.1¢
- Canadiens$144 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 55.0¢
- O/U 52.5WonUnder$23 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$862 @ 28.8¢
- Yes$329 @ 40.8¢
- Yes$103 @ 0.5¢
- Arizona Wildcats$100 @ 78.0¢
- Switzerland$777 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$234 @ 21.7¢
- Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?LostYes$76 @ 7.6¢
- Yes$14 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$48 @ 6.0¢
- Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 86% and 88%?LostYes$63 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$110 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$37 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$487 @ 19.8¢
- Yes$113 @ 32.1¢
- Yes$8 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$92 @ 43.6¢
- Pistons$40 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$99 @ 23.6¢
- Yes$50 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$111 @ 2.7¢
- Under$150 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$428 @ 43.4¢
- Yes$8.1k @ 62.7¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 55.4¢
- No$101 @ 11.0¢
- Miami$800 @ 15.9¢
- No$103 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$66 @ 8.2¢
- No$125 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 23.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 83.0¢
- North Carolina Tar Heels$187 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 62.1¢
- No$44 @ 16.2¢
- Yes$46 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$8 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$128 @ 11.6¢
- Yes$100 @ 12.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$2.6k @ 47.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 13.4¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 47.0¢
- Yes$578 @ 33.1¢
- Yes$451 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$331 @ 12.7¢
- Yes$202 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$147 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$80 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$25 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 35.0¢
- Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$1 @ 12.0¢