0x0aea…d1cb

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0aea320ab924caffe9b9ede3b4b323c5726fd1cb
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.5pp

ROI

+60%

Win rate

21% @ 9.0¢

Brier

0.106

Resolved

Avg size

$13

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	0% (0/51)	-100%	51
Sports	75% (3/4)	+190%	4

Other51 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/51)
ROI
-100%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+190%

Track record

5% hit · 3/55

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	$3	1.5¢	Lost
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 2AM ET	Up	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	$12	31.2¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	$3	25.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	$12	11.6¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	$4	2.1¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	$3	1.5¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	$2	29.0¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	$3	3.8¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	$1	2.0¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	$6	30.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	$8	20.1¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	$2	19.0¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	$2	9.5¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	$4	3.3¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	$2	4.9¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	$7	3.6¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	$7	16.5¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	$2	3.4¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	$12	0.5¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	$2	5.0¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	$1	1.0¢	Lost
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 4AM ET	Down	$3	16.0¢	Lost
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	$1	17.1¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	$3	13.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	$2	49.8¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3AM ET	Down	$44	2.2¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	$4	1.2¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	$3	19.4¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	$2	19.1¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3AM ET	Down	$5	0.2¢	Lost
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?	Yes	$2	4.6¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	$10	7.0¢	Lost
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	No	$17	17.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	No	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	$105	26.3¢	Won
Will India join the Board of Peace?	Yes	$10	17.0¢	Lost
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?	Yes	$1	2.3¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	$1	14.0¢	Lost
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Detroit Pistons?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?	Yes	$148	3.6¢	Lost
Will the government shutdown end November 14?	Yes	$14	2.4¢	Lost

Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 10.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETLost
Down$3 @ 1.5¢
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 2AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 0.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETLost
Down$12 @ 31.2¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETLost
Up$3 @ 25.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETLost
Down$12 @ 11.6¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 0.1¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETLost
Down$4 @ 2.1¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETLost
Down$3 @ 1.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETLost
Down$2 @ 29.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETLost
Down$3 @ 3.8¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 2.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETLost
Up$6 @ 30.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 11.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETLost
Down$8 @ 20.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETLost
Up$2 @ 19.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 0.9¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETLost
Up$2 @ 9.5¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETLost
Up$4 @ 3.3¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 1.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETLost
Down$2 @ 4.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 5.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETLost
Up$7 @ 3.6¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 1.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETLost
Up$7 @ 16.5¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETLost
Up$2 @ 3.4¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETLost
Down$12 @ 0.5¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETLost
Down$2 @ 5.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 1.0¢
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 4AM ETLost
Down$3 @ 16.0¢
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 17.1¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETLost
Down$0 @ 0.1¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETLost
Down$3 @ 13.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETLost
Down$2 @ 49.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3AM ETLost
Down$44 @ 2.2¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETLost
Up$4 @ 1.2¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETLost
Down$3 @ 19.4¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETLost
Up$2 @ 19.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3AM ETLost
Down$5 @ 0.2¢
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?Lost
Yes$2 @ 4.6¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerLost
BetBoom Team$10 @ 7.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Lost
No$17 @ 17.0¢
US strikes Iraq by February 28?Lost
No$10 @ 0.1¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerWon
TheMongolz$105 @ 26.3¢
Will India join the Board of Peace?Lost
Yes$10 @ 17.0¢
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.3¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group BLost
PARIVISION$1 @ 14.0¢
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Detroit Pistons?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Lost
Yes$148 @ 3.6¢
Will the government shutdown end November 14?Lost
Yes$14 @ 2.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winner	Sports	MOUZ	$322	65.0¢
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?	—	Yes	$148	3.6¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner	Sports	Spirit	$67	7.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3AM ET	—	Down	$44	2.2¢
Will the government shutdown end November 14?	—	Yes	$14	2.4¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	—	Down	$12	0.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	—	Down	$12	11.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	—	Down	$12	31.2¢
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	—	No	$10	0.1¢
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?	—	Yes	$8	20.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	—	Down	$8	20.1¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	—	Up	$7	3.6¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	—	Up	$7	16.5¢
Will the government shutdown end November 15?	—	Yes	$6	0.4¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	—	Up	$6	30.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3AM ET	—	Down	$5	0.2¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	—	Down	$4	2.1¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	—	Up	$4	3.3¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	—	Up	$4	1.2¢
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 4AM ET	—	Down	$3	16.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	—	Down	$3	1.5¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	—	Down	$3	1.5¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	—	Down	$3	3.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	—	Down	$3	19.4¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	—	Down	$3	13.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	—	Up	$3	25.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	—	Down	$2	5.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	—	Down	$2	49.8¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	—	Down	$2	4.9¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	—	Up	$2	3.4¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerSports
MOUZ$322 @ 65.0¢
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?—
Yes$148 @ 3.6¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerSports
Spirit$67 @ 7.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3AM ET—
Down$44 @ 2.2¢
Will the government shutdown end November 14?—
Yes$14 @ 2.4¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET—
Down$12 @ 0.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET—
Down$12 @ 11.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET—
Down$12 @ 31.2¢
US strikes Iraq by February 28?—
No$10 @ 0.1¢
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?—
Yes$8 @ 20.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET—
Down$8 @ 20.1¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET—
Up$7 @ 3.6¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET—
Up$7 @ 16.5¢
Will the government shutdown end November 15?—
Yes$6 @ 0.4¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET—
Up$6 @ 30.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3AM ET—
Down$5 @ 0.2¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET—
Down$4 @ 2.1¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET—
Up$4 @ 3.3¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET—
Up$4 @ 1.2¢
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 4AM ET—
Down$3 @ 16.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET—
Down$3 @ 1.5¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET—
Down$3 @ 1.5¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET—
Down$3 @ 3.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET—
Down$3 @ 19.4¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET—
Down$3 @ 13.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET—
Up$3 @ 25.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET—
Down$2 @ 5.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET—
Down$2 @ 49.8¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET—
Down$2 @ 4.9¢
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET—
Up$2 @ 3.4¢