0x0a24…f55d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0a24324e39e3ccf06a39e754a86ee3b3fd5df55d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-4.1pp

ROI

+5%

Win rate

42% @ 45.9¢

Brier

0.214

Resolved

956

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	43% (352/811)	+1%	811
Sports	48% (16/33)	+64%	33
Politics	50% (5/10)	-32%	10
Crypto	43% (3/7)	+17%	7
Geopolitics	33% (1/3)	-50%	3
Economy	100% (1/1)	+77%	1

Other811 bets
Hit rate
43% (352/811)
ROI
+1%
Sports33 bets
Hit rate
48% (16/33)
ROI
+64%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
ROI
-32%
Crypto7 bets
Hit rate
43% (3/7)
ROI
+17%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-50%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+77%

Track record

44% hit · 378/865

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	$22	72.0¢	Won
Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$3	47.0¢	Lost
Blue Jackets vs. Islanders	Blue Jackets	$2	47.0¢	Lost
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5	Over	$8	58.0¢	Won
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5	Over	$3	55.0¢	Won
Getafe CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5	Under	$3	72.0¢	Won
AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$3	48.0¢	Lost
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$10	3.5¢	Lost
Will Genoa CFC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?	Yes	$3	34.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?	No	$10	58.0¢	Lost
FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5	Over	$3	67.0¢	Lost
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)	Arsenal	$3	27.0¢	Lost
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	No	$10	89.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$20	67.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	Yes	$2	6.6¢	Lost
Will SoundHound AI (SOUN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$3	78.0¢	Lost
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-30?	Yes	$3	55.0¢	Lost
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 2.5	Over	$3	49.0¢	Won
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$3	68.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?	Yes	$3	32.2¢	Won
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$11	2.2¢	Lost
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5	Over	$7	38.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on February 13?	No	$2	26.9¢	Won
Stars vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	$2	54.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 16?	Yes	$3	20.0¢	Lost
Bowling vs. UMass	UMass	$2	15.0¢	Lost
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?	No	$7	50.0¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	$1	6.7¢	Lost
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Under	$5	49.0¢	Lost
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5	Over	$5	22.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on February 16?	Yes	$3	32.0¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29?	Yes	$3	62.0¢	Lost
Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5	Over	$8	53.0¢	Lost
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?	No	$3	35.0¢	Lost
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?	Yes	$6	17.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	$10	21.0¢	Lost
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-26?	Yes	$2	43.0¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$10	78.0¢	Won
Newcastle vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$5	47.0¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?	Yes	$111	52.6¢	Won
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-07?	Yes	$4	55.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on February 17?	Yes	$3	64.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$3	60.0¢	Lost
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$3	54.0¢	Lost
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$3	63.0¢	Won
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	$5	52.0¢	Lost
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5	Over	$10	50.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?	Yes	$3	53.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$35	46.7¢	Lost

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Won
Yes$22 @ 72.0¢
Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$3 @ 47.0¢
Blue Jackets vs. IslandersLost
Blue Jackets$2 @ 47.0¢
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Won
Over$8 @ 58.0¢
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5Won
Over$3 @ 55.0¢
Getafe CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5Won
Under$3 @ 72.0¢
AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$3 @ 48.0¢
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$10 @ 3.5¢
Will Genoa CFC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$3 @ 34.0¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?Lost
No$10 @ 58.0¢
FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$3 @ 67.0¢
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)Lost
Arsenal$3 @ 27.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?Won
No$10 @ 89.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$20 @ 67.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.6¢
Will SoundHound AI (SOUN) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
Yes$3 @ 78.0¢
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-30?Lost
Yes$3 @ 55.0¢
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 2.5Won
Over$3 @ 49.0¢
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$3 @ 68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?Won
Yes$3 @ 32.2¢
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$11 @ 2.2¢
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$7 @ 38.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on February 13?Won
No$2 @ 26.9¢
Stars vs. CanadiensLost
Canadiens$2 @ 54.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 16?Lost
Yes$3 @ 20.0¢
Bowling vs. UMassLost
UMass$2 @ 15.0¢
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?Won
No$7 @ 50.0¢
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.7¢
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$5 @ 49.0¢
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$5 @ 22.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on February 16?Lost
Yes$3 @ 32.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29?Lost
Yes$3 @ 62.0¢
Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$8 @ 53.0¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?Lost
No$3 @ 35.0¢
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?Lost
Yes$6 @ 17.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 21.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-26?Won
Yes$2 @ 43.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Won
Yes$10 @ 78.0¢
Newcastle vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$5 @ 47.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?Won
Yes$111 @ 52.6¢
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-07?Lost
Yes$4 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on February 17?Won
Yes$3 @ 64.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$3 @ 60.0¢
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$3 @ 54.0¢
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$3 @ 63.0¢
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$5 @ 52.0¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$10 @ 50.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?Won
Yes$3 @ 53.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$35 @ 46.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$75	39.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?	Crypto	Yes	$67	2.5¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$60	25.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$57	6.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$54	35.6¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$50	50.0¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$50	15.0¢
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$40	20.0¢
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$35	31.9¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$30	69.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$30	58.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$30	58.0¢
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Other	Yes	$28	13.4¢
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$17	17.0¢
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Politics	Yes	$17	40.0¢
Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$17	34.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?	Crypto	Yes	$17	21.9¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$17	16.6¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$16	60.0¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$15	12.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$15	70.4¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$15	11.0¢
Will UNI dip to $3.00 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$10	13.0¢
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score	Sports	No	$3	41.0¢

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$75 @ 39.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?Crypto
Yes$67 @ 2.5¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$60 @ 25.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$57 @ 6.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$54 @ 35.6¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
Yes$50 @ 15.0¢
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$40 @ 20.0¢
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto
Yes$35 @ 31.9¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics
Yes$30 @ 69.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Other
No$30 @ 58.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$30 @ 58.0¢
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?Other
Yes$28 @ 13.4¢
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$17 @ 17.0¢
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics
Yes$17 @ 40.0¢
Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$17 @ 34.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?Crypto
Yes$17 @ 21.9¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$17 @ 16.6¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics
Yes$16 @ 60.0¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$15 @ 12.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$15 @ 70.4¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$15 @ 11.0¢
Will UNI dip to $3.00 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$10 @ 13.0¢
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreSports
No$3 @ 41.0¢