0x0a00…60aa

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0a00722a5fd1a37c10f0f4bcdb6fb2ef0a3960aa
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+20.7pp

ROI

+39%

Win rate

75% @ 54.3¢

Brier

0.146

Resolved

Avg size

$148

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	75% (9/12)	+23%	12
Politics	73% (8/11)	+66%	11
Geopolitics	60% (3/5)	-6%	5

Other12 bets
Hit rate
75% (9/12)
ROI
+23%
Politics11 bets
Hit rate
73% (8/11)
ROI
+66%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
-6%

Track record

71% hit · 20/28

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	Yes	$100	36.5¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	$5	5.9¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?	No	$200	54.8¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	No	$200	69.3¢	Won
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	$100	41.7¢	Won
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?	No	$90	58.6¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	$190	84.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$200	68.9¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	$5	5.7¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$50	39.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026?	No	$295	71.9¢	Won
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	$193	29.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?	No	$52	61.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?	No	$101	49.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	$233	82.4¢	Won
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?	No	$911	59.5¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?	No	$200	70.0¢	Won
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$11	8.7¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	No	$200	84.6¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?	No	$84	69.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	$150	27.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?	Yes	$11	7.7¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by February 28?	No	$100	70.0¢	Won
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?	No	$400	58.5¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?	No	$10	68.0¢	Won
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?	Yes	$20	25.9¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?	No	$700	89.0¢	Won
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?	Yes	$40	43.4¢	Won

Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?Won
Yes$100 @ 36.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.9¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?Lost
No$200 @ 54.8¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Won
No$200 @ 69.3¢
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?Won
No$100 @ 41.7¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?Won
No$90 @ 58.6¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?Won
No$190 @ 84.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?Won
Yes$200 @ 68.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in May 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.7¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Lost
Yes$50 @ 39.0¢
Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026?Won
No$295 @ 71.9¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Won
No$193 @ 29.0¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?Won
No$52 @ 61.0¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?Won
No$101 @ 49.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?Won
No$233 @ 82.4¢
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?Won
No$911 @ 59.5¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?Won
No$200 @ 70.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$11 @ 8.7¢
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?Won
No$200 @ 84.6¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?Won
No$84 @ 69.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Won
No$150 @ 27.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?Lost
Yes$11 @ 7.7¢
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by February 28?Won
No$100 @ 70.0¢
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?Lost
No$400 @ 58.5¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?Won
No$10 @ 68.0¢
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?Lost
Yes$20 @ 25.9¢
Will Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?Won
No$700 @ 89.0¢
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?Won
Yes$40 @ 43.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?	Geopolitics	No	$754	85.5¢
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?	Geopolitics	No	$727	88.9¢
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$660	83.7¢
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$500	97.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$400	89.5¢

Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?Geopolitics
No$754 @ 85.5¢
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Geopolitics
No$727 @ 88.9¢
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$660 @ 83.7¢
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$500 @ 97.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$400 @ 89.5¢