← Smart money
0x09c2…8210
SharpEdge
+4.5pp
ROI
+7%
Win rate
48% @ 43.8¢
Brier
0.204
Resolved
1949
Avg size
$15
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 51% (269/531) | +9% | 531 |
| Sports | 39% (26/66) | -24% | 66 |
| Science | 52% (34/66) | +21% | 66 |
| Politics | 40% (4/10) | +23% | 10 |
| Geopolitics | 33% (1/3) | -78% | 3 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other531 bets
- Hit rate
- 51% (269/531)
- ROI
- +9%
- Sports66 bets
- Hit rate
- 39% (26/66)
- ROI
- -24%
- Science66 bets
- Hit rate
- 52% (34/66)
- ROI
- +21%
- Politics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (4/10)
- ROI
- +23%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -78%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
49% hit · 334/677- Yes$25 @ 68.4¢
- Yes$29 @ 73.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$119 @ 72.3¢
- Baltimore Orioles$15 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$20 @ 34.1¢
- Yes$15 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 10.7¢
- Yes$10 @ 23.8¢
- Yes$39 @ 56.9¢
- Yes$53 @ 22.1¢
- Yes$52 @ 51.1¢
- No$36 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 47.5¢
- Under$25 @ 44.2¢
- Yes$183 @ 66.2¢
- Yes$16 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$28 @ 69.6¢
- Under$7 @ 34.0¢
- No$51 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$97 @ 43.9¢
- Spurs vs. KnicksLostKnicks$30 @ 39.4¢
- Yes$15 @ 61.6¢
- Yes$4 @ 7.9¢
- Yes$15 @ 48.5¢
- Yes$36 @ 54.6¢
- Yes$81 @ 63.8¢
- Yes$9 @ 33.8¢
- Yes$24 @ 59.5¢
- Yes$30 @ 35.2¢
- Yes$116 @ 61.4¢
- Yes$161 @ 16.3¢
- No$13 @ 34.2¢
- Yes$40 @ 66.3¢
- Yes$9 @ 40.0¢
- Spurs$27 @ 44.6¢
- Under$25 @ 49.2¢
- Yes$99 @ 81.8¢
- Yes$90 @ 59.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 13.9¢
- Yes$6 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 88.2¢
- Yes$25 @ 62.9¢
- Over$25 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$256 @ 79.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 2? | Science | Yes | $25 | 68.4¢ |
- Yes$25 @ 68.4¢