0x09b6…f48d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x09b63d4273c88d6621abe7cf7dfdfa58f888f48d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+2.1pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

50% @ 48.3¢

Brier

0.205

Resolved

3383

Avg size

$66

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	47% (197/415)	-2%	415
Sports	30% (8/27)	+58%	27
Crypto	100% (5/5)	+70%	5
Politics	50% (1/2)	+18%	2

Other415 bets
Hit rate
47% (197/415)
ROI
-2%
Sports27 bets
Hit rate
30% (8/27)
ROI
+58%
Crypto5 bets
Hit rate
100% (5/5)
ROI
+70%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+18%

Track record

47% hit · 211/449

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	$181	44.2¢	Lost
Spread: Burkina Faso (-5.5)	Burkina Faso	$40	0.1¢	Lost
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz	Zizou Bergs	$309	28.5¢	Lost
Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan Choinski	Mensik	$53	53.0¢	Won
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	$4.0k	59.9¢	Won
Will Dallas Mavericks be 2023-24 NBA Champions?	Yes	$19	33.7¢	Lost
ATP Washington D.C – Fritz vs. Davidovich Fokina	Fritz	$527	77.0¢	Lost
ATP Kitzbuhel – Bublik vs. Cazaux	Bublik	$440	77.2¢	Won
Porto 2: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonald	Mackenzie McDonald	$497	29.6¢	Lost
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Kopriva	Andrey Rublev	$39	74.0¢	Lost
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	$109	47.1¢	Lost
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi	Tommy Paul	$1.4k	56.0¢	Lost
Open Sud de France: Hubert Hurkacz vs Martin Damm	Hurkacz	$43	43.0¢	Lost
ASB Classic: Sebastian Baez vs Jakub Mensik	Baez	$151	33.1¢	Lost
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Tundra Esports	$41	40.6¢	Won
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina Grant	Tyra Caterina Grant	$354	24.0¢	Lost
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Novak Djokovic	Djokovic	$360	35.4¢	Won
Mexican Open: Alexander Zverev vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Zverev	$160	80.0¢	Lost
Will Germany vs. Greece end in a draw?	Yes	$57	37.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Xtreme Gaming	$143	76.0¢	Won
Miami Open: Arthur Fils vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	$265	32.9¢	Lost
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev	Alcaraz	$1.4k	83.5¢	Won
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Cameron Norrie	$18	54.0¢	Won
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Yandex	$59	75.0¢	Won
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	$1.5k	77.0¢	Won
Open Sud de France: Adrian Mannarino vs Martin Damm	Mannarino	$191	27.3¢	Won
Miami Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino	Adrian Mannarino	$430	43.0¢	Won
Will an Individual Neutral Athlete record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	$5	75.0¢	Won
Miami Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	$700	70.0¢	Lost
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	$2.4k	53.3¢	Won
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanov	Alcaraz	$130	65.0¢	Won
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreeva	Hailey Baptiste	$14	27.0¢	Lost
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musetti	Musetti	$275	55.0¢	Won
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud	Jenson Brooksby	$3.0k	28.1¢	Lost
Mexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	$25	54.2¢	Won
Miami Open: Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Berrettini	Alexander Bublik	$155	58.0¢	Lost
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	$140	28.0¢	Lost
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ugo Humbert vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Fokina	$285	49.3¢	Won
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Fritz	$331	42.1¢	Lost
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkacz	Hubert Hurkacz	$2.0k	53.1¢	Lost
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner	Sinner	$1.7k	85.0¢	Lost
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	$1.2k	65.0¢	Won
Mexican Open: Yibing Wu vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	$230	44.0¢	Won
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Jasmine Paolini	Jasmine Paolini	$32	58.0¢	Lost
Another country wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?	Yes	$5	0.5¢	Lost
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul	Tommy Paul	$2.7k	59.7¢	Lost
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Valentin Vacherot	Bublik	$441	65.8¢	Lost
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Bublik	Bublik	$158	12.0¢	Lost
Grand Prix Hassan II: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller	Alexandre Muller	$18	52.0¢	Won
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner	PARIVISION	$71	47.3¢	Lost

China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil MedvedevLost
Daniil Medvedev$181 @ 44.2¢
Spread: Burkina Faso (-5.5)Lost
Burkina Faso$40 @ 0.1¢
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor FritzLost
Zizou Bergs$309 @ 28.5¢
Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan ChoinskiWon
Mensik$53 @ 53.0¢
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Ben SheltonWon
Ben Shelton$4.0k @ 59.9¢
Will Dallas Mavericks be 2023-24 NBA Champions?Lost
Yes$19 @ 33.7¢
ATP Washington D.C – Fritz vs. Davidovich FokinaLost
Fritz$527 @ 77.0¢
ATP Kitzbuhel – Bublik vs. CazauxWon
Bublik$440 @ 77.2¢
Porto 2: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonaldLost
Mackenzie McDonald$497 @ 29.6¢
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit KoprivaLost
Andrey Rublev$39 @ 74.0¢
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Lost
Yes$109 @ 47.1¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano DarderiLost
Tommy Paul$1.4k @ 56.0¢
Open Sud de France: Hubert Hurkacz vs Martin DammLost
Hurkacz$43 @ 43.0¢
ASB Classic: Sebastian Baez vs Jakub MensikLost
Baez$151 @ 33.1¢
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageWon
Tundra Esports$41 @ 40.6¢
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina GrantLost
Tyra Caterina Grant$354 @ 24.0¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Novak DjokovicWon
Djokovic$360 @ 35.4¢
Mexican Open: Alexander Zverev vs Miomir KecmanovicLost
Zverev$160 @ 80.0¢
Will Germany vs. Greece end in a draw?Lost
Yes$57 @ 37.0¢
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageWon
Xtreme Gaming$143 @ 76.0¢
Miami Open: Arthur Fils vs Stefanos TsitsipasLost
Stefanos Tsitsipas$265 @ 32.9¢
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander ZverevWon
Alcaraz$1.4k @ 83.5¢
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Miomir KecmanovicWon
Cameron Norrie$18 @ 54.0¢
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageWon
Team Yandex$59 @ 75.0¢
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander ZverevWon
Alexander Zverev$1.5k @ 77.0¢
Open Sud de France: Adrian Mannarino vs Martin DammWon
Mannarino$191 @ 27.3¢
Miami Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian MannarinoWon
Adrian Mannarino$430 @ 43.0¢
Will an Individual Neutral Athlete record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Won
Yes$5 @ 75.0¢
Miami Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alex de MinaurLost
Alex de Minaur$700 @ 70.0¢
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Alex de MinaurWon
Alex de Minaur$2.4k @ 53.3¢
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen KhachanovWon
Alcaraz$130 @ 65.0¢
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra AndreevaLost
Hailey Baptiste$14 @ 27.0¢
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo MusettiWon
Musetti$275 @ 55.0¢
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper RuudLost
Jenson Brooksby$3.0k @ 28.1¢
Mexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Brandon NakashimaWon
Brandon Nakashima$25 @ 54.2¢
Miami Open: Alexander Bublik vs Matteo BerrettiniLost
Alexander Bublik$155 @ 58.0¢
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?Lost
Yes$140 @ 28.0¢
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ugo Humbert vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaWon
Fokina$285 @ 49.3¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardLost
Fritz$331 @ 42.1¢
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert HurkaczLost
Hubert Hurkacz$2.0k @ 53.1¢
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik SinnerLost
Sinner$1.7k @ 85.0¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil MedvedevWon
Daniil Medvedev$1.2k @ 65.0¢
Mexican Open: Yibing Wu vs Flavio CobolliWon
Flavio Cobolli$230 @ 44.0¢
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Jasmine PaoliniLost
Jasmine Paolini$32 @ 58.0¢
Another country wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.5¢
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy PaulLost
Tommy Paul$2.7k @ 59.7¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Valentin VacherotLost
Bublik$441 @ 65.8¢
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander BublikLost
Bublik$158 @ 12.0¢
Grand Prix Hassan II: Federico Cina vs Alexandre MullerWon
Alexandre Muller$18 @ 52.0¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerLost
PARIVISION$71 @ 47.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth	Sports	James Duckworth	$1.7k	33.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$20	1.0¢

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James DuckworthSports
James Duckworth$1.7k @ 33.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$20 @ 1.0¢