0x09ae…2ff5

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x09aecf614f6e6284c2386a73fc538d97b8a52ff5
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.3pp

ROI

+41%

Win rate

33% @ 23.3¢

Brier

0.183

Resolved

1467

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	42% (131/315)	+58%	315
Other	43% (121/282)	+40%	282
Politics	50% (1/2)	+84%	2
Geopolitics	100% (2/2)	+25%	2

Sports315 bets
Hit rate
42% (131/315)
ROI
+58%
Other282 bets
Hit rate
43% (121/282)
ROI
+40%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+84%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+25%

Track record

42% hit · 255/601

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
M25 Valencia: Karim Al-Amin vs David Naharro	Karim Al-Amin	$3	4.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Ryvex vs maybe - Map 2 Winner	Ryvex	$10	29.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Lilmix (BO3) - Hotspawn Showdown Closed Qualifier Group B	Lilmix	$10	23.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs	Imperial	$6	28.4¢	Won
Will Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$10	78.2¢	Won
Will Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$13	1.0¢	Lost
Will NEC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	$12	38.0¢	Lost
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	$10	17.0¢	Lost
Will Independiente Valle Del Cauca win on 2026-10-08?	No	$9	20.0¢	Won
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	No	$0	34.5¢	Won
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	$9	13.4¢	Lost
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	$10	49.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs Semente do Mal (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Group Stage	MIBR fe	$10	22.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Acend (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Acend	$12	12.0¢	Lost
Will Nafta 1903 Lendava win on 2026-08-09?	No	$1	27.0¢	Won
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)	Philadelphia Phillies	$10	27.0¢	Lost
LASK Linz vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$12	30.0¢	Lost
Switzerland vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to Score	No	$10	20.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: The KnockoutX vs Alter Ego - Map 2 Winner	The KnockoutX	$3	14.0¢	Lost
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-19?	No	$3	44.0¢	Won
Dota 2: avice Team vs gpk Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A	avice Team	$1	45.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Two Move vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner	Team Lynx	$10	18.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs Semente do Mal - Map 2 Winner	MIBR fe	$10	18.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs Semente do Mal - Map 2 Winner	Semente do Mal	$7	31.0¢	Lost
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)	PARIVISION	$2	40.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winner	Nuclear TigeRES	$12	38.0¢	Won
Atlante FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5	Under	$10	32.0¢	Lost
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-10-24?	No	$10	40.0¢	Lost
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-08-11?	Yes	$2	48.0¢	Lost
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Under	$12	26.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$25	75.1¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$279	6.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: BBL vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winner	Johnny Speeds	$10	33.2¢	Lost
Will Monterey Bay FC win on 2026-08-08?	No	$3	30.0¢	Won
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$20	34.5¢	Lost
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$20	82.6¢	Won
Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5	Over	$10	33.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: MTX vs Privateer Gaming (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	MTX	$2	30.0¢	Won
Will GKS GieKSa Katowice vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv end in a draw?	No	$5	38.0¢	Won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	Tampa Bay Rays	$25	19.2¢	Lost
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)	New York Yankees	$8	36.0¢	Lost
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$10	81.3¢	Won
Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$10	79.4¢	Won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	$20	34.0¢	Lost
Honor of Kings: LGD NBW vs SYGaming (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 3 Group A	LGD NBW	$4	13.0¢	Lost
Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic	Bernard Tomic	$10	34.0¢	Won
Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic	Yuta Shimizu	$10	40.0¢	Lost
Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	$9	32.0¢	Won
Boxing: Anthony Joshua vs. Kristian Prenga	Joshua	$5	62.0¢	Won
Boxing: Anthony Joshua vs. Kristian Prenga	Prenga	$5	12.1¢	Lost

M25 Valencia: Karim Al-Amin vs David NaharroLost
Karim Al-Amin$3 @ 4.0¢
Counter-Strike: Ryvex vs maybe - Map 2 WinnerWon
Ryvex$10 @ 29.0¢
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Lilmix (BO3) - Hotspawn Showdown Closed Qualifier Group BLost
Lilmix$10 @ 23.0¢
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Open Qualifier #1 PlayoffsWon
Imperial$6 @ 28.4¢
Will Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$10 @ 78.2¢
Will Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$13 @ 1.0¢
Will NEC win on 2026-10-15?Lost
Yes$12 @ 38.0¢
O/U 1.5 RoundsLost
Over$10 @ 17.0¢
Will Independiente Valle Del Cauca win on 2026-10-08?Won
No$9 @ 20.0¢
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?Won
No$0 @ 34.5¢
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?Lost
Yes$9 @ 13.4¢
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-10-03?Lost
No$10 @ 49.0¢
Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs Semente do Mal (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Group StageWon
MIBR fe$10 @ 22.0¢
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Acend (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsLost
Acend$12 @ 12.0¢
Will Nafta 1903 Lendava win on 2026-08-09?Won
No$1 @ 27.0¢
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Lost
Philadelphia Phillies$10 @ 27.0¢
LASK Linz vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$12 @ 30.0¢
Switzerland vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$10 @ 20.0¢
Counter-Strike: The KnockoutX vs Alter Ego - Map 2 WinnerLost
The KnockoutX$3 @ 14.0¢
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-19?Won
No$3 @ 44.0¢
Dota 2: avice Team vs gpk Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group AWon
avice Team$1 @ 45.0¢
Dota 2: Two Move vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerWon
Team Lynx$10 @ 18.0¢
Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs Semente do Mal - Map 2 WinnerWon
MIBR fe$10 @ 18.0¢
Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs Semente do Mal - Map 2 WinnerLost
Semente do Mal$7 @ 31.0¢
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)Won
PARIVISION$2 @ 40.0¢
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 WinnerWon
Nuclear TigeRES$12 @ 38.0¢
Atlante FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$10 @ 32.0¢
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-10-24?Lost
No$10 @ 40.0¢
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-08-11?Lost
Yes$2 @ 48.0¢
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Lost
Under$12 @ 26.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$25 @ 75.1¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$279 @ 6.0¢
Counter-Strike: BBL vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 WinnerLost
Johnny Speeds$10 @ 33.2¢
Will Monterey Bay FC win on 2026-08-08?Won
No$3 @ 30.0¢
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$20 @ 34.5¢
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$20 @ 82.6¢
Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5Won
Over$10 @ 33.0¢
Counter-Strike: MTX vs Privateer Gaming (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular SeasonWon
MTX$2 @ 30.0¢
Will GKS GieKSa Katowice vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv end in a draw?Won
No$5 @ 38.0¢
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesLost
Tampa Bay Rays$25 @ 19.2¢
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Lost
New York Yankees$8 @ 36.0¢
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$10 @ 81.3¢
Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$10 @ 79.4¢
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Lost
Over$20 @ 34.0¢
Honor of Kings: LGD NBW vs SYGaming (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 3 Group ALost
LGD NBW$4 @ 13.0¢
Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard TomicWon
Bernard Tomic$10 @ 34.0¢
Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard TomicLost
Yuta Shimizu$10 @ 40.0¢
Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-10-10?Won
No$9 @ 32.0¢
Boxing: Anthony Joshua vs. Kristian PrengaWon
Joshua$5 @ 62.0¢
Boxing: Anthony Joshua vs. Kristian PrengaLost
Prenga$5 @ 12.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier	—	FUT Esports	$15	8.0¢
CD Santa Clara vs. CD Nacional: 1st Half O/U 0.5	—	Under	$15	23.3¢
SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: SK Brann O/U 2.5	—	Over	$15	71.3¢
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	—	Yes	$15	3.5¢
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	—	Yes	$15	3.5¢
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	—	No	$15	3.5¢
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	—	Yes	$15	3.5¢
First Blood in Game 2?	—	Dplus KIA	$15	11.8¢
Rocket League: NRG Esports vs TSM (BO5) - Esports World Cup Group A	—	NRG Esports	$15	10.6¢
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner	—	Team Lynx	$12	40.0¢
W15 Singapore: Arina Varaksina vs Ekaterina Khodzhaeva	—	Arina Varaksina	$12	26.2¢
Wuhan Tennis Open: Completed Match: Clara Tauson vs Marie Bouzkova	Sports	Yes	$12	14.0¢
Chesham United vs. Chelmsford City: O/U 3.5	—	Under	$12	42.0¢
Will US Pergolettese Crema win on 2026-10-18?	Sports	No	$12	22.2¢
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs Honvéd (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	Sports	Honvéd	$12	17.0¢
Dota 2: LFO vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner	Sports	LFO	$12	46.0¢
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	—	Yes	$12	14.0¢
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BOJONG - Map 1 Winner	—	Fire Flux Esports	$12	41.4¢
Counter-Strike: mellren vs MORROW (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Play-In Play-In	—	MORROW	$12	21.4¢
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs Senshi Esports Club - Game 2 Winner	—	Senshi Esports Club	$12	36.7¢
Will Robert Lewandowski (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Sports	Yes	$12	5.8¢
Counter-Strike: Zomblers vs Celestial (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Open Qualifier #2 Playoffs	—	Zomblers	$12	32.0¢
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner	—	HOTU	$12	36.3¢
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	—	Yes	$12	38.2¢
Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?	—	No	$12	32.5¢
2H Spread: Patriots (-3.5)	—	Patriots	$12	9.9¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winner	—	Hanwha Life Esports Challengers	$12	6.4¢
Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 5.5	—	Yes	$10	10.9¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$10	6.0¢
Genoa 2 (Doubles): Broska/Oradini vs Arnaboldi/Iannaccone	—	Arnaboldi/Iannaccone	$10	20.0¢

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier—
FUT Esports$15 @ 8.0¢
CD Santa Clara vs. CD Nacional: 1st Half O/U 0.5—
Under$15 @ 23.3¢
SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: SK Brann O/U 2.5—
Over$15 @ 71.3¢
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?—
Yes$15 @ 3.5¢
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?—
Yes$15 @ 3.5¢
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?—
No$15 @ 3.5¢
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?—
Yes$15 @ 3.5¢
First Blood in Game 2?—
Dplus KIA$15 @ 11.8¢
Rocket League: NRG Esports vs TSM (BO5) - Esports World Cup Group A—
NRG Esports$15 @ 10.6¢
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner—
Team Lynx$12 @ 40.0¢
W15 Singapore: Arina Varaksina vs Ekaterina Khodzhaeva—
Arina Varaksina$12 @ 26.2¢
Wuhan Tennis Open: Completed Match: Clara Tauson vs Marie BouzkovaSports
Yes$12 @ 14.0¢
Chesham United vs. Chelmsford City: O/U 3.5—
Under$12 @ 42.0¢
Will US Pergolettese Crema win on 2026-10-18?Sports
No$12 @ 22.2¢
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs Honvéd (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular SeasonSports
Honvéd$12 @ 17.0¢
Dota 2: LFO vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 WinnerSports
LFO$12 @ 46.0¢
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?—
Yes$12 @ 14.0¢
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BOJONG - Map 1 Winner—
Fire Flux Esports$12 @ 41.4¢
Counter-Strike: mellren vs MORROW (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Play-In Play-In—
MORROW$12 @ 21.4¢
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs Senshi Esports Club - Game 2 Winner—
Senshi Esports Club$12 @ 36.7¢
Will Robert Lewandowski (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Sports
Yes$12 @ 5.8¢
Counter-Strike: Zomblers vs Celestial (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Open Qualifier #2 Playoffs—
Zomblers$12 @ 32.0¢
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner—
HOTU$12 @ 36.3¢
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?—
Yes$12 @ 38.2¢
Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?—
No$12 @ 32.5¢
2H Spread: Patriots (-3.5)—
Patriots$12 @ 9.9¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winner—
Hanwha Life Esports Challengers$12 @ 6.4¢
Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 5.5—
Yes$10 @ 10.9¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$10 @ 6.0¢
Genoa 2 (Doubles): Broska/Oradini vs Arnaboldi/Iannaccone—
Arnaboldi/Iannaccone$10 @ 20.0¢