0x0978…3137

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x097873704461492d3e23f900e07a8fbb14633137
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+10.3pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

66% @ 55.6¢

Brier

0.225

Resolved

404

Avg size

$60

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	63% (87/139)	+6%	139
Politics	67% (4/6)	+118%	6
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	-47%	2

Other139 bets
Hit rate
63% (87/139)
ROI
+6%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
67% (4/6)
ROI
+118%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-47%

Track record

63% hit · 92/147

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?	No	$43	86.0¢	Won
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	Yes	$80	79.0¢	Won
Will Xqc & PlaqueBoyMax Bart win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?	No	$58	88.7¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$213	88.8¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	No	$30	80.0¢	Won
Will Angryginge & Marlon win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?	Yes	$10	29.1¢	Lost
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?	No	$463	79.7¢	Won
Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?	No	$36	80.0¢	Won
Will Nancy Pelosi applaud during Trump's State of the Union?	Yes	$15	69.1¢	Won
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	Yes	$10	80.0¢	Won
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?	Yes	$445	71.1¢	Won
Will John Fetterman applaud during Trump's State of the Union?	Yes	$20	67.8¢	Won
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	No	$178	83.8¢	Won
Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address?	No	$25	57.0¢	Lost
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?	Yes	$18	89.5¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	$60	24.6¢	Won
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	Yes	$105	44.0¢	Won
Will Doug Burgum attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	$51	84.8¢	Won
Will Trump drink water during the State of the Union?	Yes	$25	19.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	$5	33.0¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$50	23.0¢	Lost
Will Daniel Radcliffe say "Da Bomb" on Hot Ones?	No	$113	49.1¢	Lost
ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?	Yes	$4	3.5¢	Lost
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?	No	$76	77.0¢	Won
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?	Yes	$100	56.5¢	Won
Rojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?	No	$432	41.2¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$1.3k	80.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$200	37.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$343	79.8¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?	No	$740	87.7¢	Lost
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	$137	87.0¢	Won
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?	No	$68	68.1¢	Won
Will Kash Patel attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	$30	84.0¢	Lost
Will Dana White attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	$2	13.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$303	76.2¢	Won
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?	No	$3	83.0¢	Won
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?	Yes	$10	54.0¢	Won
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?	Yes	$31	16.2¢	Lost
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	$100	9.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	No	$4	2.5¢	Lost
US government shutdown Saturday?	Yes	$842	78.0¢	Won
Will Brooke Rollins attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	$60	82.0¢	Won
Will "Amen" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)	No	$8	73.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$200	61.0¢	Won
Will Nancy Pelosi attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	$22	89.6¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	$80	31.0¢	Lost
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?	No	$25	5.0¢	Won
Will Sketch & Ryley Bart win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?	No	$45	81.4¢	Won
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	$174	46.0¢	Won

Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?Won
No$43 @ 86.0¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Won
Yes$80 @ 79.0¢
Will Xqc & PlaqueBoyMax Bart win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?Won
No$58 @ 88.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
No$213 @ 88.8¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Won
No$30 @ 80.0¢
Will Angryginge & Marlon win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 29.1¢
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?Won
No$463 @ 79.7¢
Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Won
No$36 @ 80.0¢
Will Nancy Pelosi applaud during Trump's State of the Union?Won
Yes$15 @ 69.1¢
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?Won
Yes$10 @ 80.0¢
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?Won
Yes$445 @ 71.1¢
Will John Fetterman applaud during Trump's State of the Union?Won
Yes$20 @ 67.8¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$178 @ 83.8¢
Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address?Lost
No$25 @ 57.0¢
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Won
Yes$18 @ 89.5¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Won
Yes$60 @ 24.6¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Won
Yes$105 @ 44.0¢
Will Doug Burgum attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Won
Yes$51 @ 84.8¢
Will Trump drink water during the State of the Union?Lost
Yes$25 @ 19.0¢
Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Lost
Yes$5 @ 33.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$50 @ 23.0¢
Will Daniel Radcliffe say "Da Bomb" on Hot Ones?Lost
No$113 @ 49.1¢
ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?Lost
Yes$4 @ 3.5¢
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?Won
No$76 @ 77.0¢
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?Won
Yes$100 @ 56.5¢
Rojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?Won
No$432 @ 41.2¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$1.3k @ 80.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$200 @ 37.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$343 @ 79.8¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Lost
No$740 @ 87.7¢
Iran leadership change by March 13?Won
No$137 @ 87.0¢
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?Won
No$68 @ 68.1¢
Will Kash Patel attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Lost
Yes$30 @ 84.0¢
Will Dana White attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Lost
Yes$2 @ 13.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
No$303 @ 76.2¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?Won
No$3 @ 83.0¢
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?Won
Yes$10 @ 54.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?Lost
Yes$31 @ 16.2¢
US strike on Cuba by March 31?Lost
Yes$100 @ 9.0¢
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)Lost
No$4 @ 2.5¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Won
Yes$842 @ 78.0¢
Will Brooke Rollins attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Won
Yes$60 @ 82.0¢
Will "Amen" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)Won
No$8 @ 73.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$200 @ 61.0¢
Will Nancy Pelosi attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Won
Yes$22 @ 89.6¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Lost
Yes$80 @ 31.0¢
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?Won
No$25 @ 5.0¢
Will Sketch & Ryley Bart win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?Won
No$45 @ 81.4¢
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?Won
No$174 @ 46.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$854	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$854	50.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$142	71.0¢
Weed rescheduled by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$86	40.8¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$854 @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$854 @ 50.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$142 @ 71.0¢
Weed rescheduled by December 31?Politics
Yes$86 @ 40.8¢