0x0957…77e8

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics17 bets

  Hit rate

  47% (8/17)

  ROI

  -4%

• Other15 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (10/15)

  ROI

  +67%

• Science14 bets

  Hit rate

  29% (4/14)

  ROI

  +10%

• Sports13 bets

  Hit rate

  54% (7/13)

  ROI

  -9%

• Economy8 bets

  Hit rate

  38% (3/8)

  ROI

  +8%

• Tech4 bets

  Hit rate

  25% (1/4)

  ROI

  -39%

• Culture4 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/4)

  ROI

  -100%

• Business3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  -15%

• Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?Won
  No$9 @ 89.7¢
• Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?Won
  No$8 @ 84.1¢
• Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Lost
  No$4 @ 35.0¢
• Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?Lost
  No$1 @ 1.3¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$64 @ 64.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?Lost
  No$8 @ 83.1¢
• Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionWon
  No$29 @ 28.0¢
• Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?Won
  No$29 @ 72.0¢
• Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Lost
  No$1 @ 2.8¢
• Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?Won
  No$404 @ 76.7¢
• Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
  No$471 @ 52.1¢
• Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Lost
  No$3 @ 28.1¢
• Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Won
  No$244 @ 71.2¢
• Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 30?Won
  No$4 @ 84.0¢
• Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Lost
  No$25 @ 25.6¢
• Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Won
  No$335 @ 54.5¢
• Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Won
  No$31 @ 41.4¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Lost
  No$3 @ 7.0¢
• Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Won
  No$67 @ 71.7¢
• Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?Won
  No$43 @ 86.0¢
• Will Harry Kane have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?Lost
  No$4 @ 42.0¢
• Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Lost
  No$20 @ 40.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 29?Won
  No$24 @ 83.0¢
• Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
  No$713 @ 79.3¢
• Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
  No$356 @ 67.0¢
• Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2.75B and $3B at market close on IPO day?Won
  No$34 @ 84.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 30?Won
  No$22 @ 71.5¢
• Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?Won
  No$0 @ 57.5¢
• Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Lost
  No$17 @ 86.5¢
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Won
  No$299 @ 48.8¢
• No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?Lost
  No$7 @ 13.0¢
• Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2.25B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?Lost
  No$31 @ 78.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 29?Won
  No$20 @ 68.6¢
• Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Won
  No$18 @ 88.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 31?Lost
  No$25 @ 81.0¢
• Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Won
  No$8 @ 78.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?Won
  No$4 @ 35.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 29?Won
  No$43 @ 86.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29?Won
  No$4 @ 37.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 30?Won
  No$4 @ 83.0¢
• Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
  No$5 @ 83.4¢
• Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
  No$623 @ 69.4¢
• Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 30?Won
  No$4 @ 71.0¢
• Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?Won
  No$7 @ 36.3¢
• Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionLost
  No$71 @ 71.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Denver be 76°F or higher on May 29?Lost
  No$1 @ 3.4¢
• Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Lost
  No$32 @ 25.7¢
• Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$8 @ 78.0¢
• Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  No$3 @ 29.0¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Lost
  No$1 @ 3.2¢

Current positions

• Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  Yes$7 @ 3.6¢
• Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?Geopolitics
  Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
• Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?—
  Yes$4 @ 0.4¢
• Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
• Will Joe Pyfer be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Sports
  Yes$1 @ 5.3¢
• Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 2.2¢
• Will Gabriel Bonfim be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Sports
  Yes$1 @ 5.3¢
• Will TJ Rumfield win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Sports
  Yes$0 @ 2.2¢
• Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
  Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
• Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
  Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
• Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
  Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
• Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
  Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
• Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
  Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
• Will Rodrygo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
  Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
• Will Enzo Fernandez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
  Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
• Will Cody Bellinger win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?Sports
  Yes$0 @ 2.4¢
• Will Taylor Walls win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?Sports
  Yes$0 @ 2.4¢
• Will Cole Young win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?Sports
  Yes$0 @ 2.4¢
• Will Cam Smith win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?Sports
  Yes$0 @ 2.4¢
• Will Caleb Durbin win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?Sports
  Yes$0 @ 2.4¢