0x094a…e4a9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x094aaf68835bd25e4b747fb9ac6ed69efbb1e4a9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.5pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

53% @ 48.0¢

Brier

0.216

Resolved

1122

Avg size

$42

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	43% (103/238)	+9%	238
Sports	51% (19/37)	+13%	37
Politics	100% (1/1)	+43%	1

Other238 bets
Hit rate
43% (103/238)
ROI
+9%
Sports37 bets
Hit rate
51% (19/37)
ROI
+13%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+43%

Track record

45% hit · 123/276

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Valorant: ROSE vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage	ROSE	$199	27.9¢	Lost
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Group Stage	FlyQuest	$265	46.9¢	Lost
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Glamorgan	Glamorgan	$1	40.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	PARIVISION	$260	52.0¢	Lost
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$143	33.0¢	Won
Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?	No	$132	38.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Abyssal (BO1) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group A	Mindfreak	$284	65.0¢	Won
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Geek Fam ID (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	Geek Fam ID	$55	12.9¢	Lost
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Multan Sultans	Rawalpindi Pindiz	$220	30.8¢	Lost
LoL: Maryville University vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season	Winthrop University	$95	19.0¢	Lost
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: TNC Pro Team vs Team Falcons PH (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular Season	TNC Pro Team	$0	10.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: STATE vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage	STATE	$3	49.0¢	Won
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$382	62.2¢	Won
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Kiwoom DRX Challengers	$77	33.9¢	Won
Valorant: Joblife vs WIP Esports (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs	WIP Esports	$7	38.0¢	Lost
Will Jacob Elordi (Frankenstein) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?	No	$138	78.6¢	Won
Will "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?	No	$41	18.0¢	Lost
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?	No	$603	59.0¢	Won
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Rey vs AC Esports (BO3) - MPL Malaysia Regular Season	AC Esports	$3	30.0¢	Lost
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	$7	43.0¢	Lost
LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOUD	$54	44.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Tricked (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage	Tricked	$31	29.0¢	Lost
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffs	FOKUS	$90	50.0¢	Won
Will Sayf win Sanremo 2026?	No	$10	75.0¢	Won
Will Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?	No	$35	82.9¢	Won
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$221	51.5¢	Won
Will Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs I'd Kick You) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?	No	$166	26.5¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs	STATE	$1	21.0¢	Lost
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$815	70.7¢	Won
LoL: RED Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season	INTZ e-Sports	$125	17.9¢	Lost
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Selangor Red Giants vs Team Vamos (BO3) - MPL Malaysia Regular Season	Team Vamos	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$206	70.1¢	Won
Valorant: Team Secret vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	Team Secret	$145	17.0¢	Lost
Will Lou Jeanmonnot (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	No	$88	67.4¢	Won
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Dewa United Esports (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	Dewa United Esports	$15	13.0¢	Lost
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage	QoR	$57	30.0¢	Lost
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL Playoffs	TLN Pirates	$35	23.0¢	Lost
Will Matthias Bluebaum vs. Anish Giri end in a draw?	No	$37	15.0¢	Won
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	Oh My God	$125	25.0¢	Lost
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season	KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas	$327	38.0¢	Won
Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 4 X 6km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	No	$102	42.0¢	Lost
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: RRQ Hoshi vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	RRQ Hoshi	$5	14.0¢	Lost
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	No	$0	50.0¢	Lost
Denmark vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5	Under	$5	42.0¢	Lost
Pakistan Super League: Karachi Kings vs Peshawar Zalmi	Karachi Kings	$355	37.0¢	Lost
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kings	Karachi Kings	$171	39.0¢	Won
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$140	50.4¢	Lost
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	ThunderTalk Gaming	$70	35.0¢	Won
Will Italy win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	Yes	$8	32.0¢	Won
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?	No	$12	44.0¢	Won

Valorant: ROSE vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group StageLost
ROSE$199 @ 27.9¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Group StageLost
FlyQuest$265 @ 46.9¢
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs GlamorganLost
Glamorgan$1 @ 40.0¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Lost
PARIVISION$260 @ 52.0¢
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
No$143 @ 33.0¢
Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?Lost
No$132 @ 38.0¢
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Abyssal (BO1) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group AWon
Mindfreak$284 @ 65.0¢
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Geek Fam ID (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular SeasonLost
Geek Fam ID$55 @ 12.9¢
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Multan SultansLost
Rawalpindi Pindiz$220 @ 30.8¢
LoL: Maryville University vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonLost
Winthrop University$95 @ 19.0¢
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: TNC Pro Team vs Team Falcons PH (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular SeasonLost
TNC Pro Team$0 @ 10.0¢
Counter-Strike: STATE vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group StageWon
STATE$3 @ 49.0¢
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
No$382 @ 62.2¢
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2Won
Kiwoom DRX Challengers$77 @ 33.9¢
Valorant: Joblife vs WIP Esports (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 PlayoffsLost
WIP Esports$7 @ 38.0¢
Will Jacob Elordi (Frankenstein) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?Won
No$138 @ 78.6¢
Will "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?Lost
No$41 @ 18.0¢
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Won
No$603 @ 59.0¢
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Rey vs AC Esports (BO3) - MPL Malaysia Regular SeasonLost
AC Esports$3 @ 30.0¢
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super KingsLost
Chennai Super Kings$7 @ 43.0¢
LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsLost
LOUD$54 @ 44.0¢
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Tricked (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group StageLost
Tricked$31 @ 29.0¢
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution PlayoffsWon
FOKUS$90 @ 50.0¢
Will Sayf win Sanremo 2026?Won
No$10 @ 75.0¢
Will Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?Won
No$35 @ 82.9¢
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$221 @ 51.5¢
Will Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs I'd Kick You) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?Lost
No$166 @ 26.5¢
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 PlayoffsLost
STATE$1 @ 21.0¢
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$815 @ 70.7¢
LoL: RED Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular SeasonLost
INTZ e-Sports$125 @ 17.9¢
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Selangor Red Giants vs Team Vamos (BO3) - MPL Malaysia Regular SeasonLost
Team Vamos$1 @ 11.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$206 @ 70.1¢
Valorant: Team Secret vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaLost
Team Secret$145 @ 17.0¢
Will Lou Jeanmonnot (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Won
No$88 @ 67.4¢
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Dewa United Esports (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular SeasonLost
Dewa United Esports$15 @ 13.0¢
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group StageLost
QoR$57 @ 30.0¢
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL PlayoffsLost
TLN Pirates$35 @ 23.0¢
Will Matthias Bluebaum vs. Anish Giri end in a draw?Won
No$37 @ 15.0¢
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaLost
Oh My God$125 @ 25.0¢
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular SeasonWon
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas$327 @ 38.0¢
Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 4 X 6km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Lost
No$102 @ 42.0¢
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: RRQ Hoshi vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular SeasonLost
RRQ Hoshi$5 @ 14.0¢
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?Lost
No$0 @ 50.0¢
Denmark vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$5 @ 42.0¢
Pakistan Super League: Karachi Kings vs Peshawar ZalmiLost
Karachi Kings$355 @ 37.0¢
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi KingsWon
Karachi Kings$171 @ 39.0¢
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$140 @ 50.4¢
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaWon
ThunderTalk Gaming$70 @ 35.0¢
Will Italy win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Won
Yes$8 @ 32.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?Won
No$12 @ 44.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$349	69.7¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$300	19.8¢
Will Northern Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?	Sports	No	$172	78.5¢
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Sports	1WIN	$138	31.0¢
Will Netherlands win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?	Sports	No	$67	53.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Other	Yes	$22	37.7¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$21	38.8¢
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Culture	Yes	$21	25.0¢

Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?Politics
Yes$349 @ 69.7¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$300 @ 19.8¢
Will Northern Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?Sports
No$172 @ 78.5¢
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsSports
1WIN$138 @ 31.0¢
Will Netherlands win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?Sports
No$67 @ 53.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Other
Yes$22 @ 37.7¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$21 @ 38.8¢
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
Yes$21 @ 25.0¢